Absolute Vorticity

12Z RGEM is coming in a bit SE from previous runs, looks like a swing and a miss for the Metro.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 10:12 am

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 9:36 am This did come NW some... not bad for CVG. 0.24" of QPF. I'll take it. Looks like the primary gets into Extreme SE KY into WVA before completely dying. We could really use that.

With surface temps and possibly aloft, at the start of precip, the first tenth of qpf might be a mix and not accumulate, especiallyif it's light. All the models get us into the mid to upper 30s Sunday afternoon

I could see a period of sleet as the column cools. Need heavier returns to stay all snow.

Going to be a fun weekend to see how this evolves.

12Z GFS is a tick NW at Hour 36 from 6Z run.

12z GFS Snowfall (Kuchera)

I think the plan for Sunday is....
1. grab a drink
2. Celebrate the Bengals victory
3. Watch some more Wildcard Action
4. Look out the window to see if anything happens

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 11:01 am I think the plan for Sunday is....
1. grab a drink
2. Celebrate the Bengals victory
3. Watch some more Wildcard Action
4. Look out the window to see if anything happens

You are on to something Carp!! Who Dey!!

0.13" from the 12Z GFS for CVG

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 11:01 am 2. Celebrate the Bengals victory

Man I sure hope so. If there is any team in the NFL deserving of a playoff win its the Bengals.

Right at 33 here and very hazy - sky has a snow look to it, and crews have primed the roads here, but still think most (if not all) the fun will be east of me.

do you know what your odds are to see a big snowstorm ? about the same as the Bengals making the superbowl

airwolf76 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 11:45 am do you know what your odds are to see a big snowstorm ? about the same as the Bengals making the superbowl

More confidence in the Bengals making it to the Super Bowl

CB's First Call Map

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 12:16 pm CB's First Call Map

Has he been looking at my forecast lol. I tried to get on his website the other day and had the old warning sign so I left his site.

airwolf76 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 11:45 am do you know what your odds are to see a big snowstorm ? about the same as the Bengals making the superbowl

Ouch.

Trevor wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 12:08 pm

airwolf76 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 11:45 am do you know what your odds are to see a big snowstorm ? about the same as the Bengals making the superbowl

More confidence in the Bengals making it to the Super Bowl

I do miss the freezer bowl. My car barely started that morning but made it to the bar and then had plenty of antifreeze the remainder of the day.

Scotty D’s forecast

Looks about like the last system.

Euro actually gives CVG 0.04" Sat morning with that first piece.

Just another for fun...

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 12:58 pm Euro actually gives CVG 0.04" Sat morning with that first piece.

Might be more than sunday for you

EU a tad more south so far with precip sheild

EU , 0z vs 12z

12Z Euro - About 0.18" on Sun at CVG and 0.02" on Mon with the trailing wave.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 1:09 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 12:58 pm Euro actually gives CVG 0.04" Sat morning with that first piece.

Might be more than sunday for you

I know

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 14, 2022 12:39 pm Looks about like the last system.

lol im going with 1-3" for my hood also. im too far east and your too far west. the great appalachian snowstorm of 2022