Absolute Vorticity

I agree Dave. Sunshine and a lot of blue sky coming out now in downtown LOU so it won't be long until we start to see some of that heating in our area as well.

12Z NAM has the line approaching a little later then the HRRR around 8pm. I'd be on guard to be honest, anytime from around 1pm thru 8 or 9pm this evening to be on the safe side.

Seeing clearing off to the western horizon here.

Low in western Illinois down to 998 and strengthening

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 9:15 am We are dismissing at noon today to get students home in a timely fashion.

What district?

Just made a quick drive to Miamitown to drop off my mother for an appointment; Miamaitown is about 6-7 miles West of my house. Was raining and totally cloud covered here when I left, by the time I pulled into the lot in Miamitown, the rain was over, the skies to the west have quite a bit of clearing. I think we're not in Kansas anymore Dorothy.

Should have also noted, temps in Miamitown were warmer/muggier than here in Colerain Twp. The rain here has now stopped too, so I'll be watching/monitoring temps here next.

It's brightening up in Hamilton. We're still cloud covered, but definitely thinning to the west.

Visible satellite definitely shows that area of thinning clouds / clearer skies heading in our direction. 2 or 3 hours of that will build us up pretty good I think.

From NWS LOU:

.MESOSCALE...
Issued at 937 AM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

Line of severe storms now moving across the southern Bluegrass
region, with active warnings ongoing and a continued Tornado Watch.
The Watch has been cleared behind the convective line, but we`ll
continue it back in Butler and Edmonson Counties as storms are still
trying to fire along the outflow boundary. Expect storms to depart
the CWA in the next hour or so.

It`s important to note that while this does clear the Watch for the
morning across southern Indiana and central Kentucky, it is NOT an
all-clear for the day by any stretch. We still have an incoming cold
front this afternoon, and plenty of time for the atmosphere to
reload to support dangerous storms. Damaging winds, large hail, and
fast-moving, possibly strong tornadoes will all be possible. Anyone
in southern Indiana or central Kentucky will need to stay weather
aware for the rest of today.

Brightening up in Norwood. This doesn't really capture just how dark it actually was earlier.

Closet Meteorologist wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 10:06 am

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 9:15 am We are dismissing at noon today to get students home in a timely fashion.

What district?

Georgetown Exempted Village Schools

Still cloudy here in Mason but the skies are brightening up., Visible shows some sunshine knocking on CVG's door now.

Seeing clearing to the west from the Clifton office. Here we go.

1.14" now at CVG as of 10am - event total.

The sun is coming out and my guess the temp and dew point will jump over the next few hours

Sunshine coming out now in Mason. What I am seeing out the office window looks similar to the pic that Byron posted from Cincy not too long ago.

good luck to you all out there in the Ohio Valley . hope things dont get too severe.

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 10:24 am

Closet Meteorologist wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 10:06 am

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 9:15 am We are dismissing at noon today to get students home in a timely fashion.

What district?

Georgetown Exempted Village Schools

I have a feeling there will be more of that...

Closet Meteorologist wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 10:56 am

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 10:24 am

Closet Meteorologist wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 10:06 am

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2024 9:15 am We are dismissing at noon today to get students home in a timely fashion.

What district?

Georgetown Exempted Village Schools

I have a feeling there will be more of that...

Several in NKY including Boone and Kenton Counties

So not sure if it was at KHTS - but saw report of 92 mph wind gust in Ceredo WV (just west of Huntington).

-

I finally put my rain gauges out yesterday afternoon in two different spots. One has 1.80 and the other has 2.10.

Update from the boys as of 10:43am:

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
Showers/thunderstorms associated with the first morning
convective complex is pushing out of the region. This will give
our area a brief reprieve in the convective weather.

For this afternoon, low pressure over central Illinois will
deepen as it moves to the western Great Lakes (southwest lower
Michigan) by this evening. A very strong wind field will be
associated with the deepening low and will produce favorable
hodographs capable of producing rotating thunderstorms. We
should see our currently stable airmass becoming unstable very
quickly this afternoon (MLCAPES 1000-1500 J/kg) as southwest
flow advects the instability northeast. Thus, convection seen
currently across southern Illinois and western Kentucky will
likely grow upscale as it heads northeast into our region
(another surging low level jet). All hazards are in place with
supercell thunderstorms: damaging winds, large hail. and several
possible tornadoes that could be strong or intense. The best
window for the severe threat will be between 1 pm and 8 pm. Some
strong to severe storms may occur along the cold front behind
the clusters of storms, but this threat will diminish pretty
rapidly as we head toward midnight as the instability drops off.
Highs today will range from the upper 60s to the lower 70s as
gusty southwest winds prevail as the warm front lifts north.

Surface low is now down to 996 MB over West Central ILL and continuing to deepen as we speak.

Sunny and getting warmer here now, just as I was expecting.