Absolute Vorticity

Currently 77 and a DP of 57 here in G'ville.

https://cmg-cmg-tv-10040-prod.cdn.arcpu ... width=1440

My area of Greenville e.g. straddles the Enhanced / Moderate zone boundary.

Just came in from mowing as much grass as I could since you’re going to need an air boat in the coming days out there. Clouded back over but there was a pretty good stretch of almost clear skies so ghave to think the energy is there. Was a windy time out there too.

I decided to wait until after the flood to mow. It'll probably be a jungle by then. Still have good shear, CAPE, and the VTP is 1 here to 7 over SC Indiana. We are in that watch and wait mode right now. I was just outside and the wind, at least here, has temp relaxed quite a bit

The leading edge of the Main line is from SW Lower Mich down into NW IN thru Eastern ILL and into SE MO. Super cells are over Eastern AR, West TN now getting into SW KY.

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The high risk is legit. Tornados and tornado warnings lighting up in Arkansas and Tennessee. I pray they weaken before they reach our area. More so Illinois at this point than Tennessee. Watching Ryan Hall and it is getting pretty bad.

Seeing some cells right ahead of the main line in extreme SE ILL. Let's see what happens with those too.

dce wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:40 pm The high risk is legit. Tornados and tornado warnings lighting up in Arkansas and Tennessee. I pray they weaken before they reach our area. More so Illinois at this point than Tennessee. Watching Ryan Hall and it is getting pretty bad.

I am watching him too. Watch SW KY and SE ILL / SW IN. Those will be the ones for my hood potentially later should anything get going ahead of the main line, which we do not want to see. QLCS spin up's are bad enough. These super cells, the ole loaners are bad news tonight. Wait till the nocturnal LLJ kicks in...

dce wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:40 pm The high risk is legit. Tornados and tornado warnings lighting up in Arkansas and Tennessee. I pray they weaken before they reach our area. More so Illinois at this point than Tennessee. Watching Ryan Hall and it is getting pretty bad.

Prayers with all in this widespread event. My nephew, his wife reside in Columbia, TN and his wife's folks in Nashville, TN e.g.

SPC mesopage tonight shows a concerning set up. As the primary low occludes over Wisc, a new weak low of 1000 MB can be seen over the boot hill of MO area. This should help with the spin tonight and I think these tornadoes will be going on for a while longer. I hope they congeal into a line before getting here but we don't yet know what will happen.

Violent Tornado Parameter. Anything 2 or higher is concerning.

8 o'clock at night on April 2nd and I still have 79 degrees. This isn't good IMO...

The Gulf feed is tremendous!


PWATS: Wow! For April 2nd, this is pretty impressive!

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:56 pm 8 o'clock at night on April 2nd and I still have 79 degrees. This isn't good IMO...

73 here in G'ville with a DP of 59. 79 DAY and 78 CVG.

CAPE is still at 1000 J/KG which is enough with these dynamics. 45 knot shear, 400 for helicity... supercell comp index of 12.

Sounding from the latest HRRR run is still concerning:

As expected, here's our tornado watch:

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Indiana
North Central Kentucky
Western and Central Ohio
Lake Erie

* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 915 PM
until 400 AM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:56 pm 8 o'clock at night on April 2nd and I still have 79 degrees. This isn't good IMO...

9:20, just took trash out, of course it would be garbage night!
But still 76 degrees here. Still very gusty. Getting nervous….

I have an aunt and some cousins in Anderson, IN under a TOR warning.

0115 81 3 ESE Danville Hendricks IN 3975 8648 (IND)

0119 Gage Ballard KY 3700 8889 *** 4 INJ *** Multiple structures damaged in the Gage community. Multiple snapped power poles and trees. 4 injured ... 1 critical condition. (PAH)

0125 UNK Indianapolis Marion IN 3978 8615 Per Indianapolis dispatch center ... we have at least 6 different incidents with trees into homes/buildings. Locations in the Indianapolis area are unknown at this time. (IND)

0130 80 2 W Homecroft Marion IN 3968 8617 Unknown number of tree branches down. Winds shaking house considerably. Time estimated from radar. (IND)

0135 87 1 N Lapel Madison IN 4008 8585 Thunderstorm winds were measured at 87 mph north of Lapel. Time estimated from radar. Location estimated. (IND)

0204 3 SE Bardwell Carlisle KY 3685 8897 CR 1303 grain bins damaged ... building damaged ... barge tops blown into trees. (PAH)

0206 UNK 1 WSW Mill Grove Blackford IN 4040 8530 *** 1 INJ *** Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 1 WSW Mill Grove. Law Enforcement reported a barn was blown into a house near Mill Grove in Blackford County. (IWX)

0213 100 1 SE Eaton Delaware IN 4033 8535 Personal Weather Station KINEATON8 1 mile South of Eaton gusted to 100 mph from a thunderstorm at 10:13 PM EDT. (IND)

0229 2 WSW Murray Calloway KY 3659 8835 tornado spotted on ground. (PAH)

0240 2 N Madisonville Hopkins KY 3737 8751 tornado on the ground. (PAH)

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
OHC011-037-107-109-135-149-030315-
/O.NEW.KILN.SV.W.0031.250403T0218Z-250403T0315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1018 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Shelby County in west central Ohio...
Northwestern Preble County in west central Ohio...
Darke County in west central Ohio...
Auglaize County in west central Ohio...
Mercer County in west central Ohio...
Northern Miami County in west central Ohio...

* Until 1115 PM EDT.

* At 1018 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Winchester,
moving northeast at 70 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect
considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to
mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
Fryburg, Union Corners, Newbern, Bradford, Chickasaw, Lockington,
Darke County Airport, New Madison, Covington, New Knoxville,
Neptune, Fort Loramie, Sharps Crossing, Hardin, Pemberton, Kossuth,
Bloomer, Lake Loramie State Park, Arcanum, and North Dayton.

This includes I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 76 and 118.

&&

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

Campbell

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Yikes. Hoping it calms a bit. Watching Ryan Hall.

Thankfully my sister/brother in law are at my mom's tonight. She had back surgery a week ago and would not be able to navigate steps safely on her own.

I'm sitting here watching Ryan too!