Absolute Vorticity

Lowest pressure I could find was 29.00 in southeast Missouri,. Have not seen one below that so far today. I have stopped falling for the moment and went up to 29.44.

New TOR watch issued for Middle TN and points south effective until 4pm CST.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0061.html

HI everyone, at work in Norwood and it is dark and gloomy, and currently pouring. Will be keeping an eye on things this afternoon.

And I have come to expect that we get more snowy weather in March than we do in January at this point.

Now down to 982. Sheesh!

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 11:42 am New TOR watch issued for Middle TN and points south effective until 4pm CST.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0061.html

They look pretty nasty down there Les. The storms over western Ky and Tn are moving quickly east/northeast with the low pressure. How far north will these go is the question we have locally. Temps down in Tn are in the upper 60's and low 70's.

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 11:42 am New TOR watch issued for Middle TN and points south effective until 4pm CST.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0061.html

Hey Les, I know things are changing rapidly this morning, but what is your best quest this afternoon when we will need to start watching the skies? Thanks

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 11:47 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 11:42 am New TOR watch issued for Middle TN and points south effective until 4pm CST.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0061.html

They look pretty nasty down there Les. The storms over western Ky and Tn are moving quickly east/northeast with the low pressure. How far north will these go is the question we have locally. Temps down in Tn are in the upper 60's and low 70's.

Yeah its cracking 70 for Hopkinsville and BG, Kentucky. Just checked the KY Mesonet site. Warm front is pretty much along the I-64 corridor now.

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 11:47 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 11:42 am New TOR watch issued for Middle TN and points south effective until 4pm CST.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0061.html

They look pretty nasty down there Les. The storms over western Ky and Tn are moving quickly east/northeast with the low pressure. How far north will these go is the question we have locally. Temps down in Tn are in the upper 60's and low 70's.

one of the cells in western KY had 72 mph winds. just got a report on it. that is pretty serious winds

winterstormjoe wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 11:50 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 11:42 am New TOR watch issued for Middle TN and points south effective until 4pm CST.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0061.html

Hey Les, I know things are changing rapidly this morning, but what is your best quest this afternoon when we will need to start watching the skies? Thanks

Hey Joe... I'd keep my eyes open in the 3-7pm range.

Heard Paducah weather office recorded 980mm for a new record low pressure.

...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Indiana, Northern Kentucky and
Southwest Ohio, including the following counties, in Southeast
Indiana, Dearborn, Franklin IN, Ohio and Ripley. In Northern
Kentucky, Boone, Campbell and Kenton. In Southwest Ohio, Butler,
Clermont, Clinton, Hamilton and Warren.

* WHEN...Until 230 PM EST.

* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.
Water over roadways. Some low-water crossings may become
impassable.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1128 AM EST, radar and automated rain gauges indicated
heavy rain. Minor flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly in the advisory area. Between 1.5 and 1.75 inches of
rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1
inch are possible.
- Some locations that may experience flooding include...
Cincinnati, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Covington,
Mason, Florence, Independence, Oxford, Lebanon, Forest Park,
Erlanger, Springboro, Fort Thomas, Newport, Sharonville,
Monroe, Blue Ash and Loveland.

Just stepped out to check the rain gauge. Only 3 tenths so far. But I started much later then you guys. It's a cold rain to boot.

Wxlrnr wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 11:52 am Heard Paducah weather office recorded 980mm for a new record low pressure.

Their latest report has the pressure at 977.7 mb.

Pressure on the way down once again to 29.40 but temp still only 43

New tornado watch forthcoming for parts of Northern Ky

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 12:09 pm New tornado watch forthcoming for parts of Northern Ky

Indeed. Looks like it comes up to the ILN CWA border.

Hi wind warning for NKy/SWohio

Watch graphic…

Gusts to 85 mph likely!

That line near Paducah is going to be our tornado threat late afternoon and evening

Warm front still south of here and how far north will it end up going. More rain moving back in from the southwest as well. Frankfort and Lexington are in the warm sector and my guess folks southeast of I-275 will get there later today but how far north and west is still a big question especially with more rain moving back in. Pressure 29.37 and of course falling once again

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Mar 03, 2023 12:24 pm That line near Paducah is going to be our tornado threat late afternoon and evening

Yup. Gotta watch the stuff ahead of it too though as the warm front approaches.

Pouring rain here. The city's service department is out clearing the debris at sewer drains. It's starting to get some areas of ponding where this is happening. Be careful if you are out on the roads.

Tornado between Owensboro and Bowling Green,Ky moving at 85mph and one just east of Paducah moving at 60 mph

Bulk shear east of 71 is in the 80-100 range