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Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 2:40 pm
by dce
tron777 wrote: Sat Jul 08, 2023 1:02 pm Totals as of 1pm:

CVG - 0.35"
Me - 0.44"
Boone Co Mesonet: 0.31"
And I'll add .61 at KDAY.

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 2:41 pm
by Bgoney
About what I expected here in the boonies , .15”

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 3:04 pm
by MVWxObserver
My gauge picked up 1.30" for today. :) Since last weekend have had a combo of 4.33"! ;)

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 3:07 pm
by MVWxObserver
snowbo wrote: Sat Jul 08, 2023 12:20 pm Received .7 here with the first round. Hate to be greedy but I'll take more this afternoon.
Not greedy at all, Bo! :)

The more the merrier to ya bro! :thumbupright:

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 3:10 pm
by MVWxObserver
Bgoney wrote: Sat Jul 08, 2023 2:41 pm About what I expected here in the boonies , .15”
Wish I could pipeline down some of my surplus to you bro. ;)

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 3:18 pm
by MVWxObserver
Looks like a beaut of a day at American Family Field for the Redlegs vs Brew Crew with low 70s for Tim, his wife, and family. :sunny:

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 3:20 pm
by tron777
MVWxObserver wrote: Sat Jul 08, 2023 3:04 pm My gauge picked up 1.30" for today. :) Since last weekend have had a combo of 4.33"! ;)
Wow! Very impressive! Picked up 0.22" here Thurs then 0.44" today for a combo of 0.66". I just mowed yesterday too so the rain came at a perfect time. :thumbsup:

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 3:24 pm
by tron777
I'm back up to 75 with a dew of 68 under partly sunny skies. We've got a weak low over S IN moving into Central KY later this afternoon. Most storms are concentrated down that way right now. We've been worked over and are in recovery mode. We'll have to wait and see how much if anything, can pop before the sun starts to lose its heating on the atmosphere. 12Z NAM and 18Z HRRR only show scattered convection so a 50/50 chance you see additional rains thru early Sun morning. Then we are dry until Wed night onwards next week.

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 4:26 pm
by tron777
Seeing some new cells firing up over Central IN headed our way so we'll see how much activity is able to develop in the next couple of hours.

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 4:39 pm
by tron777
CAPE's back up to a 1000 and shear is at 40 knots. While I am not expecting much severe wx, it should be enough to support that 50 / 50 chance I talked about this evening. We have some weak helicity across NKY around 100 with a supercell comp index of 4. If we see severe wx it'll be isolated. DCAPE is at 1000 over SW OH and SE IN so isolated strong winds are possible. The morning action is what'll keep things from getting out of hand right now. Still heavy downpours, thunder, lightning, and gusty winds are expected in the strongest cells but nothing widespread IMO.

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 7:22 pm
by tron777
I got hit with a second round this evening! Up to 0.73" now for the day. High of 79. Current temp is 73, dew of 70. CVG is at 0.40" still and Boone Co Mesonet at 0.45".

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2023 8:28 pm
by young pup
tron777 wrote: Fri Jul 07, 2023 9:50 am
young pup wrote: Fri Jul 07, 2023 9:11 am
tron777 wrote: Fri Jul 07, 2023 7:30 am
young pup wrote: Thu Jul 06, 2023 6:50 pm Which model has been correct on placing this rain lately? I'm getting a little tired of getting soaking wet under one of these pop ups. Not sure what' in the gauge from today but it poured a couple of times.
No one model has been stellar to be honest. The short range models tend to do a bit better but not always. The global models have been terrible like the GFS and Euro.
Thanks Les I will keep a close eye on the short range from now on. Still planning on leaving in a week for vacation. But I might cut it short to get back to cut grass. 😒
No problem. I think we're good today, not so good tomorrow into Sunday. Good for mowing Mon and Tues and even into Wed before renewed chances come in late Wed and into Thurs of next week.

Yep, yesterday was good. Today about an hours worth of rain. Let's see what tomorrow brings. :)

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Jul 09, 2023 10:16 am
by tron777
Good Sunday morning to you all! The rain is done for most of us now until late Wed or Wed night of next week. Until then, skies will slowly clear today with lower humidity for Mon and Tues. Upper 80s and more humid weather returns for Wed ahead of that next system. 50-70% coverage appears likely now from Wed night thru next weekend at the very least with our next period of unsettled weather.

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Jul 09, 2023 5:24 pm
by tron777
Only 79 here today, CVG the same. Look for the 50s tonight in most areas (minus downtown) and tomorrow will be a lovely day in the low to mid 80s with sunny skies, Tues in the mid to upper 80s and Wed increasing clouds with a late day storm possible and 88-90. Then storms possible Wed night thru at least next weekend is where we stand attm. No signs of the current pattern breaking down for the next 10+ days.

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Jul 09, 2023 6:53 pm
by tron777
Dews are continuing to drop and should get into the 50s shortly. A nice N breeze is making for a pleasant evening as the sun goes down in the next couple of hours. Gorgeous cobalt clear skies and not smoked filled for a change. :lol:

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Jul 09, 2023 7:19 pm
by tron777
For folks who saw rain yesterday, look for patchy dense fog in the morning on your way to work with clear skies and light winds. Once temps cool to the dew point, locally dense fog will form especially where there is plenty of ground moisture from recent rains. We may see a repeat Tues morning in a few spots also.

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jul 10, 2023 1:27 am
by airwolf76
got a lot of rain here yesterday. inches of rain ! its amazing how dry the spring was and now how wet the summer has been.

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jul 10, 2023 7:22 am
by tron777
airwolf76 wrote: Mon Jul 10, 2023 1:27 am got a lot of rain here yesterday. inches of rain ! its amazing how dry the spring was and now how wet the summer has been.
How far below avg are your temps for June and July thus far?

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jul 10, 2023 7:23 am
by tron777
60 here this morning! Some of you I am sure dropped into the 50s in more outlying areas. No fog here, I was surprised not to see any. Looking like a beautiful day on tap so hope all can enjoy since it is a Monday and all. :lol:

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jul 10, 2023 9:49 am
by cloudy72
Dropped to 59 here! Refreshing while it lasts (which won't be long LOL)

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jul 10, 2023 10:21 am
by tron777

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jul 10, 2023 6:58 pm
by young pup
Looks like the Canadian want to give me 3.5 inches of rain over the next 10 days. While the gfs and euro says not so fast. :)

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jul 10, 2023 8:12 pm
by tron777
86 in my hood today, CVG 84. Expecting U80s or so the next couple of days. Wed night on into early next week will offer up a daily chance of t-storms. Some can be strong to severe if the timing is right. What I think is going to happen is that we get similar timing to the last several systems. Action weakens as it moves in. Heavy rain amounts West, Moderate rains Central and Light East. That has been the theme really for a while unfortunately.

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jul 10, 2023 9:35 pm
by MVWxObserver
Reached 84 in CVG and 85 at both DAY and CMH.

Re: July 2023 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Jul 11, 2023 7:21 am
by tron777
Good morning all... Expecting a few more degrees on the temp today but the humidity will still be in check. Then the humidity begins to slowly kick in tomorrow with a couple of pop up storms possible. Still thinking Thurs onwards holds better chances.