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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:29 am
by tron777
Trevor wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:29 am
Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:28 am
The later start is huge
Agreed.
I'll third that...
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:37 am
by MVWxObserver
Saw a few minutes ago a maintenance guy in his truck pre-treating our street and others in the 'hood.
Currently 27 here in G'ville and progged for around 33 today.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:38 am
by fyrfyter
tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:29 am
Trevor wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:29 am
Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:28 am
The later start is huge
Agreed.
I'll third that...
I’ll 4th it…
It shows rain at 5pm and then snow at 6pm. The later we can push it, the stronger likelihood that more of it comes in as snow. Either way, this evening looks messy.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:43 am
by winterstormjoe
Trevor wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 7:19 am
Info to go along with map...
Trev, music to my ears if there is thundersnow! Than can be a quick thump of snow!
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:47 am
by tron777
SPC Meso page shows the surface low along the Red River now (TX / OK border). Seeing some nice EPV showing up across MO and some very impressive frontogenic forcing over Central ILL.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:50 am
by Trentonwx06
12Z NAM looks good to me for everyone in the forum. See the next couple frames.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:51 am
by winterstormjoe
tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:47 am
SPC Meso page shows the surface low along the Red River now (TX / OK border). Seeing some nice EPV showing up across MO and some very impressive frontogenic forcing over Central ILL.
This is my favorite part of a snow event...The "Nowcast".
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:56 am
by cloudy72
Just had some virga snow lol Good enough to moisten up the atmosphere for when the real action comes in later. Although with all the frontogenesis, it shouldn't be an issue. lol
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:05 am
by wrmwxfreak
Okay, couple of questions:
1. Will this snow stick to roads?
2. Is this storm headed on a path to DC? And if so, will it stick to roads on the way there?
3. Airline concerns from here to there?
One of my closest friends lost her 19 year old son in a car accident on Wednesday morning, and there may be a memorial service there this weekend.
Thanks in advance.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:06 am
by tron777
Anybody got a snow map from the 12Z NAM? Thanks!
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:08 am
by Trevor
tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:06 am
Anybody got a snow map from the 12Z NAM? Thanks!
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:11 am
by Trevor
09z SREF looking good...
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:24 am
by MVWxObserver
wrmwxfreak wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:05 am
Okay, couple of questions:
1. Will this snow stick to roads?
2. Is this storm headed on a path to DC? And if so, will it stick to roads on the way there?
3. Airline concerns from here to there?
One of my closest friends lost her 19 year old son in a car accident on Wednesday morning, and there may be a memorial service there this weekend.
Thanks in advance.
So sorry to hear about your close friend's loss of her son, Casie.
Prayers and thoughts for her and her family.
Now up to 28 degrees here.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:28 am
by Mjr
wrmwxfreak wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:05 am
Okay, couple of questions:
1. Will this snow stick to roads?
2. Is this storm headed on a path to DC? And if so, will it stick to roads on the way there?
3. Airline concerns from here to there?
One of my closest friends lost her 19 year old son in a car accident on Wednesday morning, and there may be a memorial service there this weekend.
Thanks in advance.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:50 am
by tron777
Hey Casie.... got busy working so just getting around to responding to your questions. If you get under a heavier band of snow then after 6pm, I would expect it to start sticking to some of the roads. This storm is headed towards the mid-Atlantic and DC regions and it will impact them overnight tonight into early tomorrow morning.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:53 am
by tron777
Checked some obs out of Central ILL in the past hour and a lot of stations are reporting snow, some of it heavy, with visibilities between 1/4 to 1 mile.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:05 am
by fyrfyter
Some of these returns West of St Louis are awesome! Hope they exist when it gets here!
IMG_0809.png
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:12 am
by rhodesman88
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:14 am
by tron777
12Z NAM showed 0.35" QPF for CVG. Finally getting a chance to look into things a little deeper here at work. 12Z RGEM is in and a general 1-3" for most. Again just depends on where those heavy bands set up. 12Z ICON has 2-3" for most folks.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:14 am
by tron777
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:17 am
by tron777
3" measured being reported out of Springfield, ILL. Still snowing with a few more hours yet to go out that way.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:20 am
by tron777
Radar also showing a few t-showers getting into the mix over SW MO.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:23 am
by tron777
The closest reporting station to us reporting light snow attm is Muncie, IN. IND Metro should be next on the list.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:35 am
by tron777
Highest report I could find and it's a recent one:
Code: Select all
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
925 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0915 AM Snow 2 S Grandview 39.79N 89.62W
02/16/2024 M4.0 inch Sangamon IL Broadcast Media
Snowfall since 6 am at WICS TV station in
Springfield.
Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:37 am
by tron777
12Z GFS should be a nice run... it's coming in slower and stronger with the surface low vs 6Z.
