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Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Sep 16, 2024 10:07 am
by tron777

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Sep 16, 2024 12:34 pm
by House of Cards
Bgoney wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 2:42 pm
dce wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 12:07 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 7:27 am EU Ensembles 5 day temp average to finish the month . Canada experiencing the largest anomaly . Locally (cvg) , our mid month highs are below 80 and lows upper 50s and losing a degree on both ends about every 2/3 days



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Might as well be a Dec-Feb 2024-25 temperature map. The way things have been going I won't be surprised if it happens. :fireface: :banghead:

The days and nights are wonderful for backyard activities and get’r done chores, but a complete disaster for the agriculture/ arbor culture world. More counties will be added to the disaster designation in the coming weeks, especially along and south of 71
last several days, my hummingbird feeder has been taken over by a small army of honeybees. They are sucking the nectar dry. I feel bad for the poor hummingbirds who can't get a word in edge-wise, but even sorrier for the bees, they have to be truly desperate to find any liquid/nectar at this point. I keep refilling it to help them.

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Sep 16, 2024 1:06 pm
by tron777
The GFS on the last couple of runs keeps the warmth going and has backed off on precip as well. Sheesh this pattern just refuses to break! I bet what'll happen is we'll go from this to pure crap weather in a heart beat. As to when is anybody's guess. This drought sure looks like it is going to be tough to break.

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Sep 16, 2024 1:17 pm
by Bgoney
House of Cards wrote: Mon Sep 16, 2024 12:34 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 2:42 pm
dce wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 12:07 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 7:27 am EU Ensembles 5 day temp average to finish the month . Canada experiencing the largest anomaly . Locally (cvg) , our mid month highs are below 80 and lows upper 50s and losing a degree on both ends about every 2/3 days



IMG_2160.jpeg
IMG_2232.jpegIMG_2233.jpeg
Might as well be a Dec-Feb 2024-25 temperature map. The way things have been going I won't be surprised if it happens. :fireface: :banghead:

The days and nights are wonderful for backyard activities and get’r done chores, but a complete disaster for the agriculture/ arbor culture world. More counties will be added to the disaster designation in the coming weeks, especially along and south of 71
last several days, my hummingbird feeder has been taken over by a small army of honeybees. They are sucking the nectar dry. I feel bad for the poor hummingbirds who can't get a word in edge-wise, but even sorrier for the bees, they have to be truly desperate to find any liquid/nectar at this point. I keep refilling it to help them.
You bring up a great point and another subject… the effects of a prolonged drought on wildlife. Of course it’s worse in eastern Ohio atm , but we aren’t far behind. Extremely low or dried up creeks and ponds can wipe out fish and other pond life. Nut and acorn amounts will be few and far between and a huge amount of animals depend on these over winter

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Sep 16, 2024 1:42 pm
by tron777
Bgoney wrote: Mon Sep 16, 2024 1:17 pm
House of Cards wrote: Mon Sep 16, 2024 12:34 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 2:42 pm
dce wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 12:07 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 7:27 am EU Ensembles 5 day temp average to finish the month . Canada experiencing the largest anomaly . Locally (cvg) , our mid month highs are below 80 and lows upper 50s and losing a degree on both ends about every 2/3 days



IMG_2160.jpeg
IMG_2232.jpegIMG_2233.jpeg
Might as well be a Dec-Feb 2024-25 temperature map. The way things have been going I won't be surprised if it happens. :fireface: :banghead:

The days and nights are wonderful for backyard activities and get’r done chores, but a complete disaster for the agriculture/ arbor culture world. More counties will be added to the disaster designation in the coming weeks, especially along and south of 71
last several days, my hummingbird feeder has been taken over by a small army of honeybees. They are sucking the nectar dry. I feel bad for the poor hummingbirds who can't get a word in edge-wise, but even sorrier for the bees, they have to be truly desperate to find any liquid/nectar at this point. I keep refilling it to help them.
You bring up a great point and another subject… the effects of a prolonged drought on wildlife. Of course it’s worse in eastern Ohio atm , but we aren’t far behind. Extremely low or dried up creeks and ponds can wipe out fish and other pond life. Nut and acorn amounts will be few and far between and a huge amount of animals depend on these over winter
Great posts guys! I have noticed acorns dropping over the last few weeks prematurely due to the drought. Black walnuts aren't as big either etc, etc. If we were to get a tough winter (probably not, but if we did) on top of the drought right now, it could really get tough for wildlife without a doubt.

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Sep 16, 2024 2:59 pm
by Bgoney
Unfortunately no last minute surprises from 12z suite. The tropics have Been no match for the OV drought regions and the big Great Lakes/Canadian high


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Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Sep 16, 2024 4:09 pm
by dce
House of Cards wrote: Mon Sep 16, 2024 12:34 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 2:42 pm
dce wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 12:07 pm
Bgoney wrote: Sat Sep 14, 2024 7:27 am EU Ensembles 5 day temp average to finish the month . Canada experiencing the largest anomaly . Locally (cvg) , our mid month highs are below 80 and lows upper 50s and losing a degree on both ends about every 2/3 days



IMG_2160.jpeg
IMG_2232.jpegIMG_2233.jpeg
Might as well be a Dec-Feb 2024-25 temperature map. The way things have been going I won't be surprised if it happens. :fireface: :banghead:

The days and nights are wonderful for backyard activities and get’r done chores, but a complete disaster for the agriculture/ arbor culture world. More counties will be added to the disaster designation in the coming weeks, especially along and south of 71
last several days, my hummingbird feeder has been taken over by a small army of honeybees. They are sucking the nectar dry. I feel bad for the poor hummingbirds who can't get a word in edge-wise, but even sorrier for the bees, they have to be truly desperate to find any liquid/nectar at this point. I keep refilling it to help them.
I can second that. My hummingbird feeders are overrun with bees as well. The hummers definitely aren't too happy!

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Sep 16, 2024 4:41 pm
by MVWxObserver
I have a feeder but its for Golden Finches and other varieties like Sparrows, Wrens, and the occasional Mourning Dove and Robin.

I pray and hope that OV farmers won't have to resort eventually to transporting livestock to rendering factories because of the drought.

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Sep 16, 2024 4:47 pm
by tron777
87 here today, 88 at CVG.

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Sep 16, 2024 5:40 pm
by MVWxObserver
CVG reached 88, DAY 87 and CMH 86 today.

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 4:34 am
by tron777
Good morning all! A tad cooler and drier this morning with easterly flow. We should see a few more clouds today and tomorrow keeping us in the lower 80s (70s in the East). This is due to the tropical wave coming into the App. Mountains. I will keep a CYA POP in there for our Eastern counties as well but most of you will remain dry. Then we're back into the mid and upper 80s Thurs and Fri. We could easily touch 90 again by Fri and Sat. The 90s aren't quite done yet IMO.

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 6:36 am
by Bgoney
Pretty impressive week of heat the last 7 days. Cvg made it to top 3 compared to other years. Cbus and Dayton included



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Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 6:43 am
by tron777
This week probably won't be much different unfortunately. In the extended range, Days 10-15, the GFS has been showing a hurricane working tis way into the Gulf and a trough diving into the Eastern US. Can we get some interaction between these two features to change up the pattern? It's all I've got folks! It's really the only interesting thing to track at this point.

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 7:30 am
by Bgoney
tron777 wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2024 6:43 am This week probably won't be much different unfortunately. In the extended range, Days 10-15, the GFS has been showing a hurricane working tis way into the Gulf and a trough diving into the Eastern US. Can we get some interaction between these two features to change up the pattern? It's all I've got folks! It's really the only interesting thing to track at this point.
Yep , when all is said and done , this two week stretch of September heat will be top 10

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 7:33 am
by tron777
Bgoney wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2024 7:30 am
tron777 wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2024 6:43 am This week probably won't be much different unfortunately. In the extended range, Days 10-15, the GFS has been showing a hurricane working tis way into the Gulf and a trough diving into the Eastern US. Can we get some interaction between these two features to change up the pattern? It's all I've got folks! It's really the only interesting thing to track at this point.
Yep , when all is said and done , this two week stretch of September heat will be top 10
Without question and if the tropics fail to produce, then we will see a Top Ten if not the driest Sept on record!

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 8:55 am
by Trentonwx06
Going to South Carolina next week, crazy the highs will only be 78-80 on the beach and warmer here. At least looking dry for most part now.

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 10:06 am
by tron777

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 11:30 am
by tron777
Clouds are keeping temps into the mid 70s right now, but with a NE wind and dews down into the upper 40s, no rain will be falling unfortunately. Once we get rid of the clouds by Thurs, temps will be allowed to resume above normal status and in some cases, much above normal!

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 11:57 am
by Bgoney
Partly sunny in East Hamilton. I think we have a chance to over achieve again(cvg)

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 1:06 pm
by tron777
CVG is back up to 80. Dew has fallen to 44, wow! The drought is really taking hold now.

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 1:54 pm
by Bgoney
So much for tropical influence for today’s weather. Relative humidity sits at 27% . Models do not handle the expansive drought’s influence on air mass, much like a snow cover in winter causes them problems with temperatures

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 2:07 pm
by tron777
Bgoney wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2024 1:54 pm So much for tropical influence for today’s weather. Relative humidity sits at 27% . Models do not handle the expansive drought’s influence on air mass, much like a snow cover in winter causes them problems with temperatures
Until the Gulf opens up for business, dry is the way to go 100%! When the wind is from an Easterly and Northerly direction, that is a dry flow. We know this of course, just stating the obvious. The flow needs to be southerly and from the deep tropics to have a chance to overcome this drought. The longer the drought lasts, the tougher it will be to break. I have confidence that it will break at some point. They always do in our area but it may not be until late Autumn or winter,

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 2:20 pm
by MVWxObserver
I hate the drought like we all do.

But for outdoor activities like Bocce ball e.g. the fair wx comes in handy. Yesterday evening in the Bocce ball league games my Dad and I played two with friends from our neighborhood community, Alex and Kathy, and they beat us in both games, and that after they spent a week in Branson, MO. :camptrailer:

Hopefully we can do better this evening vs some other friends, Bob and Krista! :thumbupright:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 2:49 pm
by tron777
The drought is good for outdoor plans certainly, but bad news for our lawns, gardens, trees etc and bad news for local farmers too. It will cost us all in the end with higher grocery prices (like we need more of that!) So in the end, I'd rather sacrifice nice weather and outdoor plans. But that's just me. :lol:

Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Sep 17, 2024 4:06 pm
by Bgoney
Tropical storm Virga has arrived


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