Absolute Vorticity

87 now at CVG, 88 here. HI's now in the mid 90s.

89'ed as of 1pm, Now it's just a question of how high do we go thru about 5 or 6pm?

90 as of 2pm at CVG... (CVG did max out at 92 at one point though)

93/77 in my hood

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 12, 2021 2:11 pm 93/77 in my hood

With a heat index of:

Quite a flash flood situation unfolding across central IL currently....a nearly stationary west to east band of heavy thunderstorms has caused water rescues north of Champaign with reports of over 8 inches and still coming down.

Models now start to stall Fred out thanks to a big high over New England and the Great lakes this weekend with the front stalled out to our south that passes by on Friday. So depending on where this happens, some models maybe too generous with POPS next week. Something to watch. I think Bgoney may have been talking about this in one of his earlier posts today.

For now... going with POPS tomorrow with the front of course followed by a dry weekend and less humid too. Then for next week, will re-introduce small chance POPS by Tuesday due to uncertainty with Fred's movements (or lack thereof) for next week.

EDIT: We'll have to see how much tropical moisture can actually get in here.

92 / 73 / 101 at CVG as of 3pm...

CVG topped out of 93 today. I was a bit high with my call. Still nasty as hell out though with a HI hovering around 100, even now as of this post. 92 for my high today.

Some darkened sky and thunder but no rain from that activity near my area.

Glad more chance on the way as the MO, IL, IN i.e. etc. train is in progress!

Not much encouragement from models for tomorrow's rain chance , at least for a beneficial rain. The terrible timing of the front arriving late morning, early afternoon is a bummer. 40-50% Isolated or scattered rain chances

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CVG 93 / 76, DAY 92 / 76, and CMH 92 / 75 for today.

Raining now here in Greenville, thank you, Lord!

7pm and I'm still at 90. Yuck.

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Thu Aug 12, 2021 6:55 pm Raining now here in Greenville, thank you, Lord!

Awesome Bro! Looks like Columbus is becoming a new hot spot for action too.

Any takers on betting whether or not that stuff in IN misses to the SW?

Oh my - just heard a loud clap of thunder

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2109 UNK 3 E LONDON MADISON OH 3989 8339 *** 1 INJ *** TREE FELL ON A VEHICLE NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF SPRINGVALLEY ROAD AND STATE ROUTE 665 LEADING TO ONE INJURY. TIME ESTIMATED USING RADAR DATA. (ILN)

0008 UNK 1 W SLATE RUN LYCOMING PA 4147 7750 *** 1 INJ *** SEVERAL TREES DOWN AND ONE INDIVIDUAL SEVERELY INJURED BY A FALLEN TREE. (CTP)

0030 UNK 2 N LINDEN LYCOMING PA 4126 7715 *** 1 INJ *** VEHICLE STRUCK A FALLEN TREE. (CTP)

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
935 PM EDT Thu Aug 12 2021

KYC037-077-081-117-187-191-130215-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-210813T0215Z/
Kenton KY-Campbell KY-Grant KY-Owen KY-Pendleton KY-Gallatin KY-
935 PM EDT Thu Aug 12 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN KENTON...SOUTHERN CAMPBELL...GRANT...NORTHERN OWEN...
NORTHWESTERN PENDLETON AND EASTERN GALLATIN COUNTIES...

At 934 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located near Owenton and
near Crittenden. These storms were moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Owenton, Butler, Glencoe,
Sparta, Stewartsville, Northcutt, Wheatley, Bracht, Gardnersville,
New Liberty, Fiskburg, Elmer Davis Lake, Sherman, Elliston, Goforth,
Greenwood and Cherry Grove.

This includes I-75 in Kentucky between mile markers 151 and 167.

&&

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Hatzos

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Checked my gauge and nothing measurable at all from that ground wetter on Thurs evening.

Myself and CVG also dry overnight as expected. Good luck with the front today everyone! Better chances there as one heads south.