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Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:01 pm
by MJSun
Outside a back window on the second story- you can see the sleet starting to build up.
Batavia 2.3.22.jpg
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:02 pm
by MJSun
klashymama wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 11:53 am
Still just sleet in Amelia but the wind is picking up and the trees have a glaze of ice from earlier. Praying for snow!!
Hi neighbor, I'm in Amelia by zip code!
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:04 pm
by tron777
29 / 26 with a whole lot of pinging action going on here! If guidance is right, once we change to snow, I expect light snow to continue thru a good chunk of tomorrow. Like 4-5pm I am hopeful for.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:07 pm
by tron777
CVG is reporting a light snow and light sleet mix now and 29 degrees as of 12pm. Must be a few flakes starting to mix in there. It's pretty much sleet here. 850s are too warm and we are still seeing WAA at 850 MB so it's not going to changeover to snow here IMO anyway for several more hours. I just don't see us changing to snow at 1-2pm like those Euro runs or GFS runs had.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:08 pm
by Bgoney
East side FZR and sleet line
east side.PNG
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:09 pm
by tron777
Local 12's radar shows snow over me but it's sleet here I can assure you so don't like the precip type on radar fool you. Still need ground reports. Bgoney, I think it was you who posted it earlier, any change on radar in the sleet / snow line?
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:09 pm
by BookNerdCarp
Now add this on top
KYC023-135-161-201-OHC001-015-032000-
/O.NEW.KILN.FA.Y.0003.220203T1707Z-220203T2000Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bracken KY-Lewis KY-Mason KY-Robertson KY-Adams OH-Brown OH-
1207 PM EST Thu Feb 3 2022
...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.
* WHERE...Portions of Kentucky and Ohio, including the following
counties, in Kentucky, Bracken, Lewis, Mason and Robertson. In
Ohio, Adams and Brown.
* WHEN...Until 300 PM EST.
* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.
Water over roadways.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1205 PM EST, Radar indicated moderate rain over the area.
Minor flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly in the
advisory area.
- The rain is transitioning to freezing rain in the area, so
flooding beyond typical low lying roadways is not expected at
this time.
- Some locations that may experience flooding include...
Maysville, Washington, West Union, Manchester, Ripley,
Aberdeen, Vanceburg, Lewisburg, Tollesboro, Rome, Blue Creek,
Mount Olivet, Dover, Germantown, Sardis, Concord,
Bradysville, Somo and Orangeburg.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
To report flooding, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and submit
your report via social media, when you can do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 3853 8418 3859 8409 3877 8392 3881 8350
3881 8327 3859 8327 3850 8360 3852 8365
3846 8386 3849 8393 3845 8398 3842 8400
3844 8400 3843 8401 3844 8402 3846 8409
3849 8417 3850 8416 3850 8418
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:09 pm
by tpweather
tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:07 pm
CVG is reporting a light snow and light sleet mix now and 29 degrees as of 12pm. Must be a few flakes starting to mix in there. It's pretty much sleet here. 850s are too warm and we are still seeing WAA at 850 MB so it's not going to changeover to snow here IMO anyway for several more hours. I just don't see us changing to snow at 1-2pm like those Euro runs or GFS runs had.
Les still mainly frz/rain here and some light sleet but not much. What sleet that was on the roads the crew came by and scraped that off so just a sheet of ice on the roads. Btw level 2 snow emergency for both Boone and Kenton Counties.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:10 pm
by dce
snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:00 pm
dce wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 10:46 am
snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 10:40 am
snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 10:24 am
Back to predominately sleet again.
Ok, back to predominately snow now - and this time I'm being honest with you!
Awesome to hear! Now the storm really begins for your neck of the woods. If you are snow at this point and stay all snow the rest of the storm you will definitely not be disappointed.
30 minutes of snow is all I could muster. Switched back to sleet and now nothing.
Your lull in the precip should be short lived. Very heavy returns are moving up from the southwest. Once the heavier returns come back to your area I'm guessing you will be snow.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:10 pm
by tron777
BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:09 pm
Now add this on top
So we've got a flood advisory and an ice storm warning for our SE Crew... Wow... stay safe down there! Are you below 32 yet?
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:12 pm
by tpweather
Bgoney wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:08 pm
East side FZR and sleet line
east side.PNG
Great Map and pretty darn close I believe to the true precip types. I live about 3 miles south of I-275 in Kenton County and it shows I am on that border between frz/rain and sleet and Les who lives in Burlington shows he is in the sleet department.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:13 pm
by snowbo
Local met tweeted 5.5 inches in Troy. So close yet so far!
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:14 pm
by tron777
tpweather wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:09 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:07 pm
CVG is reporting a light snow and light sleet mix now and 29 degrees as of 12pm. Must be a few flakes starting to mix in there. It's pretty much sleet here. 850s are too warm and we are still seeing WAA at 850 MB so it's not going to changeover to snow here IMO anyway for several more hours. I just don't see us changing to snow at 1-2pm like those Euro runs or GFS runs had.
Les still mainly frz/rain here and some light sleet but not much. What sleet that was on the roads the crew came by and scraped that off so just a sheet of ice on the roads. Btw level 2 snow emergency for both Boone and Kenton Counties.
Next hour or two you should start seeing more sleet. Sleet / ice line is so close to your hood, within a few miles.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:16 pm
by shlybluz
My employer decided we will leave by 3. I'll do a conditions report when I get home.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:19 pm
by Bgoney
Les, this is out of INDY. SNow to sleet line , approximately
snoslee.PNG
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:20 pm
by tron777
I can see some light snow trying to mix in. We're like at half sleet, half snow here so it's trying. Need to drop another degree or two upstairs then I'm in!
Thanks Bgoney! It's still a good ways away then.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:20 pm
by klashymama
MJSun wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:02 pm
klashymama wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 11:53 am
Still just sleet in Amelia but the wind is picking up and the trees have a glaze of ice from earlier. Praying for snow!!
Hi neighbor, I'm in Amelia by zip code!
Hi to you too!! I am by zip code too! Stay safe and warm.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:22 pm
by BookNerdCarp
tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:10 pm
BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:09 pm
Now add this on top
So we've got a flood advisory and an ice storm warning for our SE Crew... Wow... stay safe down there! Are you below 32 yet?
wobbling between 33 and 32...but still rain. I think our mess will begin 2 and after
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:25 pm
by tron777
Now back to mainly sleet again lol At times a few flakes try and get going so it is probably due to higher relativities on occasion moving thru.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:25 pm
by tron777
BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:22 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:10 pm
BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:09 pm
Now add this on top
So we've got a flood advisory and an ice storm warning for our SE Crew... Wow... stay safe down there! Are you below 32 yet?
wobbling between 33 and 32...but still rain. I think our mess will begin 2 and after
I agree!
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:25 pm
by tron777
klashymama wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:20 pm
MJSun wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:02 pm
klashymama wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 11:53 am
Still just sleet in Amelia but the wind is picking up and the trees have a glaze of ice from earlier. Praying for snow!!
Hi neighbor, I'm in Amelia by zip code!
Hi to you too!! I am by zip code too! Stay safe and warm.
Hello and welcome to the forum! Hope you enjoy the storm and post with us all year long!
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:27 pm
by dce
Channel 7 is reporting 5 1/2 inches in Troy so far.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:27 pm
by tron777
The really heavy returns should be here in just another 1 or 2 hours in my opinion. Really wish those 850s would drop
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:29 pm
by wxnut
Bgoney wrote: ↑Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:19 pm
Les, this is out of INDY. SNow to sleet line , approximately
snoslee.PNG
If you loop through the correlation coefficient out of Indy, it really hasn’t moved since 9:30 this morning. It seems it might have drifted northward until 11 and then started dropped south in the past hour but I think it’s wishful thinking as I want some snow.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Thu Feb 03, 2022 12:31 pm
by tron777
SPC Mesoanalysis shows a 1042 MB high over MN (Iowa and it would have been an all out snow storm for us lol), with a broad weak low around 1012 MB over LA stretching into Eastern MS and NW AL. It is elongated and not very organized. Front is banked up along the Apps which is perfect. Pressure falls map shows this to be an Apps Runner (the weak low that we're going to get) with weak pressure falls now entering our region. So 850s should begin to crash later this afternoon once that feature passes.