Absolute Vorticity

airwolf76 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 1:17 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 12:39 pm Looks about like the last system.

lol im going with 1-3" for my hood also. im too far east and your too far west. the great appalachian snowstorm of 2022

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 1:19 pm 12z Euro Kuchera thru 12z Monday


ecmwf-deterministic-cincinnati-total_snow_kuchera-2420800.png

KYZ099-OHZ065-073-081-082-150245-
/O.EXA.KILN.WS.A.0001.220116T1700Z-220117T1200Z/
Mason-Fairfield-Ross-Adams-Pike-
Including the cities of Maysville, Lancaster, Pickerington,
Chillicothe, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, and Piketon
136 PM EST Fri Jan 14 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5
inches possible.

* WHERE...In Ohio, Fairfield, Ross, Adams and Pike Counties. In
Kentucky, Mason County.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 1:30 pm We are 0 for 2 now. Central IN, Central OH, S IN, SW OH and NKY are all snow drought stricken areas at this time,

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 1:40 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 1:30 pm We are 0 for 2 now. Central IN, Central OH, S IN, SW OH and NKY are all snow drought stricken areas at this time,

Here is the disheartening map since 10/1/21 thru yesterday.....


nohrsc-all-ecentus-nohrsc_season_total-2118400.png

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:16 pm Good Afternoon and a nice cold January day and even some flurries early today when I was out and about. Euro all the way and that model has been the same since probably Tuesday with this system. Nothing to change for the ongoing forecast and I gave out my totals for the area yesterday and will give one final total at CVG since that is the one we usually call home base. Before all is said and done Monday CVG will end up with 2.9 inches.

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:16 pm Good Afternoon and a nice cold January day and even some flurries early today when I was out and about. Euro all the way and that model has been the same since probably Tuesday with this system. Nothing to change for the ongoing forecast and I gave out my totals for the area yesterday and will give one final total at CVG since that is the one we usually call home base. Before all is said and done Monday CVG will end up with 2.9 inches.

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:22 pm

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:16 pm Good Afternoon and a nice cold January day and even some flurries early today when I was out and about. Euro all the way and that model has been the same since probably Tuesday with this system. Nothing to change for the ongoing forecast and I gave out my totals for the area yesterday and will give one final total at CVG since that is the one we usually call home base. Before all is said and done Monday CVG will end up with 2.9 inches.

If we get almost 3" here, I'll buy you a tall frosty cold one Tim! I'd be so thrilled!

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:27 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:22 pm

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:16 pm Good Afternoon and a nice cold January day and even some flurries early today when I was out and about. Euro all the way and that model has been the same since probably Tuesday with this system. Nothing to change for the ongoing forecast and I gave out my totals for the area yesterday and will give one final total at CVG since that is the one we usually call home base. Before all is said and done Monday CVG will end up with 2.9 inches.

If we get almost 3" here, I'll buy you a tall frosty cold one Tim! I'd be so thrilled!

Les that would be wonderful and lets make a little bet just for fun. I buy you one if we don't get to 2.9 inches and you buy me one over 2.9 inches. I do believe the Euro may be correct for early Saturday as the system in the midwest today has been a little further east than forecast and that could clip us early in the morning and then we have the clipper behind the main storm Monday and with temps colder I could see some added snow to the totals before all is said and done.

Trevor wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:28 pm Jokes aside, you and I are in the snowier camp with this. Should say something coming from this heat miser…

Trevor wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:28 pm Jokes aside, you and I are in the snowier camp with this. Should say something coming from this heat miser…

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:32 pm 15Z SREF plume has 0-8" for CVG. Mean is almost 3". DAY is 2" for the mean. The mean at ILN is almost 4" and almost 5" at CMH

tpweather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:45 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 2:32 pm 15Z SREF plume has 0-8" for CVG. Mean is almost 3". DAY is 2" for the mean. The mean at ILN is almost 4" and almost 5" at CMH

I saw that Les and folks in Louisville and Lexington really did not shoot up much with the recent run but CVG,DAY,ILN and CMH have a nice increase. Of course some big totals with some of the models but a good range in that 2-5 inch area so who knows. Can we get NAM'ed and will find out shortly.