Absolute Vorticity

tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jun 18, 2023 3:20 pm Hey Les and glad you made it back home. The models came back north overnight and the trend continues. Again probably a sharp cutoff but where that finally sets up is to close to call. The Euro had those insane numbers for Greenville and over 8 inches which again is way to high but it does show plenty of moisture available. They could have rain for 5 straight days down here and they are already soaked.

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Sun Jun 18, 2023 4:51 pm Welcome back Les!

Currently 79 here in G'ville.

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Sun Jun 18, 2023 4:54 pm HAPPY BIG 60TH BIRTHDAY MARK!!

I hope that you're enjoying your special day, Wxbuddy!

We're the same age!

Bgoney wrote: ↑Sun Jun 18, 2023 11:17 am

young pup wrote: ↑Sun Jun 18, 2023 10:40 am

Bgoney wrote: ↑Sun Jun 18, 2023 7:14 am

tpweather wrote: ↑Sat Jun 17, 2023 7:36 pm Good Evening and down to the last few days in SC. The weather has been wonderful but rain moving in on Monday and we plan on leaving that afternoon. Saw something from the Louisville NWS and so far this year Louisville,Bowling Green and Lexington have not had a low temperature of 70 or above. Very late in the year and of course with the drier conditions this has led to cooler nighttime lows. The heat in the south central and along the western GOM is quite hot even for them. Reason is the heat is not moving to far north and you get such a smaller area that roasts. Not seeing that kind of heat moving this way and though milder over the next 10 days or so we will be at normal to slightly below normal for the most part.

The 500mb pattern continues to look as bad as you can get for beneficial rains for the OV/Midwest. Ridging in Mexico/southern Texas has the ring of fire/ridge riders well to the south along a stalled out boundary, keeping the GOM still closed for us , compared to normal. At times the ridging hooks up with another ridge near the Canadian border/Michigan which keeps giving us northern flow/ hence wild fire smoke. It really looks bad for widespread rains from Cincinnati northward for the foreseeable future.

I really need to get better at looking at this part of the models. Just by looking at the precip maps for the next 10 dayson the 0z. It looks like CVG,Day,Cmh all are in the 1 to 2 inch range of rainfall. But, your posts seems to hint as it being more dryer?

12z NAM now parks the low near Louisville early week , if that is correct cvgland might see some better scattered beneficial rains , before the pattern drs back out

tpweather wrote: ↑Tue Jun 20, 2023 9:34 am Good Morning and finally the SC days are over. What a hellish ride back in the U-haul. Took almost 11 hours compared to a normal 7 hours. Major wrecks everywhere because of the heavy rains and dumb people. I-26 is a pain as they continue to work on that and a car stalled and back up traffic for 45 minutes. I-40 before you hit the Bristol/Knoxville split was backed up because of a storm that hit and caused an accident and that was about 30 minutes. The third was I-75 in northern Tn as another storm caused a back up and another 1 hour delay and that last was on I-75 north of Georgetown where once again heavy rains caused another accident with all lanes shut down and another 1 hour delay.

Still expected 5-8 inches of rain in the Greenville area this week and guess what I don't care. Will talk about the weather later today as we have quite a bit going on compared to the last 45 days or so.

tpweather wrote: ↑Tue Jun 20, 2023 9:34 am Good Morning and finally the SC days are over. What a hellish ride back in the U-haul. Took almost 11 hours compared to a normal 7 hours. Major wrecks everywhere because of the heavy rains and dumb people. I-26 is a pain as they continue to work on that and a car stalled and back up traffic for 45 minutes. I-40 before you hit the Bristol/Knoxville split was backed up because of a storm that hit and caused an accident and that was about 30 minutes. The third was I-75 in northern Tn as another storm caused a back up and another 1 hour delay and that last was on I-75 north of Georgetown where once again heavy rains caused another accident with all lanes shut down and another 1 hour delay.

Still expected 5-8 inches of rain in the Greenville area this week and guess what I don't care. Will talk about the weather later today as we have quite a bit going on compared to the last 45 days or so.

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Tue Jun 20, 2023 11:44 am

tpweather wrote: ↑Tue Jun 20, 2023 9:34 am Good Morning and finally the SC days are over. What a hellish ride back in the U-haul. Took almost 11 hours compared to a normal 7 hours. Major wrecks everywhere because of the heavy rains and dumb people. I-26 is a pain as they continue to work on that and a car stalled and back up traffic for 45 minutes. I-40 before you hit the Bristol/Knoxville split was backed up because of a storm that hit and caused an accident and that was about 30 minutes. The third was I-75 in northern Tn as another storm caused a back up and another 1 hour delay and that last was on I-75 north of Georgetown where once again heavy rains caused another accident with all lanes shut down and another 1 hour delay.

Still expected 5-8 inches of rain in the Greenville area this week and guess what I don't care. Will talk about the weather later today as we have quite a bit going on compared to the last 45 days or so.

Hey Tim,

Have a cold one for our Redlegs, bro!! I had to pinch myself last night a few times!!

Like a World Series atmosphere there at the GAB as the party was on big time around where Chris Welsh and Brian Giesenschlag were broadcasting!!