Absolute Vorticity

Had a t-storm warning out earlier for 60 mph winds. I could hear every bit of it lol 0.64" now at CVG. About the same here. Down to 58.

Flood Watch also issued for everyone until 1pm this afternoon.

Total of 2.02” now and still coming down

Probably closing in on 8 tenths now so the models shifting the heaviest north of Cincinnati was correct when we saw that occur a couple of days ago.

Good Morning. Rain totals are interesting as the first boundary on Sunday produce heavy rains in central Kentucky. The overnight rains produced heavy rains in central and southern Indiana into west central Ohio. This morning heavy rains near the river in Northern Kentucky and southern Ohio. So each model did well at times so grading the models I give then all a B. Next system should have rains mainly south of here but late Tuesday and early Wednesday we are close enough to get some rain in the southern areas. Then we wait to see how the late week system pans out.

I think we'll spike towards 60 on Friday with rain. Then we'll see if we can get a favorable low track / strength for some snow Fri night and Sat. Current models are showing an inch or two possible across the area so something to keep an eye on for sure going forward this week.

I think the models are at least starting to converge on the set up now for Fri and Sat. I am going to make a thread for this system as it might be Winter's Last Stand.

New thread link for Winters Last Stand event:

viewtopic.php?f=9&t=127

Back to our regularly scheduled heavy rain event that is currently in progress. Elongated low working thru the Tri-state this morning so once it passes, the rain continues but temps drop. Severe threat should be about done for most.

0.50 in my gauge as of 7:30 am

0.81" at CVG as of 7am - event total thus far

Warm bubble - temp spiked from 46 to 55!

Heading towards 80 down here in Greenville plus this morning you can sort of see the tropical air that you see during the spring and summer.

Hearing many reports of flooding up in Dayton and especially over in Preble County. Lots of roads underwater.

Looks like the heaviest rains are done here. just a little light stuff yet to go with the frontal passage. Heaviest now over SE counties.

Same here - not sure if that batch in Indiana makes it here in an hour or so. Storm total of 2.26" and temp up to 58.

My total ended up being 1.13" CVG 1.04"

1.58 in my backyard. Sump pump is working overtime.

2.4 inches here so far.

Anyone else notice the cpc telli forecast maps graphics are more clear? Or is it my eyes playing tricks again?

Bgoney wrote: ↑Mon Mar 07, 2022 10:42 am Anyone else notice the cpc telli forecast maps graphics are more clear? Or is it my eyes playing tricks again?

I noticed it over the weekend but forgot to say anything lol

12Z NAM and GFS are trying to scrape folks SE of I-71 with some light rain and snow Tues night and early Wed morning. Rest of us are dry.

tron777 wrote: ↑Mon Mar 07, 2022 10:52 am 12Z NAM and GFS are trying to scrape folks SE of I-71 with some light rain and snow Tues night and early Wed morning. Rest of us are dry.

I agree as you get into March models tend to keep precip from getting further north than what you see in March. Would not be surprised to see some light rain in the local tri-state area. Should not last long a few hours of light rain possible.

tpweather wrote: ↑Mon Mar 07, 2022 11:13 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Mon Mar 07, 2022 10:52 am 12Z NAM and GFS are trying to scrape folks SE of I-71 with some light rain and snow Tues night and early Wed morning. Rest of us are dry.

I agree as you get into March models tend to keep precip from getting further north than what you see in March. Would not be surprised to see some light rain in the local tri-state area. Should not last long a few hours of light rain possible.

Amounts will be light if it occurs but a few hundredths are possible. Might even get some flakes if we have enough cold air to work with at night.

Front has passed. W winds are cranking and I am now down to 54 and falling. Gusting over 30 mph here.