Absolute Vorticity

It'll be interesting to see how much the intensity is by the time is gets in here. The front is forecast to slow down S of the River so depending on when that happens, someone over our southern areas or LOU could see heavy rains later tonight into tomorrow morning.

HRRR has storms arriving in Cincinnati in that 9-10pm window.

tron777 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 17, 2023 5:40 pm HRRR has storms arriving in Cincinnati in that 9-10pm window.

So at least most of the Redlegs vs Giants 7:10 game should be able to get played.

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Mon Jul 17, 2023 6:23 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 17, 2023 5:40 pm HRRR has storms arriving in Cincinnati in that 9-10pm window.

So at least most of the Redlegs vs Giants 7:10 game should be able to get played.

We'll see. Models usually are too slow. It's already moving thru IND now.

ALERT: T-storm watch issued until 12am for Boone, Kenton, Campbell on north:


https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0505.html

'' URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 505
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
430 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern and eastern Illinois
Central and southern Indiana

* Effective this Monday afternoon from 430 PM until Midnight EDT.

* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms will move east-southeast
across the watch area through this evening with a risk for damaging
wind gusts and large hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles southwest of
Mattoon IL to 40 miles southeast of Muncie IN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
OHC037-172330-
/O.NEW.KILN.SV.W.0105.230717T2239Z-230717T2330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
639 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Darke County in west central Ohio...

* Until 730 PM EDT.

* At 639 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Winchester,
moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Greenville, Versailles, Arcanum, Bradford, Union City, Ansonia, New
Madison, Webster, Wayne Lakes, Gettysburg, Pitsburg, Hollansburg,
Palestine, Union Corners, Darke County Airport, Sharpeye, State
Route 47 at US Route 127, Abbottsville, Sharps Crossing and
Horatio.

&&

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Aiena

----

In the 3rd Cincy leading SF 1-0.

Action moving in ~ take cover GAB!

----

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Dearborn County in southeastern Indiana...
Northwestern Hamilton County in southwestern Ohio...
Western Butler County in southwestern Ohio...

* Until 900 PM EDT.

* At 812 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of
Brookville, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Hamilton, Fairfield, Oxford, Forest Park, Springdale, Harrison,
Bright, Ross, Seven Mile, Taylor Creek, Dry Ridge, Blue Jay,
Dunlap, Colerain Township, Darrtown, Greenhills, Logan, Reily, New
Haven and New Miami.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
East central Preble County in west central Ohio...
Montgomery County in west central Ohio...

* Until 900 PM EDT.

* At 809 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Lewisburg,
moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Dayton, Kettering, Trotwood, Miamisburg, Springboro, Vandalia,
Englewood, Moraine, Oakwood, West Carrollton, Riverside, Clayton,
Brookville, New Lebanon, Shiloh, Phillipsburg, Verona, Centerville,
Fort Mckinley and Northview.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southeastern Preble County in west central Ohio...
Northeastern Butler County in southwestern Ohio...
Northwestern Warren County in southwestern Ohio...
Southwestern Montgomery County in west central Ohio...

* Until 915 PM EDT.

* At 823 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Gratis,
moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Middletown, Mason, Miamisburg, Lebanon, Springboro, Monroe,
Trenton, Franklin, Carlisle, South Middletown, Hunter, Germantown,
Centerville, Jacksonburg, State Route 63 at State Route 741, Lytle,
Pekin, State Route 48 at State Route 73 and Poast Town Heights.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
East central Warren County in southwestern Ohio...
Northern Clinton County in southwestern Ohio...
South central Greene County in west central Ohio...

* Until 915 PM EDT.

* At 835 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Wilmington,
moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Xenia, Wilmington, Clarksville, Harveysburg, Port William,
Paintersville, Oregonia, Melvin, Bloomington, Lumberton, Middleton
Corner, Oakland, Reesville, State Route 350 at US Route 22, Caesar
Creek State Park, Ogden, Kingman, Burtonville, Interstate 71 at US
Route 68 and Cowan Lake State Park.

This includes I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 37 and 58.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Southwestern Preble County in west central Ohio...

* Until 1030 PM EDT.

* At 829 PM EDT, radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain
across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain have
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1.5 inches are
possible. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that may experience flash flooding include...
Camden, College Corner, Muttonville, Lake Lakengren, Sugar Valley,
Morning Sun, Fairhaven, Hueston Woods State Park and Wheatville.

This might be worth staying up for lol Black skies to my north as I await the action. Should be seeing some lightning pretty soon too. What are you guys seeing over SE IN and SW OH?

Very nice storm here - I’d say winds gusted in the 40-45 mph range here. Lots of lightning thunder and heavy rain !!

I'm hearing tornado sirens in the distance. I'm in Fairfield.

Angelika wrote: ↑Mon Jul 17, 2023 8:46 pm I'm hearing tornado sirens in the distance. I'm in Fairfield.

I don't see any TOR warning issued by ILN, but IMO by looking at the radar sig. , there is some rotation there. I'd be taking cover to be on the safe side,

EDIT: Not as pronounced now, but some straight line wind damage certainly is possible.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Warren County in southwestern Ohio...
Northwestern Clinton County in southwestern Ohio...
Southwestern Greene County in west central Ohio...
Southeastern Montgomery County in west central Ohio...

* Until 930 PM EDT.

* At 847 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Waynesville,
moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Kettering, Beavercreek, Xenia, Lebanon, Bellbrook, Waynesville,
Wilberforce, Clarksville, Harveysburg, Spring Valley, Corwin,
Centerville, Fort Ancient, Lytle, Mount Holly, Oakland, Genntown,
Caesar Creek State Park, Kingman and Greene County Airport.

This includes I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 34 and 48.

Someone got excited and sounded them in West Chester. Severe Thinderstorm Warnings on 3 sides. We are under a special weather statement as I type this

I guess this is why I could hear distant sirens... looks like a hook echo over Hamilton.

Here is why sirens going off in Butler County

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Warren County in southwestern Ohio...
Southern Fayette County in central Ohio...
Clinton County in southwestern Ohio...
Southern Greene County in west central Ohio...
Northwestern Highland County in southwestern Ohio...

* Until 945 PM EDT.

* At 858 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of
Waynesville, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to
mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
Xenia, Washington Court House, Wilmington, Hillsboro, Sabina,
Leesburg, New Vienna, Staunton, Clarksville, Harveysburg, Spring
Valley, Martinsville, Corwin, Bowersville, Highland, Port William,
Milledgeville, Paintersville, Melvin and Lumberton.

This includes I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 36 and 63.

Looks like the part moving into the Metro now is weakening. Figures Oh well, as long as we see some beneficial rains, I am good with it.