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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:33 pm
by tron777
Browneyedgirl wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:31 pm
Will Columbus get the shaft? My Westerville family has yet to see a flake!
That was an area of concern in the forecast. Tim has especially mentioned the dry air eating away at totals up that way. I still think several inches will fall but they won't get the better totals we will be getting down to their SW where the deeper moisture is. We are in the best spot. Due north of the mixing line.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:34 pm
by tpweather
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:32 pm
Boone Co KY under a level 2 as of 3:30pm It is a rare to see a 3. I have seen it a couple of times though. This storm might potentially do it. We'll see!
Les I believe a level 3 three is likely and very seldom do we see that happen. Temps are just plain cold and not sure what treatments work and my guess plowing will be the main item tonight.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:35 pm
by tron777
tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:29 pm
Les looking good and you can see the radar getting busy. Always going to be busts with storms and some folks get angry. Models are just a snapshot of what may happen and there is so much more than models. Use them as tools and then make a forecast. If the forecast busts well guess what it won't be the first bust and won't be the last. Certain models do better in certain patterns and met's along with forecasters will do the same. Still plenty of time left in this storm so I say enjoy what you have until we get that next system to forecast.
We can never get a forecast perfect but in an overall sense, we have done a great job thus far. We'll see the final results by this time tomorrow.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:37 pm
by weatherbeast45107
Will that heavy snow band make it over to Southeast Warren county near Morrow? It feels like intensity of bands keeps dropping off as it moves over us.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:39 pm
by tpweather
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:35 pm
tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:29 pm
Les looking good and you can see the radar getting busy. Always going to be busts with storms and some folks get angry. Models are just a snapshot of what may happen and there is so much more than models. Use them as tools and then make a forecast. If the forecast busts well guess what it won't be the first bust and won't be the last. Certain models do better in certain patterns and met's along with forecasters will do the same. Still plenty of time left in this storm so I say enjoy what you have until we get that next system to forecast.
We can never get a forecast perfect but in an overall sense, we have done a great job thus far. We'll see the final results by this time tomorrow.
I second that Les and once I get that perfect forecast moving to Hawaii
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:39 pm
by MVWxObserver
Finally snowing here in G'ville a few minutes past 6:30!
Currently 25 and progged for around 19 Mon morning.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:42 pm
by tron777
MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:39 pm
Finally snowing here in G'ville a few minutes past 6:30!
Currently 25 and progged for around 19 Mon morning.
Look at Indy's radar Bro... you'll get some action!
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:42 pm
by House of Cards
tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:39 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:35 pm
tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:29 pm
Les looking good and you can see the radar getting busy. Always going to be busts with storms and some folks get angry. Models are just a snapshot of what may happen and there is so much more than models. Use them as tools and then make a forecast. If the forecast busts well guess what it won't be the first bust and won't be the last. Certain models do better in certain patterns and met's along with forecasters will do the same. Still plenty of time left in this storm so I say enjoy what you have until we get that next system to forecast.
We can never get a forecast perfect but in an overall sense, we have done a great job thus far. We'll see the final results by this time tomorrow.
I second that Les and once I get that perfect forecast moving to Hawaii
you’d hate it there!
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:43 pm
by tpweather
lol
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:45 pm
by tron777
A view from one of the backyard cams:
CH01184403.jpg
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:48 pm
by shlybluz
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:32 pm
Boone Co KY under a level 2 as of 3:30pm It is a rare to see a 3. I have seen it a couple of times though. This storm might potentially do it. We'll see!
Kenton County went Level 2 about 3pm. Hoping it doesn't go level 3. I'm assigned in office tomorrow and I have to travel up the taylor mill hill to get to campus.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:50 pm
by tron777
Pic taken an hour ago after plowing:
CH03184938.jpg
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:54 pm
by tron777
18Z Euro says CVG still has 0.74" of QPF to go. 0.31" current precip at CVG total as of right now. 0.42" Boone Co mesonet current precip.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:57 pm
by cloudy72
MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:39 pm
Finally snowing here in G'ville a few minutes past 6:30!
Currently 25 and progged for around 19 Mon morning.
Awesome Eric! As Les stated looks like some good snows coming your way!
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:05 pm
by tron777
23 with moderate snow and 1/2 mile vis at CVG. Ditto here.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:06 pm
by Gtchris10
2.5" near Kings Island. Coming down at a decent clip, mixing with sleet again, you can hear it bouncing around.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:08 pm
by Bgoney
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:54 pm
18Z Euro says CVG still has 0.74" of QPF to go. 0.31" current precip at CVG total as of right now. 0.42" Boone Co mesonet current precip.
Fantastic ratios with cvg reporting a snow depth of 6”
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:10 pm
by tron777
Bgoney wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:08 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:54 pm
18Z Euro says CVG still has 0.74" of QPF to go. 0.31" current precip at CVG total as of right now. 0.42" Boone Co mesonet current precip.
Fantastic ratios with cvg reporting a snow depth of 6”
It's really pounding out there now! I think we can make a run at a foot if the deformation zone works out as envisioned tomorrow.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:10 pm
by tpweather
I believe one area that has been a little surprise is the ratio. Was expecting 8-1 - 10-1 and it has been probably 12-1 or somewhat higher at times.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:13 pm
by MJSun
Blowing and coming down again in Batavia (can't see it well in the pic). Hubs and I just did the driveway real quick- very fluffy light snow for now. By the time we got to the bottom (your standard suburban length of driveway) the top was covering up again.
I'm so happy! Finally significant snow!!
My boys get another day of vacation, hub's patients cancelled for the morning - we'll see how his afternoon is. XU went remote (we don't get snow days anymore) - so glad I can just watch tomorrow out the window.
PXL_20250106_001426595.jpg
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:17 pm
by young pup
Nothing here. 12 miles south of me though
IMG_0224.jpeg
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:20 pm
by BookNerdCarp
Currently 4 1/2 IMBY
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:25 pm
by tron777
tpweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:10 pm
I believe one area that has been a little surprise is the ratio. Was expecting 8-1 - 10-1 and it has been probably 12-1 or somewhat higher at times.
Tim... where we are, we have been getting hit repeatedly by those smaller meso scale banding features. Very heavy returns coming in for us right now!!
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:25 pm
by markalot
4.75" on the back deck as far as I was willing to step out and coming down hard.
Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season
Posted: Sun Jan 05, 2025 7:27 pm
by Angelika
Currently 4" of snow in Fairfield.