Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

[MJSun]

Oh wow.

[tron777]

43 / 41 here 0.88" light rain continuing...

[MJSun]

41 degrees with rain.

[tron777]

Paducah is down to 31 as of 7pm. Henderson 33, Owensboro 37 LOU is 50. CVG 43

[Bgoney]

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[tron777]

The cold is coming faster then indicated. Southern solutions have a shot here IMHO... Thoughts???

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[mainevilleweather]

I'm wondering is that break in the action going to cool things down quicker?

[tron777]

18Z Euro text data

Code: Select all

CVG

THU 12Z 03-FEB  -1.9     1.9    1023      96      98    0.10     563     545    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -2.8     0.7    1023      93      99    0.38     563     545    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -4.3    -1.4    1024      88      95    0.52     563     544    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -5.8    -3.1    1025      83      99    0.10     561     542    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -7.2    -5.0    1026      84     100    0.07     557     537    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -6.7    -8.0    1029      72     100    0.05     552     530   

HAO

HU 06Z 03-FEB   0.4     2.2    1021      95      95    0.28     561     545    
THU 12Z 03-FEB  -2.4     0.8    1024      91      99    0.09     562     543    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -3.4    -0.4    1023      85      99    0.32     562     544    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -4.6    -2.5    1024      86      93    0.41     562     543    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -6.2    -3.9    1025      83      99    0.08     560     540    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -7.7    -5.6    1027      85     100    0.07     556     536    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -7.5    -8.4    1029      73     101    0.04     551     529    

MGY

THU 06Z 03-FEB   0.2     1.8    1021      94      96    0.29     561     544    
THU 12Z 03-FEB  -2.9     0.3    1024      89      99    0.08     562     543    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -3.7    -1.0    1024      85      99    0.29     562     543    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -5.4    -3.0    1025      86      94    0.39     561     542    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -6.8    -4.1    1026      84      99    0.08     559     540    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -8.4    -5.8    1027      85     100    0.07     556     535    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -8.4    -8.6    1029      78     100    0.04     550     528 

DAY

THU 06Z 03-FEB  -0.9     0.9    1022      93      98    0.28     560     543    
THU 12Z 03-FEB  -3.6    -0.8    1025      86      99    0.08     561     541    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -4.4    -2.0    1025      85     100    0.25     561     542    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -6.0    -3.8    1025      87      94    0.34     560     541    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -7.4    -4.6    1026      85      98    0.07     559     539    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -9.0    -6.2    1027      84     100    0.06     555     534    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -9.4    -8.9    1029      83      97    0.03     550     528    

CMH

THU 12Z 03-FEB  -1.9     0.7    1024      92      98    0.13     562     543    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -2.5    -0.1    1024      84     100    0.21     562     544    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -5.1    -2.4    1024      87      99    0.44     562     542    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -5.7    -3.5    1025      83      98    0.16     560     541    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -7.9    -5.2    1025      86     100    0.08     556     537    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -7.8    -8.6    1027      76     100    0.05     550     530 

FGX

THU 18Z 03-FEB  -0.4     4.5    1020      99      99    0.41     566     550    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -2.3     2.1    1021      97      96    0.64     566     549    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -3.9     0.3    1022      94      98    0.37     564     547    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -5.2    -2.2    1024      86     100    0.15     561     542    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -5.8    -6.7    1027      73      93    0.03     556     535 

[tron777]

I'm wondering is that break in the action going to cool things down quicker?

Yes... Tim talked about this. Arctic high pressing in.


Look at how far south it is already.

Surface.gif

[Mlgzz]

Currently 42, with .52 in the bucket in Fairfield Township (Hamilton). Love the way things are trending. Anxious to see how Tim’s thinking on the break works out. Really appreciate all the knowledge in this group!

[tron777]

Currently 42, with .52 in the bucket in Fairfield Township (Hamilton). Love the way things are trending. Anxious to see how Tim’s thinking on the break works out. Really appreciate all the knowledge in this group!

Thank you Mike! Glad you're here! Going to be a fun day tomorrow and Friday too! lol

[tron777]

MD issued now for mixed precip. Wave 2 starting to get cranked up!

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0112.html

[tron777]

Critical thicknesses:

thck.gif

[shlybluz]

Hi guys, coming out of lurk to see what's up. Hoping the cold comes in quicker and we don't get the ice since I still have to go into work tomorrow.

[tron777]

Current Look.gif

[MVWxObserver]

Changeover now not that far away from Darke.

Currently at the freezing mark.

[tron777]

Hi guys, coming out of lurk to see what's up. Hoping the cold comes in quicker and we don't get the ice since I still have to go into work tomorrow.

Hello!!! So glad you're back, Michelle! Enjoy the storm! It's going to be fun.

[tron777]

Changeover now not that far away from Darke.

Currently at the freezing mark.

You're my double digit guy Bro! I expect reports and pics, Sir! Jackpot!!!

[Browneyedgirl]

Snowing in Lima according to a friend.

[MVWxObserver]

Changeover now not that far away from Darke.

Currently at the freezing mark.

You're my double digit guy Bro! I expect reports and pics, Sir! Jackpot!!!

Will do, Bro!!

An ODOT truck may make a "snowman" out of trash cart there at the foot of the driveway! SPLOOOSH!!

[cincy bud]

Changeover now not that far away from Darke.

Currently at the freezing mark.

I wonder how long it will take to get to down to me. On Preble/Butler Co line

[tpweather]

Good Evening and took a time out to eat dinner and play a losing game of 500 rummy. My wife seems to win all the time. Hope I did not miss much and will try and catch up before the nam comes out in about 1 hour.

[tron777]

Good Evening and took a time out to eat dinner and play a losing game of 500 rummy. My wife seems to win all the time. Hope I did not miss much and will try and catch up before the nam comes out in about 1 hour.

I love that game, Tim! Back in the Jan of 94 storm, when KY was closed for a week, Mom and I played a game of Rummy to 10,000! took 5 days. I won

[tpweather]

Les it is a fun game. I noticed Indy has turned to frz/rain and quickly. I mentioned that because sometimes with a frz/rain situation it can rain several hours at or below 32 before things begin to freeze but it looks like they reported this happening right away. The frz/rain does concern me in the morning and with the precip being light at the time it can no doubt cause problems. How far east does this front go before stalling is still a big key to the forecast. I believe the cold is coming in a bit faster and does trend continue. We have talked about the thermals for days and will be interesting to see the latest data on the nam as that model usually but not always does the best with that part of complex system.

[tron777]

We've got to watch it hour by hour and nowcast it. It's all we can do. It's going to be a fun system and I'm excited about it.