Absolute Vorticity

As we watch the first little complex that is moving up I-71... the next one is already forming with new cells over Southern IN and just west of the LOU metro area.

Plenty of southwest to northeast action on these showers and thundershowers through much of the evening until the cold front lines up and starts to push everything to the south and east. Could see some nice cloud to ground lightning with these cells but still believe heavy rain is the main threat.

T-storm warnings...


The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Franklin County in central Ohio...
Northwestern Pickaway County in central Ohio...
Eastern Madison County in central Ohio...
Southeastern Union County in central Ohio...

* Until 315 PM EDT.

=========================================================

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Ohio County in southeastern Indiana...
Switzerland County in southeastern Indiana...
Carroll County in northern Kentucky...
Southern Boone County in northern Kentucky...
Northern Grant County in northern Kentucky...
Northwestern Owen County in northern Kentucky...
Gallatin County in northern Kentucky...

* Until 330 PM EDT.

Les the afternoon is turning out to busy. All I had to do was come back home and the action would heat up lol. If Mike misses out today I may need to spend a couple of weeks at his house.

tpweather wrote: ↑Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:47 pm If Mike misses out today I may need to spend a couple of weeks at his house.

Come on up TIm!

tpweather wrote: ↑Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:47 pm Les the afternoon is turning out to busy. All I had to do was come back home and the action would heat up lol. If Mike misses out today I may need to spend a couple of weeks at his house.

I was gonna say the same thing. I am sure a few beers may help crack Mike's dome.

Back up to 80 again here as I await to see what's going to happen with the incoming cell that has me under a warning. In addition, the leading edge of the MCS has now worked its way into SW IN so look out Evansville!

Nice read from the boys for tonight:

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
Multiple clusters of showers and storms continue to progress to
the NE through the region, including near the I-71 corridor this
afternoon, before more widespread activity arrives this evening
through at least the first part of the overnight period. These
storms have exhibited some episodic organization, with some
fairly consistent bowing structures along the LL bulk shear
vector. This will continue to promote a translation of strong
winds down to the ground with the stronger cores, even in the
absence of better LL/BL thermodynamic conditions, and especially
in areas that remain rather "untouched" by previous convection.
Any storm structure/complex exhibiting a bowing structure, with
an apex moving approximately SW to NE, will be carefully
watched for enhancements/surges of wind as this would align
itself more perpendicularly to the LL shear vector oriented at
about 230 degrees at 30kts or so. And the LL shear will only
increase in magnitude as we progress deeper into the evening
with the approach of the main LL low center, but that will
hopefully be offset from some LL stabilization efforts (with
slightly more meager LL lapse rates) in the wake of repeated
rounds of convection this afternoon through early evening.

The better forcing and widespread lift arrives this evening into
the overnight, with a H8 LLJ nudging NNE into the southern OH
Vly. This will allow for a blossoming of convection even beyond
sunset with the increase in mass convergence amidst an amply
moist environment as the feature works ENE through the ILN FA
overnight. While the severe threat is likely to become more
limited very late this evening into tonight as the
thermodynamic environment becomes increasingly unfavorable, the
increase in LL wind fields will promote maintenance of
convection well through the night, with on and off rumbles of
thunder possible just about anywhere through tonight.

Activity will taper off from W to E late tonight into the
predawn hours on Tuesday, still lingering in central/south-
central OH for the morning commute. Lows tonight will bottom
out in a muggy fashion in the mid/upper 60s.

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Ohio County in southeastern Indiana...
East central Ripley County in southeastern Indiana...
Dearborn County in southeastern Indiana...
Northeastern Switzerland County in southeastern Indiana...
Northern Kenton County in northern Kentucky...
Northern Campbell County in northern Kentucky...
Boone County in northern Kentucky...
Central Gallatin County in northern Kentucky...
Hamilton County in southwestern Ohio...
Southwestern Butler County in southwestern Ohio...
Northwestern Clermont County in southwestern Ohio...

* Until 415 PM EDT.

That line is getting ready to cross the river into the KY and OH side from IN. I will report my conditions here of course.

I will report as well and more forming to the south and west. This was a somewhat different mcs as it has formed its own little low pressure and that is why it keeps trucking along and moving northeast instead of going southeast and dying out. Interesting and not so common imo.

Good luck gents! Looks like it is bowing right into Burlington, so Les you should get some good winds out of this!

Heavy rain and the wind have picked up now... wow... this storm means business! It went from calm to 40+ mph gusts in a heartbeat.

Maybe I need to move to NKY

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 06, 2022 3:37 pm Good luck gents! Looks like it is bowing right into Burlington, so Les you should get some good winds out of this!

That wall of red on radar should blast right thru here shortly.

Rain is blowing sideways lol

EDIT: Winds to 50 now easy...

A touch of pea sized hail now for good measure. So far, this storm has been below severe criteria IMBY. Still a strong storm for sure.

Looks like the worst is done here. Just some mod to hvy rain (and some thunder) left to go with this round. Will post a rainfall update after I'm done working.

Now one would think this line holds together by the time it gets to my hood.....fingers crossed LOL

cloudy72 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 06, 2022 3:50 pm Now one would think this line holds together by the time it gets to my hood.....fingers crossed LOL

You have been untouched so far, so I wouldn't see any reason why you should not get something out of it. But the dome is the dome, so there's that.

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
336 PM EDT Mon Jun 6 2022

OHZ034-035-042-043-051-062015-
Auglaize OH-Darke OH-Shelby OH-Mercer OH-Miami OH-
336 PM EDT Mon Jun 6 2022

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN SHELBY,
NORTHERN DARKE, SOUTHWESTERN AUGLAIZE, SOUTHEASTERN MERCER AND
NORTHWESTERN MIAMI COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM EDT...

At 335 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Union City,
moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Hail may cause minor damage to outdoor
objects.

Locations impacted include...
Greenville, New Bremen, Minster, Versailles, Newport, Union City,
Fort Loramie, Ansonia, Webster, Russia, Osgood, Chickasaw,
Burkettsville, North Star, Rossburg, Lockington, New Weston,
Yorkshire, Egypt and Darke County Airport.

&&

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...45 MPH

$$

Clark

----

Just started with heavy rain and decent winds. Fast mover but more action to come

Rainfall totals so far:

CVG - 0.36"
Boone Co Mesonet - 0.42"
Me - 0.40"

Still raining but winds are not bad. This was well below severe limits but just a nice thundershower imo.