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Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:03 pm
by cloudy72
tron777 wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:25 pm That line is definitely JB-Bound in the next couple of hours. Eric - Please report for us as we are suffering in this awful humidity down here. :lol:
Yeah it's definitely converging on the Columbus metro - they seem to steal a lot of our storms! :lol:

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:06 pm
by MVWxObserver
cloudy72 wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:03 pm
tron777 wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:25 pm That line is definitely JB-Bound in the next couple of hours. Eric - Please report for us as we are suffering in this awful humidity down here. :lol:
Yeah it's definitely converging on the Columbus metro - they seem to steal a lot of our storms! :lol:
Yea JP, don't hog 'em all, Bro! :lol:

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:08 pm
by cloudy72
Check this out - 18z 3km NAM total QPF through 6z Saturday.....minus the plane blip at CVG, may the AV force be with you! :lol:

nam-nest-conus-cincinnati-total_precip_inch-8920800.png

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:38 pm
by MVWxObserver
* Primary threats include...

Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:40 pm
by MVWxObserver
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Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:50 pm
by MVWxObserver
DAY reached 92 after a low of 76 today.

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:52 pm
by tron777
cloudy72 wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:56 pm
MVWxObserver wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:53 pm NOT a drop here in my neighborhood area from that "close but no cigar" SVR cell that was in Darke Co. :( :banghead:
Holy smokes! The curse of the AV member dome!
This whole forum is becoming a Dome! :lol:

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:58 pm
by MVWxObserver
tron777 wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:52 pm
cloudy72 wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:56 pm
MVWxObserver wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:53 pm NOT a drop here in my neighborhood area from that "close but no cigar" SVR cell that was in Darke Co. :( :banghead:
Holy smokes! The curse of the AV member dome!
This whole forum is becoming a Dome! :lol:
JP will be going into maximum overdrive mowing for his customers as he has a Wiley Coyote industrial strength ACME Magnet for storms lately! :lol: ;)

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 6:00 pm
by tron777
92 / 72 at CVG with a heat index of 100 the last 2 hours. Heat Advisory for tomorrow. I think a 93-95 high is possible at the Airport. Heat index up to 105 possible in my honest opinion. Should get maximum ridging and highest 850s ahead of the front and with Fred heading towards FL this weekend.

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 6:07 pm
by MVWxObserver
tron777 wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 6:00 pm 92 / 72 at CVG with a heat index of 100 the last 2 hours. Heat Advisory for tomorrow. I think a 93-95 high is possible at the Airport. Heat index up to 105 possible in my honest opinion. Should get maximum ridging and highest 850s ahead of the front and with Fred heading towards FL this weekend.
CVG 92 / 72, DAY 92 / 76, and CMH 90 / 75

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:05 pm
by tron777
MVWxObserver wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 6:07 pm
tron777 wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 6:00 pm 92 / 72 at CVG with a heat index of 100 the last 2 hours. Heat Advisory for tomorrow. I think a 93-95 high is possible at the Airport. Heat index up to 105 possible in my honest opinion. Should get maximum ridging and highest 850s ahead of the front and with Fred heading towards FL this weekend.
CVG 92 / 72, DAY 92 / 76, and CMH 90 / 75
It's the 2nd one for us this month, but I think this is the first one for CMH and DAY. All should have another tomorrow. More touch and go Fri due to clouds and storm chances.

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 8:15 pm
by MVWxObserver
1817 UNK FORT WAYNE ALLEN IN 4108 8514 MULTIPLE REPORTS OF DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES REPORTED BY ALLEN COUNTY DISPATCH. (IWX)

1911 UNK WNW KOSSUTH AUGLAIZE OH 4066 8435 TREE BLOWN DOWN ON 197 (ILN)

1915 67 1 NNW PORTLAND JAY IN 4045 8499 MESONET STATION KPLD PORTLAND MUNICIPAL AIRPORT. (IWX)

1918 UNK 4 E WAPAKONETA AUGLAIZE OH 4057 8412 POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN ON TOWN LINE-LIMA ROAD (ILN)

1918 UNK 4 NNW WAPAKONETA AUGLAIZE OH 4063 8422 TREE BLOWN DOWN ON SHORTLINE ROAD (ILN)

1922 UNK PORTLAND JAY IN 4044 8502 MULTIPLE TREES REPORTED DOWN NEAR 200 W AND SR 67 NEAR JAY COUNTY HIGH SCHOOL. ALSO MULTIPLE TREES DOWN NEAR 100 N AND US 27 NEAR OAKWOOD TRAILER PARK. (IWX)

1923 UNK 3 WSW ST. HENRY MERCER OH 4041 8469 POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN ON TOWNSHIP LINE ROAD AND LANGE ROAD (ILN)

1929 UNK 3 E BELLFOUNTAIN JAY IN 4044 8480 TREE DOWN ACROSS STATE LINE ROAD AT 200 S BETWEEN JAY AND MERCER COUNTIES ON THE INDIANA SIDE. (IWX)

1930 UNK 3 WSW ST. HENRY MERCER OH 4041 8469 A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON TOWNSHIP LINE ROAD. (ILN)

1944 UNK 5 ESE FORT LORAMIE SHELBY OH 4033 8428 TREE FELL INTO POWER LINE ON MASON RD. TIME EST BY RADAR. (ILN)

1944 UNK 5 WSW MINSTER MERCER OH 4038 8447 POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF KREMER AND HUWER ROADS (ILN)

2006 UNK 6 W ST. PARIS MIAMI OH 4014 8406 TREES DOWN OVER WIRES ALONG HIGHWAY 589 AND SODOM-BALLOU ROAD. (ILN)

2008 UNK 5 SSE KENTON HARDIN OH 4058 8357 TREE BLOWN DOWN ON TOWNSHIP RD 265 WEST OF STATE ROUTE 31 (ILN)

2029 UNK RICHWOOD UNION OH 4040 8339 TREES AND POWERLINES WERE BLOWN DOWN ... PRIMARILY IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY. (ILN)

2038 UNK 2 W RADNOR DELAWARE OH 4038 8319 TREE DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF RADNOR AND RIVER ROADS (ILN)

2100 59 KOSU OSU AIRPORT FRANKLIN OH 4008 8307 59MPH MEASURED AT KOSU. (ILN)

2139 UNK 1 W NEWARK LICKING OH 4006 8242 ONE HEALTHY 6-INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMB DOWNED NEAR SR-16 AND SR-79 IN NEWARK. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

2155 UNK ST. LOUISVILLE LICKING OH 4017 8242 SEVERAL AREAS OF TREES DOWN ... SOME ON POWER LINES. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 9:11 pm
by MVWxObserver
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Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Aug 11, 2021 9:31 pm
by MVWxObserver
* Primary threats include...

Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible

Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

A tornado or two possible

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Thu Aug 12, 2021 6:02 am
by cloudy72
77 again here this morning. Looks like we get to watch storms pass us by to the north again today LOL Sorry - my attitude is a bit sour today.....maybe it's this crappy weather pattern we are in :)

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Thu Aug 12, 2021 6:21 am
by Bgoney
Same drill for today , 20-30% isolated pop-up clusters somewhere in the region. Timing of the front tomorrow atm couldn't be worse , with models bring in yet another dying complex in the morning and firing storms further east later afternoon. Its still our best chance for rain though , and anything can happen, but models have been showing the dreaded "gap" for parts of the region, so good luck as another extended dry period for the weekend and next week is in the cards

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Thu Aug 12, 2021 6:37 am
by tron777
95 with a heat index of 105 is my call for CVG today. 76 here this morning, worse then yesterday's 75. :lol:

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Thu Aug 12, 2021 6:49 am
by tpweather
tron777 wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 6:37 am 95 with a heat index of 105 is my call for CVG today. 76 here this morning, worse then yesterday's 75. :lol:
Good Morning Les and I agree with you on the forecast. I have an afternoon tee-time and today will be water on the course instead of beer though one or two beers after may be just fine. Nothing beats a cold beer on a hot day.

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Thu Aug 12, 2021 7:12 am
by tron777
tpweather wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 6:49 am
tron777 wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 6:37 am 95 with a heat index of 105 is my call for CVG today. 76 here this morning, worse then yesterday's 75. :lol:
Good Morning Les and I agree with you on the forecast. I have an afternoon tee-time and today will be water on the course instead of beer though one or two beers after may be just fine. Nothing beats a cold beer on a hot day.
Good morning Tim! I love beer right out of the cooler on a day like day. You can't beat it! :drinkingdrunk:

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Thu Aug 12, 2021 7:16 am
by tron777
Overnight Euro run, FWIW, has two rounds for CVG. Fri morning then again late. Not much next week until Wed night / Thurs per this run.

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Thu Aug 12, 2021 7:29 am
by tron777
SDF tied a record warm min low this morning with a low of 81 degrees. That ties the record from 2010. CVG's was 78 from 1887 so we're safe.

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Thu Aug 12, 2021 8:30 am
by tron777

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Thu Aug 12, 2021 9:41 am
by tron777
Barring any debris cloud blow off, convective temp today at ILN is at 90 degrees so temps should rise pretty quickly with 90 at CVG most likely coming by lunchtime or so.

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Thu Aug 12, 2021 11:09 am
by cloudy72
85 at CVG as of 10:52 - so yeah 90 likely by lunchtime or a bit afterwards. It's brutal out there!

Re: August 2021 Weather Discussion

Posted: Thu Aug 12, 2021 11:31 am
by tron777
cloudy72 wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 11:09 am 85 at CVG as of 10:52 - so yeah 90 likely by lunchtime or a bit afterwards. It's brutal out there!
92 yesterday and we're running at least 1 degree hotter then yesterday at this time. 93 easy at CVG today. Still thinking 95 as where we end up.