Absolute Vorticity

markalot wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:06 pm I'm going by sound, snow is silent, if you can hear it then sleet is mixing in. Some mixing was kind of expected but no model, not a single one, predicts sleet until 9:30-10pm timeframe.

Yes it’s very hard to predict how far the mixing line can go. Models never handle it well. Happens all the time up where I’m at in northeast Ohio even. Especially with southern storms.

Spacejunk wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:09 pm Still snowing in Oxford, no change over

Nice!!.

I'm back! I just got done plowing when we had the first round. I had some pingers briefly too and that is because the precip lightened up. The donut hole came thru so I plowed when it occurred. As soon as I finished up, the accumulating snow began again. Better returns are coming in. Dynamic cooling. Everything is covered and in a couple of hours, you probably won't even be able to tell that I had plowed.

Cam nearest me

My temp is still 23, unchanged from when the event began this morning.

just started back up here in Colerain. Snow. Fine flakes, coming down at a pretty good clip. I pulled back my tarp and cleared the first round off of my porch so dogs could go outside. First batch was very powdery, easy to broom right off. Let's see what round two does.

tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:11 pm I'm back! I just got done plowing when we had the first round. I had some pingers briefly too and that is because the precip lightened up. The donut hole came thru so I plowed when it occurred. As soon as I finished up, the accumulating snow began again. Better returns are coming in. Dynamic cooling. Everything is covered and in a couple of hours, you probably won't even be able to tell that I had plowed.

Welcome Back! You missed just a little mixing. Everything back to snow now as far as we can tell.

The meat and potatoes of the storm moving into our far SW counties now. I will let you know when it gets here!

Forgot, 1st round was EXACTLY 3". onto the main course now!

Phr0z3n wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:14 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:11 pm I'm back! I just got done plowing when we had the first round. I had some pingers briefly too and that is because the precip lightened up. The donut hole came thru so I plowed when it occurred. As soon as I finished up, the accumulating snow began again. Better returns are coming in. Dynamic cooling. Everything is covered and in a couple of hours, you probably won't even be able to tell that I had plowed.

Welcome Back! You missed just a little mixing. Everything back to snow now as far as we can tell.

Thanks! Yeah! All snow here. Flakes and intensity should pick up in the next 20-30 mins IMBY.

House of Cards wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:15 pm Forgot, 1st round was EXACTLY 3". onto the main course now!

3-4" across the Tri-state from the reports I am seeing.

.15”qpf so far at CVG. Let’s see where they’re at in a couple hours after the next round

2” here still

Per 6pm obs. Somerset and London, KY still have E winds but Middleboro has S winds. Guess where that low is gonna go Tim?

Low is now near just S of Memphis 1004 MB currently.

tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:18 pm Per 6pm obs. Somerset and London, KY still have E winds but Middleboro has S winds. Guess where that low is gonna go Tim?

Low is now near just S of Memphis 1004 MB currently.

Les we had that one pegged

Bgoney wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:16 pm .15”qpf so far at CVG. Let’s see where they’re at in a couple hours after the next round

Hard to believe that another .9 will still fall. that will be crazy snow fall rates

Very intense forcing now over the region.


I expect 1-2" per hour snow upcoming... Meanwhile Frz rain MD for Central KY as expected.


https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0015.html

Moderate snow and 22 here

alexdever73 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:20 pm

Bgoney wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 6:16 pm .15”qpf so far at CVG. Let’s see where they’re at in a couple hours after the next round

Hard to believe that another .9 will still fall. that will be crazy snow fall rates

Hey Alex, welcome to the forum! If you get a second, could you update your profile or signature to show your location? Makes it easier to follow when folks are live reporting. Thanks!

Silent out now and snowing at a good clip. I have no idea how to judge moderate or heavy but it's accumulating quickly.

Moderate snow is now overtaking the area and it'll be heavy at times for the next several hours. Enjoy my friends! We have waited a long time for this!

Les looking good and you can see the radar getting busy. Always going to be busts with storms and some folks get angry. Models are just a snapshot of what may happen and there is so much more than models. Use them as tools and then make a forecast. If the forecast busts well guess what it won't be the first bust and won't be the last. Certain models do better in certain patterns and met's along with forecasters will do the same. Still plenty of time left in this storm so I say enjoy what you have until we get that next system to forecast.

Will Columbus get the shaft? My Westerville family has yet to see a flake!

Boone Co KY under a level 2 as of 3:30pm It is a rare to see a 3. I have seen it a couple of times though. This storm might potentially do it. We'll see!