Absolute Vorticity

Ohio Valley Weather Observation & Discussion
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Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

https://absolutevorticity.com/viewtopic.php?t=109

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Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:48 pm
by tron777
I'm snowing after 5pm, nice! :)

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:48 pm
by tron777
Metro getting hammered between 6-8pm. Wow! Light snow still at 1am.. nice run folks!

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:49 pm
by tpweather
Gfs is a little further south on this run

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:49 pm
by fyrfyter
tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:44 pm
Trevor wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:19 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:16 pm I think Fox 19 is over done (would love them to be right) and Local 12 would have me at about 4" based on their map. Sounds about right, and would be thrilled!
@Les…let’s not forget the in house model showing 13” for Loveland! :lmao:

I know @Brice remembers that :lol:
It was a bunch of Horse as in Horsemeyer-Shit :lol:
The RPM is the best model there is! Just ask him… :o :lol:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:49 pm
by tron777
Nice deform zone to impact more people on this run. Light snow for everyone at 8am Fri morning. Plenty more to come.

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:50 pm
by sbpstudios
:lol:
tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:44 pm
Trevor wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:19 pm
tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:16 pm I think Fox 19 is over done (would love them to be right) and Local 12 would have me at about 4" based on their map. Sounds about right, and would be thrilled!
@Les…let’s not forget the in house model showing 13” for Loveland! :lmao:

I know @Brice remembers that :lol:
It was a bunch of Horse as in Horsemeyer-Shit :lol:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:50 pm
by Bgoney
WOW , GFS bullrushes the cold through the region

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:52 pm
by tron777
Wow... huge run! Wow...

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:52 pm
by tron777
Fri morning 10am light snow.. wraps up midday Friday.

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:52 pm
by dce
The GFS is a wild run!

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:53 pm
by tron777
6-12" for the Tri-state From North to South, Wow!

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:54 pm
by tron777
Hammer Time.JPG

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:55 pm
by tron777
GooFuS.png

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:56 pm
by mainevilleweather
GFS has been consistent for days now. Anywhere from 8 - 12 inches for my hood kuchera or 10:1 (both about the same). Hope it pans out!

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:57 pm
by tron777
A way better ice look for our area.

Iceicebaby.png

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:00 pm
by sbpstudios
Les how often do the ensembles come out? Just wondering what the consensus looks like between those.

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:04 pm
by tron777
sbpstudios wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:00 pm Les how often do the ensembles come out? Just wondering what the consensus looks like between those.
Running now out to 12 Z Friday will post shortly.

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:11 pm
by BookNerdCarp
You say SE crew hammered with ice. Like 1/2 totals?

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:11 pm
by sbpstudios
tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:04 pm
sbpstudios wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:00 pm Les how often do the ensembles come out? Just wondering what the consensus looks like between those.
Running now out to 12 Z Friday will post shortly.
Ok ty.

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:14 pm
by Ryan
Visibility is going down out there, quite foggy right now.

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:20 pm
by snowbo
Local television reporting that there are already 100 closures and delays for tomorrow.

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:25 pm
by tron777
18Z GEFS Snowfall mean:

GEFS.png

The number of big dog members look good esp NW of I-71. 6" of snow for folks NW of I-71 is increasing in my honest opinion.

Members.png

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:25 pm
by tron777
BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:11 pm You say SE crew hammered with ice. Like 1/2 totals?
I think 1/2" totals are very possible.

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:30 pm
by fyrfyter
snowbo wrote: ↑Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:20 pm Local television reporting that there are already 100 closures and delays for tomorrow.
WCPO has 156, including some companies canceling 3rd shift employees.

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:31 pm
by tron777
18Z GFS Text Data

Code: Select all

CVG

THU 12Z 03-FEB  -1.8     3.2    1023      95      96    0.24     562     544    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -4.7     1.9    1021      94      98    0.35     563     546    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -6.4    -1.1    1022      95      98    0.75     562     544    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -8.2    -3.6    1024      95      97    0.17     559     541    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -9.0    -5.8    1027      95      96    0.07     555     534    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -5.5    -7.8    1029      90      98    0.04     552     529

HAO

THU 06Z 03-FEB   0.0     2.7    1021      92      95    0.29     561     544    
THU 12Z 03-FEB  -2.6     1.4    1023      94      95    0.21     561     543    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -5.3     0.3    1022      94      98    0.27     562     545    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -7.1    -2.4    1023      94      97    0.64     561     543    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -8.6    -4.6    1025      95      97    0.15     558     539    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -9.3    -6.4    1027      95      96    0.07     554     533    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -6.6    -8.1    1029      87      97    0.04     550     528   

MGY

THU 06Z 03-FEB  -0.5     2.4    1021      93      97    0.28     561     544    
THU 12Z 03-FEB  -3.3     0.8    1024      94      97    0.22     561     542    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -5.6    -0.5    1023      94      98    0.25     562     544    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -7.6    -2.9    1024      94      97    0.59     560     542    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -9.1    -5.0    1026      94      97    0.14     558     538    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -9.8    -6.7    1027      95      96    0.08     553     532    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -7.1    -8.3    1029      86      97    0.04     550     527  

DAY

THU 06Z 03-FEB  -1.9     1.5    1022      92      98    0.28     560     543    
THU 12Z 03-FEB  -4.2    -0.4    1024      94      99    0.19     560     541    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -5.9    -2.1    1024      94      98    0.23     561     542    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -8.2    -3.7    1025      93      97    0.50     559     541    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -9.5    -5.5    1026      94      96    0.13     557     537    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB -10.3    -7.1    1028      94      96    0.08     553     532    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -7.9    -8.5    1029      85      96    0.03     549     527   

CMH

THU 12Z 03-FEB  -2.8     0.8    1024      93      98    0.23     561     542    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -4.5     0.3    1023      94      99    0.19     562     544    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -6.9    -1.8    1023      94      97    0.68     561     543    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -8.6    -4.7    1025      95      97    0.19     558     539    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -9.6    -6.5    1026      95      96    0.10     554     534    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -6.7    -8.2    1027      89      96    0.06     549     528   

FGX

THU 18Z 03-FEB  -1.0     4.7    1019      97      99    0.51     565     551    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -4.3     2.3    1020      95      99    0.94     565     549    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -7.0    -0.2    1022      95      98    0.28     563     545    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -8.2    -3.7    1025      96      98    0.13     559     539    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -4.6    -7.0    1028      90      99    0.06     554     533    
SAT 00Z 05-FEB  -8.4    -8.1    1031      97      65    0.01     552     528
All times are UTC-04:00
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