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Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:06 pm
by tron777
BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:02 pm
Anyone have a time frame for the SE counties. I’d appreciate it.
You changeover 8 to 10am per the NAM to frz rain. Change to sleet after 7-8pm. Snow after midnight.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:07 pm
by tpweather
Another aspect to this storm is winds will pick up Thursday and this is going to cause problems as well. I love this run because how times do we see the nam get in this range and the 850's become more of a problem. This time less of a problem and still not sure it is totally correct. For the folks who get stuck with the frz/rain this is going to be a problem as you could see .50 or maybe greater with increasing winds and temps that will drop.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:07 pm
by cloudy72
tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 8:59 pm
Dayton gets hammered Thurs afternoon on the NAM lol
Yeah baby!
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:08 pm
by dce
tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:04 pm
NAM has a nice snow event IND to DAY Sleet south of there then ice storm for S counties and SE Crew.
The NAM has been really far north this entire time. For the NAM to be this far south is very encouraging.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:10 pm
by tron777
9pm Bloomington frz rain and 30
Muncie - 30 - light snow
Lima -32 -light snow
Paducah - 30 -cloudy
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:11 pm
by vbowler
Les you ought to borrow my AquaVu for the trip
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:11 pm
by tpweather
I have seen enough of the models to make a local forecast. Really liked Bgoney's map from last night and it was well thought out as usual. First of all locally expecting maybe .10-.15 inches of frz/rain in the morning. Going to go with about 1 inch of sleet and before all is said and done at CVG 6.3 inches of snow. Higher amounts northwest of the local area and would not be surprised to see some 12 inch totals not to far from the Butler country line. For folks like Matt I worry about the frz/rain aspect that could get to nearly .50 which is horrible. Hoping the sleet helps later in the day.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:12 pm
by mainevilleweather
dce wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:08 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:04 pm
NAM has a nice snow event IND to DAY Sleet south of there then ice storm for S counties and SE Crew.
The NAM has been really far north this entire time. For the NAM to be this far south is very encouraging.
I was thinking the same thing. This is the furthest south it has come. And it has blown the totals to the north. They were really inflated. I said it last night and I will stick to it. I'm sticking with the GFS. Has been consistent for days. I think we will get 7 to 10 inches of sleet and snow.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:13 pm
by tron777
vbowler wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:11 pm
Les you ought to borrow my AquaVu for the trip
I have an old black and white one. Those things are nice!
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:14 pm
by BookNerdCarp
tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:06 pm
BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:02 pm
Anyone have a time frame for the SE counties. I’d appreciate it.
You changeover 8 to 10am per the NAM to frz rain. Change to sleet after 7-8pm. Snow after midnight.
That is ugly my friend.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:15 pm
by extremeweather
Indy airport reporting snow/sleet as of 8:52p.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:15 pm
by tpweather
I will be watching closely when I wake up on Thursday to see what kind of precip is falling Paducah.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:16 pm
by tron777
Thru 8am Fri morning. 6"+ Butler Co on north
NAM.png
Ice
NAMICE.png
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:18 pm
by diane3230
I have to drive from Loveland to Christ Hosp Liberty campus in the morning,,any thoughts about when I could leave to beat the freezing rain? I am willing to leave verrrrryyy early. Thanks
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:19 pm
by tron777
diane3230 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:18 pm
I have to drive from Loveland to Christ Hosp Liberty campus in the morning,,any thoughts about when I could leave to beat the freezing rain? I am willing to leave verrrrryyy early. Thanks
I think we will changeover here in Cincy around 4am to frz rain so the earlier the better for sure.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:19 pm
by tpweather
Okay that is it for me tonight. Probably when I get up around 5 or 6am on Thursday I will have a better sense if the forecast is going to bust with more sleet or does the colder air move in a little more pronounced especially upstairs to give us a good dose of snow.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:20 pm
by tron777
I'll be on in the morning at my usual time too. Keep it going guys and fill us in on overnight obs and data!
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:20 pm
by dce
tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:16 pm
Thru 8am Fri morning. 6"+ Butler Co on north
NAM.png
Ice
NAMICE.png
Kentucky looks to have a really rough time with power outages and downed trees. Wherever the freezing rain sets up it has the potential to be pretty bad.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:24 pm
by cincy bud
tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:11 pm
I have seen enough of the models to make a local forecast. Really liked Bgoney's map from last night and it was well thought out as usual. First of all locally expecting maybe .10-.15 inches of frz/rain in the morning. Going to go with about 1 inch of sleet and before all is said and done at CVG 6.3 inches of snow. Higher amounts northwest of the local area and would not be surprised to see some 12 inch totals not to far from the Butler country line. For folks like Matt I worry about the frz/rain aspect that could get to nearly .50 which is horrible. Hoping the sleet helps later in the day.
I am right on the Preble Co line in Butler. I am hoping for a double digit storm
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:24 pm
by MVWxObserver
dce wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:20 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:16 pm
Thru 8am Fri morning. 6"+ Butler Co on north
NAM.png
Ice
NAMICE.png
Kentucky looks to have a really rough time with power outages and downed trees. Wherever the freezing rain sets up it has the potential to be pretty bad.
And for areas like Bowling Green and Mayfield i.e. ICE set up like lemon juice / salt in the wound after the Dec tornadoes.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:27 pm
by Ryan
Temp here just bumped up a degree, currently 43.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:36 pm
by cloudy72
DAY down to 36 with that NW wind - and 39 here with 1.32” rain so far.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:39 pm
by cincy bud
Wind has switched to a North wind and temp down to 38.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:43 pm
by cloudy72
Yeah front has definitely passed through my hood - NNW winds now and temp down to 37.
Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022
Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:48 pm
by cloudy72
All snow in Indy now