Absolute Vorticity

dce wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:12 pm About an inch and a half now. Really starting to come down now. This will be the I-70's time to get accumulations. I think 6 inches is doable in spots around I-70 going by radar. We won't have the 8-12 you guys are getting, but I'm liking what I'm seeing on the short range models and radar for right along I-70.

Are you looking at the hrrr?

Up to almost 6 1/2 IMBY

Northern Kentucky seems to be the sweet spot. Those returns coming in there look real nice!

0.39" QPF at CVG as of 8pm, 0.51" Boone co mesonet site as of 8:20pm

5 1/4" now, same measurement spot. I hear some light sleet, heavier band really close.

Here goes My Lions and a heavy snow band (I hope) moving in...

young pup wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:19 pm

dce wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:12 pm About an inch and a half now. Really starting to come down now. This will be the I-70's time to get accumulations. I think 6 inches is doable in spots around I-70 going by radar. We won't have the 8-12 you guys are getting, but I'm liking what I'm seeing on the short range models and radar for right along I-70.

Are you looking at the hrrr?

Yes. The HRRR has I-70 on the northern fringe of the deform band tomorrow. If that happens I think 6 is doable. Even the short range Canadian has come around to I-70 being the cut off for the 6 inch snows. We'll see what happens. I think spots along I-70 will see 6 inches. Probably not more than that.

Watching CVG's 5 min obs. Light snow, have not seen any sleet yet being reported.

snowbo wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:18 pm

dce wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:12 pm About an inch and a half now. Really starting to come down now. This will be the I-70's time to get accumulations. I think 6 inches is doable in spots around I-70 going by radar. We won't have the 8-12 you guys are getting, but I'm liking what I'm seeing on the short range models and radar for right along I-70.

I agree Doug and the bonus is, if CVG beats us in this snowfall, we get an advantage in the snowfall contest!

I like your thinking! I'm just glad we aren't getting shut out on this one. It was really close. If we can come away with around 6 inches I'll take it. I'm glad most everyone on the forum is getting a nice storm. Most of the time it evens out in the end. I-70 may do better on the next one. Cincy will do better with this one! I hope they get a foot!

dce wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:29 pm

young pup wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:19 pm

dce wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:12 pm About an inch and a half now. Really starting to come down now. This will be the I-70's time to get accumulations. I think 6 inches is doable in spots around I-70 going by radar. We won't have the 8-12 you guys are getting, but I'm liking what I'm seeing on the short range models and radar for right along I-70.

Are you looking at the hrrr?

Yes. The HRRR has I-70 on the northern fringe of the deform band tomorrow. If that happens I think 6 is doable. Even the short range Canadian has come around to I-70 being the cut off for the 6 inch snows. We'll see what happens. I think spots along I-70 will see 6 inches. Probably not more than that.

Ok just wanted to make sure I wasn't missing a model. But, I will say the hrrr has been wrong for the cmh area since the beginning. IMO of course.

Getting creamed right now in Green Twp. Big, fat flakes coming down.

tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:32 pm Watching CVG's 5 min obs. Light snow, have not seen any sleet yet being reported.

You have a link to those?

markalot wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:44 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:32 pm Watching CVG's 5 min obs. Light snow, have not seen any sleet yet being reported.

You have a link to those?

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KCVG

Light ice pellets mixing in as of 8:30pm now so that heavy band over me is sleet mixed with snow.

TD

young pup wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:36 pm

dce wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:29 pm

young pup wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:19 pm

dce wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:12 pm About an inch and a half now. Really starting to come down now. This will be the I-70's time to get accumulations. I think 6 inches is doable in spots around I-70 going by radar. We won't have the 8-12 you guys are getting, but I'm liking what I'm seeing on the short range models and radar for right along I-70.

Are you looking at the hrrr?

Yes. The HRRR has I-70 on the northern fringe of the deform band tomorrow. If that happens I think 6 is doable. Even the short range Canadian has come around to I-70 being the cut off for the 6 inch snows. We'll see what happens. I think spots along I-70 will see 6 inches. Probably not more than that.

Ok just wanted to make sure I wasn't missing a model. But, I will say the hrrr has been wrong for the cmh area since the beginning. IMO of course.

Yeah. I'm talking I-70 in Western Ohio. Honestly, being in Western Ohio I don't look too closely at central Ohio.

Still all snow in Wyoming. 5.25 inches so far.

Thanks for the link!

Moderate snow with some sleet, but still mostly snow and coming down quite nicely here. I'll measure again in an hour to see where we stand.

Continuing to get a sleet and snow combo now (mainly snow too). Wow, what a mess it will be to clean up after work tomorrow lol Gonna be fun plowing though once again!

tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:49 pmTD

Loved that big sack too right after!

tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:56 pm

tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:49 pmTD

Loved that big sack too right after!

Yes and Goff looking great

The FV3 model says we still get another 11 inches. NAM says 8. Don't see how that's possible. Unless those back end snows are legit

Nice line of storms from central TN to LA, hope this doesn’t rob us?

That hit on Gibbs was brutal. Glad to see him pop back up!

mainevilleweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 8:58 pm The FV3 model says we still get another 11 inches. NAM says 8. Don't see how that's possible. Unless those back end snows are legit

That seems high but just checked the Nam and the sref and totals are showing the higher totals. Really hits hard and I may need to do more homework. It seems to me that to reach those amounts we get very little in the way of a dry slot and the Monday snows are heavier which the NAM does show.