Absolute Vorticity

I have some cousins and their families who are about to get slammed for the 2nd time this week in southwest IN.

snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Aug 01, 2024 1:46 pm

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Thu Aug 01, 2024 9:12 am The retirement community where my folks and I reside in south Greenville will be having a Maid-Rites party complete with a band in a village center bldg. at 5 PM today. Maid-Rites has been a Greenville landmark since 1934 and is famous for their loose meat beer-cooked burgers. Prayerfully the sky won't be unleashing during that hour and a half to 2 hours up this way.

Hey Eric, save me a Maid-Rite. We always stop in there whenever we're passing through Greenville. Good stuff!

Hey Bo, cool bro! I've got strange taste buds so I get the plain ones with just pickle and ketchup but my folks like cheese Rites and with everything.

----

1833 UNK 2 S Princeton Gibson IN 3833 8757 Public report of large tree limbs down. (PAH)

1834 UNK 2 NE Vincennes University Knox IN 3871 8749 Tree downed. Time estimated from radar. (IND)

1909 UNK 1 SSW Evansville Vanderburgh IN 3796 8755 Large tree down near home. (PAH)

1940 UNK Henderson Henderson KY 3784 8758 Several trees down in the city. (PAH)

1944 UNK 1 E Reed Henderson KY 3785 8733 Power lines down. (PAH)

1945 UNK 2 N Tell City Perry IN 3798 8675 Several trees downed ... with some snapped and uprooted trees along Troy Ridge Road and Brushy Fork Road. (LMK)

1955 60 6 SSE Hebbardsville Daviess KY 3770 8733 (PAH)

1955 UNK 5 NNE Dodd Perry IN 3798 8665 Trees were downed on Deer Creek Road near Cannelton. (LMK)

2005 UNK Owensboro Daviess KY 3776 8711 Damage to a few trees in the city of Owensboro. (PAH)

2047 UNK 1 NNW Corydon Harrison IN 3823 8613 Power lines down on Old Indiana Route 135 in Corydon. (LMK)

2108 UNK 1 W Saint Matthews Jefferson KY 3825 8565 Trees down near the intersection of Breckenridge Lane and Grandview Avenue in Saint Matthews. (LMK)

2113 UNK Jeffersontown Jefferson KY 3820 8557 A tree fell through the roof of a house on Lynnwood Way in Jeffersontown. (LMK)

2113 UNK 1 SSE Saint Matthews Jefferson KY 3824 8563 Trees down onto power lines near the intersection of Sherburn Lane and Mallard Creek Road. (LMK)

2115 UNK 1 SSW Jeffersontown Jefferson KY 3819 8557 A large tree fell onto a garage in Jeffersontown and was tangled in power lines. (LMK)

2120 UNK 3 ESE Middletown Jefferson KY 3823 8547 Tree down on Bircham Road. (LMK)

2212 UNK 4 SW Frankfort Franklin KY 3816 8492 Tree down at the intersection of Cardwell Lane and C Michael Davenport Boulevard in Frankfort. (LMK)

2214 UNK 2 SW Frankfort Franklin KY 3817 8490 A tree fell onto an apartment building on Ridgewood Lane in Frankfort. (LMK)

2218 UNK 3 NNW Mannsville Taylor KY 3741 8523 Trees and power lines down on Spurlington Road in northeastern Taylor County. (LMK)

2226 UNK 4 S Tyrone Anderson KY 3798 8484 Trees down along Gilberts Creek Road in eastern Anderson County. (LMK)

2236 UNK 2 E Shakertown Mercer KY 3782 8483 Large tree limbs down across Warwick Road near McCroskey Pike. (LMK)

2240 58 4 SSW New Zion Fayette KY 3813 8450 Measured at SPIN Fayette County KY Mesonet site. (LMK)

2241 UNK Portland Jay IN 4043 8498 Report of a tree down in Portland. (IWX)

2242 UNK 1 N Moreland Lincoln KY 3752 8481 Trees down along Kentucky Route 2141. (LMK)

2244 UNK 2 ENE West Carrollton Montgomery OH 3967 8422 Large tree limb down on house. (ILN)

2250 UNK 3 ESE McKinney Lincoln KY 3744 8472 Trees down along Kentucky Route 698. (LMK)

2303 UNK 1 N Sidney Shelby OH 4029 8416 Tree down on a power line. (ILN)

2304 UNK Grade Pulaski KY 3707 8447 County dispatch reports multiple trees blown down in the vicinity of White Lily along KY-192. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2306 UNK 2 SSE Pointer Pulaski KY 3711 8475 County dispatch reports tree blown down along KY-2993 in the vicinity of McLin Lane. Even time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2308 UNK 6 WNW Ford Fayette KY 3792 8436 Tree downed on McCalls Mill Road near Athens. (LMK)

2310 UNK 2 NW Palmer Estill KY 3783 8408 County dispatch reported a tree blown down around 1000 Red River Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2314 UNK Dog Walk Lincoln KY 3738 8451 Tree down along Kentucky Route 39 south of Crab Orchard. (LMK)

2308 UNK 6 WNW Ford Fayette KY 3792 8436 Tree downed on McCalls Mill Road near Athens. (LMK)

2318 UNK 1 N Sam Estill KY 3779 8403 County dispatch reported a tree blown down in the 7700 block of Winchester Road and impacted an electric line causing a small fire. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2318 UNK 1 N Westbend Powell KY 3793 8397 County dispatch reported tree blown down onto Cooperas Creek Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2319 UNK 1 S Conway Rockcastle KY 3746 8433 Dispatch reported tree blown down in the 8200 block of North Wilderness Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2320 UNK Richmond Madison KY 3774 8429 Dispatch reports trees down across Madison County. KRGA measured a peak wind gust of 46 mph. (LMK)

2320 UNK Westbend Powell KY 3791 8396 County dispatch reports tree blown down on Wells Lane. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2321 UNK 1 ENE Spout Springs Powell KY 3784 8395 County dispatch reported trees blown down near intersection of Eddie Ridge and Happy Top roads. (JKL)

2322 UNK Bronston Pulaski KY 3699 8462 County dispatch reported tree blown down onto KY-790 at a sharp curve in Bronston. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2325 UNK 1 SW Mount Vernon Rockcastle KY 3735 8436 County dispatch reports a tree blown down near the intersection of White Rock Road and KY-150. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2327 UNK 1 WSW Roundstone Rockcastle KY 3743 8433 County dispatch reports tree blown down on Old Sigmon Loop Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2328 UNK Wisemantown Estill KY 3767 8401 County dispatch reported a tree blown down onto Coral Avenue. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2331 UNK Pitts Estill KY 3771 8388 County dispatch reports electric lines down at the intersection of KY-52 and KY-213. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2332 UNK 2 SE Pitts Estill KY 3769 8386 County dispatch reports tree blown down on Tipton Ridge Road on the Cobhill side. Exact location not given. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2332 UNK 1 SW Bowen Powell KY 3783 8379 County dispatch reports tree blown down near intersection of Halls Branch Road and Campton Road with power line involved. (JKL)

2334 UNK 1 NW Oakley Bath KY 3826 8374 County dispatch reported tree blown down onto Oakley-Pebble Road. Specific location was not given. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2335 UNK 1 NW Crooks Bath KY 3808 8377 County dispatch reported a tree blown down onto Kendall Springs Road around the 4800 block. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2337 UNK 1 SE Frazer Wayne KY 3694 8468 County dispatch reported that a vehicle hit a tree blown down into the road near the intersection of KY-1568 and Bradley Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2337 UNK 1 W Cowan Fleming KY 3841 8391 County dispatch reported a tree blown down in the 600 block of Buchanan Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2340 UNK 1 NNW Owingsville Bath KY 3815 8376 County dispatch reported multiple trees blown down in Owingsville but did not give specific locations. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2342 UNK 2 E Nada Powell KY 3782 8369 County dispatch reported a tree blown down on Nada Tunnel Road in the 1000 to 2000 block. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2343 UNK Leighton Estill KY 3761 8388 County dispatch reports a tree blown down in the 900 block of Leighton Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2343 UNK Salt Lick Bath KY 3812 8362 County dispatch reported multiple trees blown down in Salt Lick but did not give specific locations. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2346 UNK 1 NNW Bark Camp Whitley KY 3692 8426 County dispatch reported a tree blown down on KY-1193 out toward the Noes Dock area. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2346 UNK 2 ENE Jenson Wolfe KY 3778 8360 County dispatch reports a tree blown down about 2 miles up KY-715 N. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2349 UNK Arvel Jackson KY 3752 8389 County dispatch reports 2 power lines blown down near the intersection of 1209 and KY-587. Time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2349 UNK 2 ESE Trent Wolfe KY 3776 8342 County dispatch reported tree blown down along Johnson Fork Road. Reported at 755 PM. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2352 UNK 1 WNW Deering Whitley KY 3689 8422 County dispatch reported a tree blown down on Raymond Ridge Road. Even time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2352 UNK 1 NNW Knoxfork Laurel KY 3701 8393 County dispatch reported tree down with electrical wires causing electrical fire at Matt Baker Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2352 UNK 3 N McHargue Laurel KY 3704 8402 County dispatch reported multiple trees blown down along KY-229 at different points between London and the Laurel/Knox county line. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2352 UNK 1 NE Beattyville Lee KY 3759 8370 County dispatch reported a tree blown down and blocking Grand Avenue between the Minter & Moore Veterinary Clinic and the Beattyville & Lee County Fire Department. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2354 UNK 1 NNE Levi Jackson Wilderness Laurel KY 3710 8403 County dispatch reported a tree down with electrical wire fire at Skyline View. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2354 UNK 2 N Levi Jackson Wilderness Laurel KY 3711 8404 County dispatch reported a tree down with electrical wires causing a fire about the midway along Sasser School Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

2354 UNK 1 NNE Pomeroyton Menifee KY 3788 8352 County dispatch reports a tree blown down in the 3200 block of KY-1569. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0000 UNK Warren Knox KY 3675 8384 County dispatch reported trees blown down on KY-225 near the intersection with Warren Camp Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0000 UNK 1 NNW Trent Wolfe KY 3778 8347 NWS Employee reported that a tree had blown down across KY-3356 near MM 1. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0004 UNK 3 SSW Malcomb Clay KY 3724 8386 County dispatch reported a tree blown down on KY-472 about 2.5 miles from US-421. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0004 UNK 2 SW High Knob Clay KY 3725 8384 County dispatch reports a tree blown down on Keith Lane. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0006 UNK Woollum Knox KY 3703 8382 Social media report of trees down along Hwy 11 from Clay County to Knox County. Exact location estimated. Time estimated via radar. (JKL)

0012 UNK Laurel Creek Clay KY 3725 8375 Dispatch reported a tree blown down on Collins Fork Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0014 UNK 1 WNW Burg Morgan KY 3774 8328 Dispatch reports tree blown down on KY-134 approximately 2 miles from the intersection with KY-191 at Adele. Event time estimate from radar. (JKL)

0018 UNK Wild Cat Clay KY 3723 8369 County dispatch reported a tree blown down on road about 6 miles up KY-11 North. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0019 UNK 3 SSE Hector Clay KY 3712 8364 County dispatch reported a tree blown down on US-421 S approximately 11 miles out of Manchester. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0020 UNK Canoe Breathitt KY 3745 8345 County dispatch reported a tree blown down in the 5900 block of Canoe Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0020 UNK 1 ESE Williams Morgan KY 3783 8317 County dispatch reports tree blown down onto US-460 at the Morgan/Magoffin county line. Event time estimate from radar. (JKL)

0027 UNK 3 NW Bledsoe Leslie KY 3696 8340 County dispatch reports 2 trees blown down around MM 3 along US-421. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0032 UNK Germantown Montgomery OH 3963 8437 Two trees down. (ILN)

0034 UNK Thousandsticks Leslie KY 3718 8343 County dispatch reported 1 tree blown down at the intersection of Osborne Fork and Upper Bull Creek roads. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0038 UNK 1 ENE Hazard Perry KY 3726 8317 County dispatch reports a tree blown down on Walker Branch Road blocking the highway and trapping power lines. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0057 UNK 2 WSW Bosco Floyd KY 3749 8288 County dispatch reports a tree blown down at the intersection of KY-7 and KY-2029. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0124 UNK 1 E Canal Winchester Franklin OH 3984 8280 Trees down. (ILN)

0129 UNK 1 N Brice Franklin OH 3993 8283 Powerlines down. (ILN)

0133 UNK 4 NNE Virgie Pike KY 3739 8256 State police reports tree down in the 6700 block of Robinson Creek Road blocking both lanes. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0137 UNK 2 SW Shelbiana Pike KY 3740 8252 State police reports several trees blown down onto Collins Highway near the intersection with Buckfield Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0144 UNK 1 SSE Regina Pike KY 3736 8241 State police reports tree blocking US-460 near intersection with Blair-Adkins Road. Event time estimated from radar. (JKL)

0700 UNK 2 ENE Grahamville McCracken KY 3713 8874 Delayed report. Trees and powerlines down near and along Noble Road ... Bobo Road ... and Carneal Road. Time estimated from radar. (PAH)

0714 UNK Lone Oak McCracken KY 3704 8866 Delayed report. Two large tree limbs down near the intersection of Lakeview Drive and Albany Ave. Time estimated from radar. (PAH)

Radar is lighting up to the West. Looking more interesting for Cincy on south in the next hour or two.

Cvg made it to 90. 4000+ for SB cape

Bgoney wrote: ↑Thu Aug 01, 2024 5:06 pm Cvg made it to 90. 4000+ for SB cape

I just updated the contest thread. I got 89'ed. We have 30 knots of bulk shear and decent DCAPE values too for SE IN and NKY. Lapse rates look halfway decent for a change too. I like what I'm seeing.

Both CVG / DAY got to 90 and CMH 91 today.

Sure am glad the Redlegs are off today.

----

Wow was it muggy this afternoon. Made it home just before the rain and hopefully a nice dose this evening. A little bit of thunder at the moment but nothing bad at all with a light to moderate rain at times.

July totals in for CVG and we ended up 1 degree above average for the month on temps and 20p/c above normal on rainfall. So much for the hot and dry forecasts by the models. August starting out wet and warm.

Good morning all and despite the look on radar, CVG only picked up 0.12" last evening. 0.21" at the Boone Co mesonet site. We have one more decent chance coming up for today before chances really drop off tomorrow. Then we dry out and turn warmer for Sunday on into next week. We do look to drop back into the 80s for the second half of next week but the forecast challenge remains due to the tropics and a cold front trying to push in as well.

An SPS has been issued this morning for patchy dense fog. I saw some of that IMBY.

...PATCHY DENSE FOG POSSIBLE FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE...

Patchy dense fog will continue to develop through sunrise across
the region. Visibilities may rapidly fluctuate from good to poor
in short distances. Motorists may experience visibilities of a
quarter mile or less at times.

Allow extra time to reach your destination this morning. Slow
down, allowing extra distance between you and the vehicle ahead of
you. Use low beam headlights.

I checked the overnight CAMs and they are all showing scattered coverage for this afternoon and evening... not very impressive at all. Local radar this morning shows another boundary pushing into the I-65 corridor and the best action is well to our SW with the northern part in a decaying trend like usual. We'll have to wait and see how much CAPE we get again today. The lack of wind shear has been a big thorn in our sides with regards to severe storms and widespread MCS activity.

Another weak showing out this way also , a trace after all that showing on radar. But still many in the region have made major improvements in the drought, just not Imby.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Aug 02, 2024 6:44 am Another weak showing out this way also , a trace after all that showing on radar. But still many in the region have made major improvements in the drought, just not Imby.

Agreed... MBY has improved significantly over the past week. Sure hope that we can get something to develop out your way with the next upper level system dropping in for today and Saturday. Our Eastern counties do have the best chance on Saturday for precip. Otherwise if today and tomorrow fail, most of next week is now trending drier as the tropical system looks to impact FL and potentially the East Coast. This would take the energy and moisture for our incoming cold front next week along with it unfortunately. So in other words, we will be waiting for a while for beneficial rains once again.

Good Morning and add another 0.31 yesterday evening so a very good week in my hood. Been a busy week in the weather department which will slow down by Saturday or Sunday. Next week the tropics get involved and this muddles up the forecast until we have a better handle of when and where a system may end up going.

Good morning Tim! Glad to see that you have cashed in nicely this week. We need to get Bgoney into the game now. The trends so far for next week aren't good for getting rain into the OV. Hope to see it change of course but for now, I am leaning drier.

Good Morning Les and I agree about the drier part. My main item is how hot we get and maybe stay next week. If the system becomes a hurricane and gets rather strong this can build up the ridging even more and though some of the models are showing low 80's late next week this may need to be raised but again the tropical system will have a say in that department. No doubt warm to hot Sunday-Tuesday and then is the front in the northern part of the country able to push through the Ohio Valley or will the tropical system decide to play hard ball and keep us in that 88-92 range a bit longer

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Aug 02, 2024 7:27 am Good Morning Les and I agree about the drier part. My main item is how hot we get and maybe stay next week. If the system becomes a hurricane and gets rather strong this can build up the ridging even more and though some of the models are showing low 80's late next week this may need to be raised but again the tropical system will have a say in that department. No doubt warm to hot Sunday-Tuesday and then is the front in the northern part of the country able to push through the Ohio Valley or will the tropical system decide to play hard ball and keep us in that 88-92 range a bit longer

I like we what we have already talked about. We max out in the lower 90s thru about Tues or Wed. Then the cold front comes thru (dry front) and we drop back into the mid 80s. Unless something changes with regards to the tropical system getting stronger then expected, this to me is a good call.

Next weeks pattern looks more like early September than early August. A decent cold front in the northern USA,tropical system in the southeast and plenty of heat as well.

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Aug 02, 2024 7:43 am Next weeks pattern looks more like early September than early August. A decent cold front in the northern USA,tropical system in the southeast and plenty of heat as well.

Currently Tim.... I am seeing more in the way of cooler weather versus hot weather once we get past early next week. The extended range looks like we get back into NW flow with possible MCS's. This can change, however, should the tropics ramp up further or more then expected. It's too early to know that at this time.

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Aug 02, 2024 7:47 am

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Aug 02, 2024 7:43 am Next weeks pattern looks more like early September than early August. A decent cold front in the northern USA,tropical system in the southeast and plenty of heat as well.

Currently Tim.... I am seeing more in the way of cooler weather versus hot weather once we get past early next week. The extended range looks like we get back into NW flow with possible MCS's. This can change, however, should the tropics ramp up further or more then expected. It's too early to know that at this time.

I agree Les and just a wait and see approach. Not leaning either way at the moment and need to see if the tropical system becomes stronger. I am looking at the pattern next week more typical of early September with nice weather in the northern plains and upper midwest,tropical action in the southeast and rather stormy and warm to hot along the east coast. Since its only early August though I tend to lean warmer but just too early to say that with to much confidence.