Absolute Vorticity

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 10:18 am Just looked at mesopage and it's a shame to see this energy go to waste. Almost at 4000 J/kg at CVG at 10am and nothing for any lifts or triggers.

Maybe just maybe if I go outside around 3pm and sneeze that will do the trick.

tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 11:00 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 10:18 am Just looked at mesopage and it's a shame to see this energy go to waste. Almost at 4000 J/kg at CVG at 10am and nothing for any lifts or triggers.

Maybe just maybe if I go outside around 3pm and sneeze that will do the trick.

Already 84 / 73 as of 11am at CVG. Do it now!

I'm thinking a contest day is a near given at this point - at least we got that

85 / 74 as of 12pm. It's a slow climb due to some moisture laden skies and a little cloudiness to boot., But yeah, it still should occur regardless. Same with tomorrow IMO.

GFS is faster with the front today along with poor timing so not ideal for t-storms. The high is stronger too. Storms get pushed down into TN this weekend. So Fred would likely be a swing and a miss to the east as an end result for next week. Need the front slower and to stall closer to us for Fred impacts.

So radar now looks identical to 6am this morning.......and midnight last night.....and 6am yesterday morning. LOL

Ft Wayne is the place to be!

Agreed... everything is north as Mike said closer to the front or south with storms popping along our boundary from yesterday, over Central KY. I would say the same thing for tomorrow then better chances late Fri / Fri night with the front, if the timing is correct of course.

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 1:45 pm So radar now looks identical to 6am this morning.......and midnight last night.....and 6am yesterday morning. LOL

Ft Wayne is the place to be!

Are we ever the place to be? SOS

Fred's probably a swing and a miss for us at this point, but I like the 12z Euro's slower frontal passage. Gives us a better shot for some much needed rainfall.

Severe Thunderstorm watch may be issued for Columbus area by 3pm...heads up JP and others there!

Those storms will be outrunning the better shear by a good margin by the time they get to Cbus, but hopefully they can hold on to some heavy rains

SVR T-Storm Watch until 8pm for Columbus and north of Dayton

Heat Advisory also issued for all of AV-land until 8pm.

90 as of 3pm at CVG so there we go!

Look at those CAPE values lol Ridiculous!

92/77 in my hood currently - absolutely oppressive! I bet those storms to my north have a ton of lightning with all this energy. Eric looks to be in line to get a nice gully washer.

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 3:31 pm 92/77 in my hood currently - absolutely oppressive! I bet those storms to my north have a ton of lightning with all this energy. Eric looks to be in line to get a nice gully washer.

About the same in my hood Mike. 94-95 tomorrow?

Getting dark, thundery and breezy here in Greenville.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
350 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

OHC011-037-091-149-112015-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-210811T2015Z/
Shelby OH-Logan OH-Darke OH-Auglaize OH-
350 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR SHELBY...NORTHWESTERN LOGAN...NORTHERN DARKE AND CENTRAL AUGLAIZE
COUNTIES...

At 350 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Jackson Center to Greenville, moving southeast at 35
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...

Sidney, Greenville, New Bremen, Minster, Versailles, Newport, Union
City, Anna, Fort Loramie, Jackson Center, Ansonia, Botkins, Lakeview,
Chippewa Park, Hardin, Webster, Russia, Port Jefferson, Osgood and
North Star.

This includes I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 92 and 107.

&&

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Hatzos

----

That line is definitely JB-Bound in the next couple of hours. Eric - Please report for us as we are suffering in this awful humidity down here.

NOT a drop here in my neighborhood area from that "close but no cigar" SVR cell that was in Darke Co.

Nice outflow boundary from the storms made it through DAY - down to 86 there with a north wind. Doesn't look like it rained there....I think Troy was as far south as it made it.

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:53 pm NOT a drop here in my neighborhood area from that "close but no cigar" SVR cell that was in Darke Co.

Yea, I was hoping you were on the Northside of Greenville. That tail petered out when it hit the AV force field

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:53 pm NOT a drop here in my neighborhood area from that "close but no cigar" SVR cell that was in Darke Co.

Holy smokes! The curse of the AV member dome!

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:56 pm

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:53 pm NOT a drop here in my neighborhood area from that "close but no cigar" SVR cell that was in Darke Co.

Yea, I was hoping you were on the Northside of Greenville. That tail petered out when it hit the AV force field

Yea, my folks and I are in north Greenville. AV force field dome syndrome this go around.

Now down to 81 at DAY - not sure the outflow makes it down to my hood.