February 2025 Weather Discussion

[tpweather]

Les trying to keep up with my son who is expected to get between 4-8 inches by Saturday afternoon.

[tron777]

Les trying to keep up with my son who is expected to get between 4-8 inches by Saturday afternoon.

I hope he cashes in, Tim! it's been bad up north for sure. We've had way more snow then my cousin in Southern Lower MI. They are expecting a 2-4" or 5" type of deal this weekend too.

[tpweather]

Les trying to keep up with my son who is expected to get between 4-8 inches by Saturday afternoon.

I hope he cashes in, Tim! it's been bad up north for sure. We've had way more snow then my cousin in Southern Lower MI. They are expecting a 2-4" or 5" type of deal this weekend too.

Les he has 18 inches so far this winter which is about half of normal.

[tron777]

Les trying to keep up with my son who is expected to get between 4-8 inches by Saturday afternoon.

I hope he cashes in, Tim! it's been bad up north for sure. We've had way more snow then my cousin in Southern Lower MI. They are expecting a 2-4" or 5" type of deal this weekend too.

Les he has 18 inches so far this winter which is about half of normal.

Wow... that is terrible. Sheesh!

[tron777]

LOL @ the 12Z UKMET. 6" for the Tri-state area for the Tues / Wed period.

[Bgoney]

12z EU back to the northern edge of QPF squeeze play for Tuesday

[tron777]

12z EU back to the northern edge of QPF squeeze play for Tuesday

Not a good run... rain to snow Wed night and Thurs. We won't even mention what it has for next weekend.

[tpweather]

No problems with the runs today and all showing something and those models will hopefully get together after the 1st system is over by Sunday. My biggest problem really next week is can we get more blocking with the NAO. Does the storm this weekend end up in eastern Canada and an we get high pressure in Greenland to help slow down the pattern. The first system is a definite no I believe and still 50/50 on the second system. The cold is decent next week but the really cold air stays to the north but that could be what comes down here the following week. Lots of work this weekend

[tron777]

ALERT!

Please use the new thread to discuss both waves for next week (Mon night and Tues then late Wed into Thurs). We will continues to discuss tomorrow's system right in the Feb monthly thread. Thank you!


Link to storm thread for next week: viewtopic.php?t=359

[tron777]

With regards to tomorrow's system, I have no changes. Late tonight into early tomorrow morning, we should all begin as a brief period of sleet and frz rain before going over to all rain. 40s to near 50 for a high. Sat looks like a very wet day. Best chance for wintry impacts along and N of I-70 with this one. I could see amounts of 0.25 to 0.50" of rain. Cooler but dry Sunday mainly in the 30s.

[tron777]

If worse comes to worse... there is a third wave for next weekend that may get its own thread too in due time. Very active pattern loaded with potential for the next several weeks. I think second half of Feb like in the last 10 days of the month thru 1st half of March are cold. Then we are on to spring. 12Z Ensemble guidance at 500 MB looks great in the extended range as MJO gets into Phase 8 by Feb. 15-17th time period.

[airwolf76]

WWA here for 1-3" of snow/sleet Saterday night. I was not able to clear everything from the sleet mess but i would say i got a little over half it done. the sun came out and helped soften things up a little. the next week looks loaded for bear. winters last measure of devotion !

[tron777]

Good morning all! With the later arrival of the rain, we'll dodge any frz rain impacts. If you need to run any errands go ahead as the rain will be coming in this afternoon.; Perhaps even a t-storm and some graupel possible. Temps will range from the 30s in our N counties to near 60 in our far S counties in KY. Should be interesting to see the temp contrast setting up later today.

[tpweather]

Good morning all! With the later arrival of the rain, we'll dodge any frz rain impacts. If you need to run any errands go ahead as the rain will be coming in this afternoon.; Perhaps even a t-storm and some graupel possible. Temps will range from the 30s in our N counties to near 60 in our far S counties in KY. Should be interesting to see the temp contrast setting up later today.

That temp difference is telling us we are entering mid-Feb as temp extremes can be quite high in a short distance.

[tron777]

Good morning all! With the later arrival of the rain, we'll dodge any frz rain impacts. If you need to run any errands go ahead as the rain will be coming in this afternoon.; Perhaps even a t-storm and some graupel possible. Temps will range from the 30s in our N counties to near 60 in our far S counties in KY. Should be interesting to see the temp contrast setting up later today.

That temp difference is telling us we are entering mid-Feb as temp extremes can be quite high in a short distance.

It can make for heavier precip amounts during overrunning setup's too if the baroclinic boundary is sharp / strong enough.

[tron777]

Speaking of QPF for today's rain, I keep seeing amounts decreasing on the modeling. I had 1/4 to 1/2" before. Probably need to knock that back to 1/4" or less.

[dce]

In regards to the system on the 13th, the trend this winter has been for systems to trend south on the models with in the last 3-4 days leading up to the day of each individual storm. Personally, I would not be surprised to see this happen with the system on the 13th and the follow up system next weekend. The cold has been winning out on the models all season long. Just like the Tuesday system the last day or two, south with each run. It may not be done yet with the south trend.

[MVWxObserver]

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[MVWxObserver]

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[MVWxObserver]

CVG got to 48 and both DAY / CMH 35 today.

[tron777]

0.11" for rain at CVG today with the current system. Winds gusting over 30 mph now.

[airwolf76]

i ended up with just under 2" of snow/sleet, ice from last nights storm. i started on cleanup this morning but will finish it tomorrow morning, just getting tired of dealing with these type of storms

[tron777]

i ended up with just under 2" of snow/sleet, ice from last nights storm. i started on cleanup this morning but will finish it tomorrow morning, just getting tired of dealing with these type of storms

There is sure a nice signal for your area either leading up to / or around President's Day.

[tpweather]

The system next weekend looks very interesting and with so much action before not spending tons of time on this one but looks rather strong and I believe will be somewhat colder than models show today but still have plenty of time to try and pinpoint that storm down. Seems we usually get a nice storm around Valentines Day or Presidents Day

[MVWxObserver]

CVG reached 37 and both DAY / CMH 34 on Super Bowl LIX Sun.