September 2024 Weather Discussion
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
72/ 64 at CVG per the 9am reading. Nice to see the low levels trying to moisten up a bit.
- Bgoney
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 4394
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
- Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
Saw where cvg is adding 20 million $ worth of hangars and concrete. Probably raise temps another degree or two in the process
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
We'll be like LOU before too long.
- Bgoney
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 4394
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
- Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
83, another upper 80s in the works . Depending on how much/soon CU develops, can we reach another 90
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
We have some decent CAPE over the Tri-state 1500-2000 J/kg. Low level lapse rates are decent too along the I-71 corridor. 12Z NAM and HRRR continue to show a broken line of strong to isolated severe storms pushing thru the area late this afternoon and into the early evening hours across the Tri-state. We shall see and good luck to all!
-
- EF1 Tornado
- Posts: 404
- Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 9:13 am
- Location: Westwood/Cheviot
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
Thanks Les, we'll need the luck! I got lucky last Friday and doubt I'll get lucky today! Loltron777 wrote: ↑Fri Sep 06, 2024 11:38 am We have some decent CAPE over the Tri-state 1500-2000 J/kg. Low level lapse rates are decent too along the I-71 corridor. 12Z NAM and HRRR continue to show a broken line of strong to isolated severe storms pushing thru the area late this afternoon and into the early evening hours across the Tri-state. We shall see and good luck to all!
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
I was unlucky last Friday and am expecting to be unlucky again today!winterstormjoe wrote: ↑Fri Sep 06, 2024 12:10 pmThanks Les, we'll need the luck! I got lucky last Friday and doubt I'll get lucky today! Loltron777 wrote: ↑Fri Sep 06, 2024 11:38 am We have some decent CAPE over the Tri-state 1500-2000 J/kg. Low level lapse rates are decent too along the I-71 corridor. 12Z NAM and HRRR continue to show a broken line of strong to isolated severe storms pushing thru the area late this afternoon and into the early evening hours across the Tri-state. We shall see and good luck to all!
- Bgoney
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 4394
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
- Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
86 cvg
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
CVG has been 89'ed thus far.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
90 as of 4pm at CVG. I also hit 90. Scattered storms are around, good luck folks! Getting some thunder here and I have shot to pick up a downpour for the first time in weeks.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
Unbelievable.... but I may get missed about 2 miles to my south.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
6pm totals:
CVG - 0.03"
Me - 0.10"
Boone Co Mesonet - 0.57"
CVG - 0.03"
Me - 0.10"
Boone Co Mesonet - 0.57"
- Bgoney
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 4394
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
- Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
Sprinkles
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
-
- Hurricane
- Posts: 6450
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
- Location: Greenville, OH
-
- Hurricane
- Posts: 6450
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
- Location: Greenville, OH
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
----
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Eric
Greenville, OH
Greenville, OH
-
- Hurricane
- Posts: 6450
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
- Location: Greenville, OH
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
1942 UNK Washington Court House Fayette OH 3954 8344 Roof damage to a structure at the intersection of East Court Street and South North Street. Time estimated from radar data. (ILN)
2008 100 3 NE Hilliard Franklin OH 4006 8312 (ILN)
2053 UNK 1 N Independence Kenton KY 3897 8455 Four trees down. (ILN)
2140 UNK 2 NNW Claypool Warren KY 3692 8626 Small microburst with 55mph winds peeled some of a barn roof off and snapped a large tree limb on Iron Bridge Road. (LMK)
2148 UNK 1 NNE Glasgow Columbiana OH 4068 8068 Report of multiple trees down across Madison Township. Time estimated based on radar. (PBZ)
2148 UNK 2 SE Elkton Columbiana OH 4075 8067 911 Center reporting multiple trees down including one on roadway with burning power line. Time estimated based on radar. (PBZ)
2149 UNK Hamersville Brown OH 3892 8398 Trees down in the area. Time estimated from radar data. (ILN)
2155 UNK 1 SSW Sprucevale Columbiana OH 4069 8059 Report of multiple trees down across St. Clair Township in Columbiana County. Time estimated based on radar. (PBZ)
2216 UNK 2 NW Georgetown Floyd IN 3832 8600 Tree down on Hamby Road near the intersection of Cooks Mill Road. (LMK)
2219 UNK 2 W Winchester Brown OH 3894 8370 Numerous trees downed at a property on John Woods Road. Time estimated from radar. (ILN)
2230 UNK 1 ESE Winchester Adams OH 3893 8363 Several trees reported down near US-32 and Graces Run Road. Time estimated from radar data. (ILN)
2238 UNK 4 NNW Stockport Morgan OH 3960 8183 Tree reported down. Time is estimated by radar. (RLX)
2239 UNK 3 SSE McConnelsville Morgan OH 3961 8182 Tree reported down. Time is estimated by radar. (RLX)
2242 UNK 2 SSE Jacksonville Athens OH 3945 8207 Several trees down near the intersection of Monserat Ridge Road and Millfield Road. Time estimated by radar. (RLX)
2247 UNK 4 NW Amesville Athens OH 3944 8201 Tree down on power lines. (RLX)
2252 UNK 4 NW Amesville Athens OH 3944 8200 Large tree reported down blocking East Kasler Creek Road. (RLX)
2256 UNK 1 SW Island Creek Jefferson OH 4044 8070 Report of tree down along Township Road. Time estimated based on radar. (PBZ)
2008 100 3 NE Hilliard Franklin OH 4006 8312 (ILN)
2053 UNK 1 N Independence Kenton KY 3897 8455 Four trees down. (ILN)
2140 UNK 2 NNW Claypool Warren KY 3692 8626 Small microburst with 55mph winds peeled some of a barn roof off and snapped a large tree limb on Iron Bridge Road. (LMK)
2148 UNK 1 NNE Glasgow Columbiana OH 4068 8068 Report of multiple trees down across Madison Township. Time estimated based on radar. (PBZ)
2148 UNK 2 SE Elkton Columbiana OH 4075 8067 911 Center reporting multiple trees down including one on roadway with burning power line. Time estimated based on radar. (PBZ)
2149 UNK Hamersville Brown OH 3892 8398 Trees down in the area. Time estimated from radar data. (ILN)
2155 UNK 1 SSW Sprucevale Columbiana OH 4069 8059 Report of multiple trees down across St. Clair Township in Columbiana County. Time estimated based on radar. (PBZ)
2216 UNK 2 NW Georgetown Floyd IN 3832 8600 Tree down on Hamby Road near the intersection of Cooks Mill Road. (LMK)
2219 UNK 2 W Winchester Brown OH 3894 8370 Numerous trees downed at a property on John Woods Road. Time estimated from radar. (ILN)
2230 UNK 1 ESE Winchester Adams OH 3893 8363 Several trees reported down near US-32 and Graces Run Road. Time estimated from radar data. (ILN)
2238 UNK 4 NNW Stockport Morgan OH 3960 8183 Tree reported down. Time is estimated by radar. (RLX)
2239 UNK 3 SSE McConnelsville Morgan OH 3961 8182 Tree reported down. Time is estimated by radar. (RLX)
2242 UNK 2 SSE Jacksonville Athens OH 3945 8207 Several trees down near the intersection of Monserat Ridge Road and Millfield Road. Time estimated by radar. (RLX)
2247 UNK 4 NW Amesville Athens OH 3944 8201 Tree down on power lines. (RLX)
2252 UNK 4 NW Amesville Athens OH 3944 8200 Large tree reported down blocking East Kasler Creek Road. (RLX)
2256 UNK 1 SW Island Creek Jefferson OH 4044 8070 Report of tree down along Township Road. Time estimated based on radar. (PBZ)
Eric
Greenville, OH
Greenville, OH
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
Good Morning and ended up with 1.12 inches of rain and give credit to my son who is in town for my niece's wedding. Big difference in rainfall totals as usual and this time I hit the jackpot. Not much to say about the weekend weather and picture perfect. How low do we go on Sunday morning and no doubt mid-40's but some outlying areas could get into the upper 30's. Next week will see big time temp raise everyday and with the dry grounds for the most part 30-35 degree between high and low is likely a few days. Looks like it will be late in the week or weekend before humidity levels go up.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
Good morning all! Rainfall totals here varied. Little by CVG and the S part of the county got the goods. CVG got 0.07" I got 0.15" and the Boone Co mesonet site got 0.62". Low here was 51, CVG 52. I expect most folks to be in the 40s the next couple of nights. I agree with Tim that an isolated upper 30 degree reading in the cooler, sheltered rural valleys is indeed possible.
Here are the record lows for 9/8 which will come close tomorrow morning.
CMH 39 in 1951
DAY 42 in 1898
CVG 44 in 1956
Otherwise, no rain in sight and as a result, temps will skyrocket again next week. Expecting upper 80s to around 90 Wed thru Fri at least, potentially even extending into next weekend. Enjoy the cooler weather this weekend and on Monday because after that it's gone for a long while I'm afraid.
Here are the record lows for 9/8 which will come close tomorrow morning.
CMH 39 in 1951
DAY 42 in 1898
CVG 44 in 1956
Otherwise, no rain in sight and as a result, temps will skyrocket again next week. Expecting upper 80s to around 90 Wed thru Fri at least, potentially even extending into next weekend. Enjoy the cooler weather this weekend and on Monday because after that it's gone for a long while I'm afraid.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
The only legit shot at rain would be towards the end of next week should that tropical wave in the S Gulf develop and track up our way just right. It's a long shot this far away but its the only hope I see. Otherwise, the drought will continue getting worse for everyone.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
12Z GFS shows a tropical system bringing some rain our way by next weekend. 1/2" plus showing up. Better then nothing should it occur. Heaviest rains well to our SW and you can see how the system "dries up" and weakens as it moves in. We can thank the drought for that.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
12Z Euro looks great! Praying something like this would pan out.
CVG
CVG
Code: Select all
SAT 06Z 14-SEP 19.4 15.1 1016 88 86 0.20 584 571
SAT 12Z 14-SEP 18.7 14.8 1016 96 81 0.52 584 571
SAT 18Z 14-SEP 25.7 15.1 1015 69 66 0.01 584 572
SUN 00Z 15-SEP 20.6 16.3 1015 96 73 0.19 583 570
SUN 06Z 15-SEP 20.1 16.5 1014 96 62 0.03 583 571
SUN 12Z 15-SEP 19.9 15.4 1015 97 68 0.00 582 569
SUN 18Z 15-SEP 23.5 14.8 1015 78 76 0.01 583 570
MON 00Z 16-SEP 21.3 14.9 1014 90 80 0.05 582 570
MON 06Z 16-SEP 20.0 14.7 1014 95 81 0.01 581 569
MON 12Z 16-SEP 19.1 13.9 1014 98 85 0.16 580 568
MON 18Z 16-SEP 21.3 14.1 1014 92 83 0.27 581 569
TUE 00Z 17-SEP 20.2 14.6 1013 97 79 0.35 581 570
TUE 06Z 17-SEP 19.5 14.4 1013 97 83 0.04 581 570
TUE 12Z 17-SEP 19.5 13.8 1014 96 84 0.40 581 569
- Bgoney
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 4394
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
- Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
Seems like the EU-AI wasn’t so crazy after all with the idea of next weekend moisture moving north somewhere into the OV
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
70 here today. We'll see how low we can go with regards to the wind overnight. It should be dropping off once the suns sets and we lose some heating and the high gets a little closer (currently well off to the NW). ILN has low 40s at CVG so that would be a new record if it occurs.
-
- Hurricane
- Posts: 6450
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
- Location: Greenville, OH
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
CVG reached 71 and both DAY / CMH 69 today.
Last edited by MVWxObserver on Sun Sep 08, 2024 2:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Eric
Greenville, OH
Greenville, OH
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22984
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: September 2024 Weather Discussion
44 here so I have tied the record low. CVG checking in with 47 as of 7am and they have been holding there for quite a while. Probably will fall short officially thanks to UHI.