Absolute Vorticity

snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:00 pm

dce wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 10:46 am

snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 10:40 am

snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 10:24 am Back to predominately sleet again.

Ok, back to predominately snow now - and this time I'm being honest with you!

Awesome to hear! Now the storm really begins for your neck of the woods. If you are snow at this point and stay all snow the rest of the storm you will definitely not be disappointed.

30 minutes of snow is all I could muster. Switched back to sleet and now nothing.

That snow/ sleet line is moving back north

heybert00 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:05 pm

snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:00 pm

dce wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 10:46 am

snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 10:40 am

snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 10:24 am Back to predominately sleet again.

Ok, back to predominately snow now - and this time I'm being honest with you!

Awesome to hear! Now the storm really begins for your neck of the woods. If you are snow at this point and stay all snow the rest of the storm you will definitely not be disappointed.

30 minutes of snow is all I could muster. Switched back to sleet and now nothing.

That snow/ sleet line is moving back north

I don’t think it is. It’s always had a little wobble to it.

925 MB low is over northern MS. 850 Low is just SW of Memphis. 850s are down now to +2 at CVG.

Critical thickness lines

Surface low starting to tighten up along the central MS / AL boarder 1010 MB.

tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:12 pm Surface low starting to tighten up along the central MS / AL boarder 1010 MB.

Good to see Les and its been a very slow process so far today.

The FRZ rain zone has actually narrowed a bit with the sleet line eating its northern flank and the rain zone slowly pinching it from the south

Model guidance even this afternoon has QPF to come as snow for CVG in that 0.30-0.40" range so my 4" call is still on target.

No doubt more sleet involved at the moment but still some frz/rain mixed in as well.

fyrfyter wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:08 pm

heybert00 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:05 pm

snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:00 pm

dce wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 10:46 am

snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 10:40 am

Ok, back to predominately snow now - and this time I'm being honest with you!

Awesome to hear! Now the storm really begins for your neck of the woods. If you are snow at this point and stay all snow the rest of the storm you will definitely not be disappointed.

30 minutes of snow is all I could muster. Switched back to sleet and now nothing.

That snow/ sleet line is moving back north

I don’t think it is. It’s always had a little wobble to it.

Don't know if a gif will work on here or not.

It is absolutely hammering sleet out there... Hey Trev... we may never get over Sleet PTSD again over these last 2 winters!

32 degrees and holding with moderate rain.

gif worked! Thanks for sharing. Please post updates if you have time.

You can't even tell a plow went by earlier there is so much sleet out there. Sheesh! This is going to be a bear to shovel. Ugh...

Snow/ sleet line is moving southeastward finally!

Arcanum Ohio (Darke county) has stayed all snow since 8:00am. Estimates of around 4 inches. Reportedly hard to measure since it's blowing around so much.

Heavy DBZ returns now to the river , incoming heavy sleet

Where that heavier precip is snow when it moves into the area you would think 2" rates per hour may occur? Still sleeting here too. Haven't seen a flake of snow yet.

tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:09 pm 925 MB low is over northern MS. 850 Low is just SW of Memphis. 850s are down now to +2 at CVG.

Music to my ears. I think you said about an hour ago they were +3. If the trend continues the NWS calls for more snow will pan out. Its seldom they call for more snow than we expect on the forum. I hope they are right this time. Watching this sleet fall when it could be snow makes me want to

PS - shoveled a half-inch of sleet in Fairfield (near Mercy) at 11:30. Have about that much more again.

When I was out earlier, I shoveled about a 1/2" of sleet. Looking out at my crazy kids "sledding" down the driveway, I'd say we have that much or even more again. At least 1" of sleet so far. It's coming down heavy now, some tiny flakes mixing in.

The sleet has picked up intensity out here. Moderate to heavy rates. Grass is starting to get covered up.

6 inch pile of driveway sleet....

Trentonwx06 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 1:39 pm Snow/ sleet line is moving southeastward finally!

Best post all day!!!

I would tell you guys that I've turned over to snow but every time I do, it goes back to sleet. So, we'll just leave it at that!

With the heavier dbz returns moving in, I wonder if could ev. cooling play a role w/ 850 temps?