Absolute Vorticity

tpweather wrote: ↑Thu Feb 08, 2024 7:03 pm Here is something you don't see much and that is a tornado warning in southern Wisconsin in early February

I read where a tornado / funnel cloud was reported in the Albany and Evansville, Wisc areas.

There are quite a few supercells in ILL and Wisc. No watches or anything issued. It was not a risk day. Whoopsey!

I did a search to see if Wisconsin has ever had a tornado in the month of February. This popped up.

2156 125 2 WNW Otter Creek Jackson IA 4224 9072 Time estimated from radar. (DVN)

2242 2 S Henry Marshall IL 4108 8936 Brief touchdown in open field. (ILX)

2245 5 W Magnolia Putnam IL 4111 8930 A semi truck was overturned with damage to at least one outbuilding ... as well as to multiple large trees ... at this location. (DVN)

2247 100 1 W Warren Jo Daviess IL 4250 9001 (DVN)

2253 100 Winslow Stephenson IL 4249 8980 Time estimated based on radar. (DVN)

2253 63 Marshall County Airport Marshall IL 4102 8939 REPORTED AT KC75. (ILX)

2310 100 Mapleton Peoria IL 4057 8973 Time estimated from radar. (ILX)

2320 100 Bellevue Peoria IL 4069 8968 (ILX)

2326 100 1 N Monroe Green WI 4261 8964 (MKX)

2334 150 2 ESE Scioto Mills Stephenson IL 4233 8963 (DVN)

2337 2 NNW Albany Green WI 4274 8945 Reports of tornado on the ground tracking northeast on the north side of Albany. (MKX)

2340 100 1 N Dakota Stephenson IL 4239 8953 Dime to quarter size hail. (DVN)

0000 UNK 5 ENE Evansville Rock WI 4280 8920 Reports of roof damage and large trees snapped. (MKX)

0020 UNK 6 SSE Rockdale Jefferson WI 4290 8898 large tree 1 to 2 feet diameter down at intersection of Loga Rd and St Hwy 106. Time estimated by radar. (MKX)

0038 59 3 NE Navy Pier LMZ741 IL 4192 8757 Harrison-Dever Crib reported a wind gust to 51 kts. (LOT)

0112 100 3 NNE Chenequa Waukesha WI 4316 8837 Relayed via Spotter. Photo of hail next to a quarter. (MKX)

0141 100 1 NE Norwood Park - Chicago Cook IL 4200 8779 (LOT)

0241 100 1 SE Portage Porter IN 4156 8716 (LOT)

0250 100 Crown Point Lake IN 4142 8736 (LOT)

Both CVG / DAY got to 62 and CMH 64 on Thurs.

took a little walk into the woods this morning around 930. a really nice pleasantly warm sunny day that you dont get these types all that often this time of year. im sure there will be a small price to pay for this a little later down the road though.

young pup wrote: ↑Thu Feb 08, 2024 7:20 pm I did a search to see if Wisconsin has ever had a tornado in the month of February. This popped up.

Last Year, I believe Wisc got their first documented January tornado. This year it's February. Pretty crazy stuff!

Early morning temps

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 7:33 am Early morning temps

What month is this again?

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 7:45 am

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 7:33 am Early morning temps

What month is this again?

Looks like late April or early May

Temps today will be determined by how quickly clouds move into the region from SKY. I am going with 65 at CVG today which is 2 degrees short of the record.

^^^

Wow! That is the absolute definition of a torch!

MJO still a broad wave of activity in phases 6-7-8 , with the most explosive in 7 . Basically still doggie paddling in 7 , towards 8 for a while longer

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 8:35 am Temps today will be determined by how quickly clouds move into the region from SKY. I am going with 65 at CVG today which is 2 degrees short of the record.

Les already overcast and quite breezy. My guess we will have some breaks the next few hours but then mostly cloudy. Got a feeling the low 60's may be tops just because the winds are not quite as strong as yesterday which really boosted the temperature.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 8:46 am MJO still a broad wave of activity in phases 6-7-8 , with the most explosive in 7 . Basically still doggie paddling in 7 , towards 8 for a while longer




IMG_1407.jpeg

We've looped back into phase 6 as of 2/7 per the Aussies.

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 9:19 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 8:35 am Temps today will be determined by how quickly clouds move into the region from SKY. I am going with 65 at CVG today which is 2 degrees short of the record.

Les already overcast and quite breezy. My guess we will have some breaks the next few hours but then mostly cloudy. Got a feeling the low 60's may be tops just because the winds are not quite as strong as yesterday which really boosted the temperature.

We are starting off quite a bit warmer but without some sun, I agree. 65+ is toast.

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 4:35 am

young pup wrote: ↑Thu Feb 08, 2024 7:20 pm I did a search to see if Wisconsin has ever had a tornado in the month of February. This popped up.

Last Year, I believe Wisc got their first documented January tornado. This year it's February. Pretty crazy stuff!

Yes, that is crazy. Wow.

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 10:34 am

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 8:46 am MJO still a broad wave of activity in phases 6-7-8 , with the most explosive in 7 . Basically still doggie paddling in 7 , towards 8 for a while longer




IMG_1407.jpeg

We've looped back into phase 6 as of 2/7 per the Aussies.

I am not so sure about that and I believe its more in phase 7 heading for phase 8. I still believe its going to continue on but if I am wrong it will go into the COD which is not always a bad thing.

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 11:28 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 10:34 am

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Feb 09, 2024 8:46 am MJO still a broad wave of activity in phases 6-7-8 , with the most explosive in 7 . Basically still doggie paddling in 7 , towards 8 for a while longer




IMG_1407.jpeg

We've looped back into phase 6 as of 2/7 per the Aussies.

I am not so sure about that and I believe its more in phase 7 heading for phase 8. I still believe its going to continue on but if I am wrong it will go into the COD which is not always a bad thing.

I’ve always taken those loopty loops shown as convection that keeps back building like we’ve seen it keep doing in 6 and 7 with such a broad area of convection . IMO for the full effects of 8 to be felt we need to get rid of all/most of that convection/clouds in 6 and eventually 7

Looking at the mjo into the future I am not sure that its going to be the major player as it has been for several weeks, The AO looks to become very negative an also the PV will have imput as well. Going to be fun to see which one wins the battle though the MJO should weaken imo. Battles in February can lead to a big storm or two and I do expect that because the pattern is very busy with systems both to our north and south.

The sun did come out for a good 15 minutes and a few more like that and mid 60's are possible.

60 now at CVG so our 65 has a shot Tim! Skies are completely clear now in Mason. Visible sat pic shows the clouds closing in on NKY though so the sunshine for CVG won't last too much longer.

Still cloudy and windy here.
See partial blue skies to the southwest.
Got a chance to get on the tractor today and turn over the dirt
In both gardens today. Added cow manure and chicken droppings
In Nov/Dec. Happy to get the first till in!!