Absolute Vorticity

98W and the remnants of TD 17W both have a low chance to develop.

While the ATL and East Pac basins are currently quiet, the West Pac has two waves 91W and 92W. Both of which have a high chance of development per the JTWC's website.


https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

TS Gaemi is going to make landfall in China in a few days. We also have TS Prapiroon which will be making landfall in Vietnam.

Gaemi is now a typhoon and it will strike N Taiwan and then mainland China over the next few days.

Wave 91W has a low chance of development. 94W has a medium chance to develop at this time.

We now have TD 06W. This one is expected to become a tropical storm and parallel the Japanese Coast well off shore.

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp0624.gif

TD 06W is now TS Maria. The latest track from the JTWC has it recurving into the N. Japanese Islands in about 4-5 days.

Maria is now a typhoon. She is still expected to hit Japan then re-emerge over water then impact mainland China or N Korea.

TS Maria is getting ready to impact Japan. Wave 91W has a low chance to develop and 95W has a medium chance to develop.

tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 11, 2024 4:59 pm TS Maria is getting ready to impact Japan. Wave 91W has a low chance to develop and 95W has a medium chance to develop.

91W now has a medium chance of development.

The West Pac is heating up! Maria is now a weakening TD so this is the last update on her. We now have TS Son-tinh which is going to curve to the north to impact the northern most Japanese Islands. Then we have TS Ampil which is expected to become a typhoon. This one is forecast to brush Japan that recurve off to the NE. Finally, we have TD 9W which is expected to become a TS but not impact any land at this time.

The only ones left on the board are TS Ampil and TD 9W is now TS Wukong. Ampil is still expected to become a typhoon, brush Japan then recurve back out to sea. No impacts to land are expected from Wukong.

Ampil is now a typhoon with a well defined eye. No changes to the forecast track. Wukong has now weakened into a depression.

Typhoon Ampil will approach the Japanese Coast then recurve off to the NE.

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp0824.gif

Japan is dealing with Typhoon Ampil and now we have a new wave 98W which has a low chance to develop.

Ampil is now down to a TS and it moving NE away from Japan. 98W now has a medium chance of development.

We now have TS Jongdari and this one looks to come up from the south and impact South Korea in the days ahead.

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1024.gif

TS Jongdari will be impacting the Koreas over the next couple of days.

Jongdari is now a TD impacting the Koreas. A new wave 90W down to the south now has a chance high of development.

We now have TS Shanshan and this one looks to become a typhoon and impact Japan in about 4 or 5 days from now. It should impact the southern part of the country well south of Tokyo.

Updated track for TS Shanshan:

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1124.gif

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Aug 23, 2024 4:29 am Updated track for TS Shanshan:

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1124.gif

Good Evening and nice to see some action and especially closer to Japan. We know storms in the pacific can become quite active even during the fall and winter months. Getting these storms near Japan that curve is usually a sign for eastern half of the USA getting a cool down in usually about 7-10 days, Hopefully we see more of these over the next 6 months

Shanshan is now a typhoon. This one is going to slam into Japan and weaken considerably over the island chain. We did get a recurver now though with Ampil last week Tim to your point.

No changes to Typhoon Shanshan as it impacts Japan next week.

Typhoon Shanshan is closing in on Japan and will be impacting most of the island chain this week.