Absolute Vorticity

Picked up another quick 0.3 inches from a pretty heavy shower. Not much wind and only a couple claps of thunder.

My thinking is that the warm front is not really going to move more to the north... the low should be moving east across Southern IN and Southern Ohio. I'd say somewhere between the Dayton southern burbs and northern Cincy burbs.

House of Cards wrote: ↑Wed Jun 08, 2022 3:00 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Jun 08, 2022 2:31 pm Wx Radio went off... TOR Watch until 10pm finally issued. Sheesh! Thunder and rain here now.

How bad are your winds? I just got home, already raining so too late to take down canopy on my patio. Hope it survives.

Oh it was just a little downpour, nothing really to speak of.

MJSun wrote: ↑Wed Jun 08, 2022 2:59 pm Well hello Tornado Watch! When will things start popping around here?

And hi Vorticity friends!

Hey Mollie! Grab a seat... the fun is just getting started.

Per SPC mesopage... Gonna eye ball it here, but I's day that the surface is is around 1007 MB now located over Western IN, somewhere between Terra Haute and Vincennes.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Ripley County in southeastern Indiana...

* Until 345 PM EDT.

* At 305 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles west of
Versailles, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Versailles, Milan, Osgood, Sunman, Holton, Friendship, Versailles
Lake, Rexville, Otter Village, Benham, Olean and New Marion.

ALERT: Per ILN's Facebook page, a special weather balloon has been launched. Waiting on the data to show up on the SPC Soundings page.

Updated supercell comp index:

82/69 here now - those 70 dewpoints are knocking on my door....and dome!

15Z SREF run for Significant TOR ingredients:

This isn't good more sun breaking out in NKY...

I am still overcast here but that little bit of sun should be getting into my hood here shortly.

Storms are lurking off to my west so maybe not on the sun part.

76 / 70 here... wondering if those 2 cells may merge over me? Thundering attm.

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN LEWIS AND SOUTHERN ADAMS COUNTIES...

At 406 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Manchester,
moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
West Union, Manchester, Rome, Blue Creek, Concord, Bentonville,
Carrs and Cedar Mills.

Special 19Z Weather Balloon sounding from ILN - Oh my!

Latest from the boys:

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
Showers and thunderstorms have developed across the Tri-State
area near a northward advancing warm front, and also instigated
from an eastward moving MCV. Initial scattered convection may
be discrete/supercellular in nature, but as a
shortwave/deepening low approaches from the west later this
afternoon and evening, more widespread convection is expected
and convection may eventually take on more of a linear mode.

Expect a tight gradient of CAPE as the warm front moves to the
north, but sufficient instability to support organized and
possibly severe convection looks to move northward into much of
the CWA over the next several hours. Wind fields and shear look
pretty good too, and therefore there is the risk for all severe
hazards into this evening. Damaging winds and large hail are the
primary threats, however with the warm front and available
shear, rotating storms and isolated tornadoes will be possible.
In addition, heavy rainfall will occur in the strongest storms
and those areas that receive multiple rounds of heavy rainfall
and/or training could wind up with localized flash flooding.

As the low and shortwave move east across Ohio, convection will
push east with it and end from west to east this evening,
although lingering low level moisture will likely produce cloudy
skies for the overnight. Lows will drop into the mid to upper
50s.

T-storm in progress again here... nothing severe going on at this time.

Just heard some distant thunder. My guess from the storm near Les or maybe Les spilled a beer.

The National Weather Service in Indianapolis has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Central Rush County in central Indiana...

* Until 445 PM EDT.

* At 413 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Rushville, or 13 miles northeast of Shelbyville,
moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Rushville around 430 PM EDT.

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Jun 08, 2022 4:17 pm Just heard some distant thunder. My guess from the storm near Les or maybe Les spilled a beer.

Thunder, lightning, heavy rain and gusts to 30 here. Decent storm!

That one's over. Looks like a break coming for me for a while so hopefully we can re-charge for some real action.

Tropical downpour here with 0.31"

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Central Kenton County in northern Kentucky...
Central Campbell County in northern Kentucky...
Central Boone County in northern Kentucky...
Southeastern Hamilton County in southwestern Ohio...
Northwestern Clermont County in southwestern Ohio...

* Until 515 PM EDT.

* At 431 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Elsmere,
moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Cincinnati, Covington, Florence, Independence, Erlanger, Fort
Thomas, Newport, Edgewood, Alexandria, Elsmere, Fort Mitchell,
Villa Hills, Highland Heights, Milford, Taylor Mill, Fort Wright,
Southgate, Crescent Springs, Crestview Hills and Park Hills.

I can already feel the atmosphere recharging here