Absolute Vorticity

...

This is the one that Angelika was referring to...

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Tue May 03, 2022 3:21 pm

tron777 wrote: ↑Tue May 03, 2022 3:15 pm Can someone with SRV check that cell over Boone Co? Any rotation? Thanks!

Don't see anything obvious but looks like it has at least 50-55 mph winds maybe more.

EDIT - TCVG may have shown a brief couplet between Burlington and Oakbrook

Thanks Mike... still some light rain and thunder here but the wind with that cell was pretty intense. Haven't seen wind like that in a while. Nice start to the 2022 storm season!

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
330 PM EDT Tue May 3 2022

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Warren County in southwestern Ohio...
Northern Clinton County in southwestern Ohio...
Southern Greene County in west central Ohio...

* Until 415 PM EDT.

* At 330 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Lebanon,
moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

Up to 0.85" here. Best storm in a while here as well. Didn't last very long, but it was intense.

The boys stating the obvious...

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
CWA resides in the warm sector this afternoon. Daytime heating
has allowed for decent destabilization, allowing for scattered
to numerous convection to develop ahead of a cold front which is
still across Indiana. Pockets of higher CAPE at or above 1500
J/kg may be realized, especially ahead of an instability
gradient that may wind up setting up near/east of I-71 later
this afternoon. There is some wind shear in this general area
this afternoon as well, providing organization to the storms.

Initial mode may feature some discrete/supercell type storms
particularly into central and south central Ohio, with all
severe hazard types possible. Otherwise, eventually convection
will likely take on multi-cell cluster/line segment
characteristics, with mainly damaging winds the main threat
although isolated tornadoes could still be possible. The main
severe weather risk will last into early this evening. Storms
will be progressive and therefore the flood risk appears
relatively low, although heavier downpours may produce local
ponding of water.

Ultimately, a cold front will move across the CWA and put an end
to the convection later this evening. Lingering low level
moisture will promote a stratus deck overnight. Lows will fall
into the lower to mid 50s

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
338 PM EDT Tue May 3 2022

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southern Fairfield County in central Ohio...
Northern Hocking County in central Ohio...
Southeastern Pickaway County in central Ohio...

* Until 415 PM EDT.

* At 337 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Kingston,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

So far so good as I seem to be getting missed to the north and south. Seem to get the outer edges of each cell going by.

Run of the mill 10 minute t-shower here

Gotten a few snippets of rain and thunder here at home (remote day). Pup, who does not like thunder, is laying right next to me.

1.09" event total so far.

Seeing a lull now in my local area until we await the cold front later this evening.

I hit 80 today before the storms rolled through... 69 currently.

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR FAYETTE AND SOUTHERN MADISON COUNTIES...

At 423 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Jeffersonville,
moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL BROWN...NORTHWESTERN ADAMS AND HIGHLAND COUNTIES...

At 421 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Rocky Fork
Point, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

Do we have time to re-charge? 2000 J/kg exists ahead of the front over East Central IN. Some sun here and temps are warming back up into the low 70s. We'll see if the sun has enough power left to help us. It's only 5pm and sunset isn't until 8:34pm. Gonna be close.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southwestern Fairfield County in central Ohio...
Western Hocking County in central Ohio...
Southeastern Pickaway County in central Ohio...
Eastern Ross County in southwestern Ohio...

* Until 545 PM EDT.

* At 459 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Chillicothe,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

Got s nice cell S of me that should be a swing and a miss.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Central Fairfield County in central Ohio...
Hocking County in central Ohio...

* Until 615 PM EDT.

* At 523 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Hocking Hills
State Park, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

72 / 67 here and at CVG currently...

----

1826 UNK PORT ROYAL HENRY KY 3856 8508 NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN PORT ROYAL. (LMK)

1904 100 2 W KLHQ LANCASTER AIRPORT FAIRFIELD OH 3976 8270 REPORT RECEIVED FROM MPING (ILN)

1905 UNK 3 SSE SLATE RUN METRO PARK FAIRFIELD OH 3972 8283 MULTIPLE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN AT CORNER OF 674 AND 752 (ILN)

1905 UNK 2 SSE SLATE RUN METRO PARK FAIRFIELD OH 3973 8283 PHOTOS OF SILO AND BARN DAMAGE POSTED ON SOCIAL MEDIA ON STATE ROUTE 674. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

1906 175 2 WNW LANCASTER FAIRFIELD OH 3973 8263 1.75 INCH HAIL- TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR (ILN)

1908 150 5 NW LANCASTER FAIRFIELD OH 3976 8268 PICTURE ON SOCIAL MEDIA SHOWED LARGER THAN QUARTER SIZE HAIL (ILN)

1910 UNK 4 S MIDDLETOWN BUTLER OH 3945 8436 LARGE TREE LIMB DOWN- WITH 12 INCH DIAMETER. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

1912 250 NW LANCASTER FAIRFIELD OH 3972 8260 BETWEEN 2.25 INCH TO 2.5 INCH HAIL (ILN)

1912 250 3 NNW LANCASTER FAIRFIELD OH 3975 8263 BETWEEN 2.25 INCH TO 2.5 INCH HAIL (ILN)

1914 200 3 S BALTIMORE FAIRFIELD OH 3981 8260 IMAGE OF 2.0 INCH HAIL POSTED ON SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

1915 150 4 N LANCASTER FAIRFIELD OH 3978 8259 (ILN)

1916 175 BALTIMORE FAIRFIELD OH 3985 8261 PING PONG TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED NEAR BALTIMORE. (ILN)

2015 UNK OCTA FAYETTE OH 3961 8361 SEMI-TRUCK BLOWN OVER NEAR I-71 AND 435. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

2015 UNK 1 E JEFFERSONVILLE FAYETTE OH 3965 8353 AROUND 10 OVERTURNED CAMPERS AT BUCKEYE RV IN JEFFERSONVILLE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

2028 UNK BUFFALO LARUE KY 3752 8570 EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS TREES DOWN ON GREENSBURG ROAD NEAR BUFFALO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (LMK)

2036 UNK 2 E JEFFERSONVILLE FAYETTE OH 3965 8352 BARN DAMAGED ALONG WITH A FEW DOWNED TREES (ILN)

2036 UNK 2 NE JEFFERSONVILLE FAYETTE OH 3967 8354 MULTIPLE ROADS WITH POLES SNAPPED AROUND THE JEFFERSONVILLE AREA. (ILN)

2044 64 2 SSE OHIO CITY VAN WERT OH 4074 8460 (IWX)

2053 UNK 1 N CONVERSE VAN WERT OH 4075 8442 SEVERAL POWER POLES KNOCKED DOWN AND 1 LARGE TREE DOWNED. (IWX)

2055 UNK 3 S VAN WERT VAN WERT OH 4082 8458 2-3 INCH LIMBS DOWN. WIND GUST ESTIMATED TO 60MPH. (IWX)

2057 58 KRZT CHILLICOTHE AIRPORT ROSS OH 3944 8302 (ILN)

2111 UNK 1 NE CIRCLEVILLE PICKAWAY OH 3961 8293 LARGE MATURE TREES DOWN ON NICHOLAS DRIVE. PHOTO VERIFIED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

2131 UNK 5 WNW LANCASTER FAIRFIELD OH 3975 8268 TREE FELL ON HOUSE ON LITHOPOLIS ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

CVG got to 79, DAY 77 and CMH 72 today.

So much for not making a thread for this system eh? The front is coming into the region now. Severe threat is low now. The line from about Dayton on north is still strong looking so it needs to be watched but for everyone else, it is much weaker and more scattered.

We can almost put this system to bed. The front sinks south for a cloudy and cooler day tomorrow in the low to mid 60s. Then the front comes back north as a warm front Thurs. Rain is likely Thurs night, Fri, Fri night and into Sat as the upper low comes right thru the area. I'm not concerned with a severe threat here but with most folks getting 1-2" of rain today, we'll have to see if any localized flooding issues develop with an additional inch possible or more coming with the next multiday event.

Hopefully... a dry and pleasant Mother's Day in the 70s. 80s return early next week

My gauge picked up .60" for Mon night and Tues.