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Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:10 pm
by Trevor
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Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:15 pm
by Trevor
GFS brings CVG up to 60 degrees Thursday afternoon with dews in the middle 50s. Just over 2" QPF per this run, a small bit of which is frozen at the very end.

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:18 pm
by tpweather
Trevor wrote: Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:15 pm GFS brings CVG up to 60 degrees Thursday afternoon with dews in the middle 50s. Just over 2" QPF per this run, a small bit of which is frozen at the very end.
Pretty wild Trev while the cmc has us with a major ice storm and temps near 30. One of those two models will near to say uncle.

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:18 pm
by Bgoney
GEFs are pretty much the same as 0z , so a good deal of icing and mix for the region from individual members

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:32 pm
by Trevor
http://www.absolutevorticity.com/viewto ... ?f=9&t=109

Everyone's favorite...THREAD TIME! Continue discussion there.

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sat Jan 29, 2022 7:01 pm
by tron777
A brief, but nice warming trend into the 50s river on South for Tues then I am rolling with rain at least S of I-70 on Wed including Cincy and NKY. That is subject to change as well as Thurs into early Fri. We of course have a thread for that so moving on into more of a potential Fabulous Feb and the 18Z GFS is loaded with potential tonight with shots of cold air and an active STJ. Potential threats on this run: 2/6, 2/9, 2/12-2/13, V-day -15th I mean wow!

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 30, 2022 8:03 am
by Trevor
tron777 wrote: Sat Jan 29, 2022 7:01 pm A brief, but nice warming trend into the 50s river on South for Tues then I am rolling with rain at least S of I-70 on Wed including Cincy and NKY. That is subject to change as well as Thurs into early Fri. We of course have a thread for that so moving on into more of a potential Fabulous Feb and the 18Z GFS is loaded with potential tonight with shots of cold air and an active STJ. Potential threats on this run: 2/6, 2/9, 2/12-2/13, V-day -15th I mean wow!
Feb 2021 redux?

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 30, 2022 8:38 am
by tron777
Trevor wrote: Sun Jan 30, 2022 8:03 am
tron777 wrote: Sat Jan 29, 2022 7:01 pm A brief, but nice warming trend into the 50s river on South for Tues then I am rolling with rain at least S of I-70 on Wed including Cincy and NKY. That is subject to change as well as Thurs into early Fri. We of course have a thread for that so moving on into more of a potential Fabulous Feb and the 18Z GFS is loaded with potential tonight with shots of cold air and an active STJ. Potential threats on this run: 2/6, 2/9, 2/12-2/13, V-day -15th I mean wow!
Feb 2021 redux?
I'm game! Got 10" in 4-6 hours that one overnight / early morning period. I shoveled 4 times in 1 week. :lol:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 30, 2022 11:35 am
by MVWxObserver
Trevor wrote: Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:10 pm-
Looks like our Wxbuddy Shayne could get walloped on that run! :)

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 30, 2022 3:50 pm
by tron777
40 here and at CVG right now. Overachieved on temps.

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Sun Jan 30, 2022 10:19 pm
by airwolf76
February is the snowiest month by far I think my average is 15" or more so after the first week we will see what happens I guess.

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jan 31, 2022 6:48 am
by Bgoney
Record Florida cold continues


records.daily.usa.large.png

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jan 31, 2022 6:59 am
by tron777
No shortages of cold and snow chances in the extended range thru mid month. All systems go on lots of wintry fun! Of course next week gets things started! :lol:

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jan 31, 2022 8:57 am
by snowbo
Bgoney wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 6:48 am Record Florida cold continues



records.daily.usa.large.png
All this cold led to "falling iguana alerts". Interesting phenomenon! :o

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jan 31, 2022 9:02 am
by Sargent51
snowbo wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 8:57 am
Bgoney wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 6:48 am Record Florida cold continues



records.daily.usa.large.png
All this cold led to "falling iguana alerts". Interesting phenomenon! :o
Headed to Naples/Miami this week. Hate to miss this action here, but at least I will be able to update the thread with Falling Iguana reports.

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jan 31, 2022 9:06 am
by MVWxObserver
snowbo wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 8:57 am
Bgoney wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 6:48 am Record Florida cold continues



records.daily.usa.large.png
All this cold led to "falling iguana alerts". Interesting phenomenon! :o
A new Geico ad with "falling iguanas" should be made! :lol: ;)

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jan 31, 2022 12:27 pm
by tron777
12Z GFS continues to show a rocking February with tons of chances upcoming! Keep it tuned to AV folks. This pattern is looking fantastic for us snow weenies! :)

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Mon Jan 31, 2022 10:18 pm
by MJSun
Trevor wrote: Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:15 pm GFS brings CVG up to 60 degrees Thursday afternoon with dews in the middle 50s. Just over 2" QPF per this run, a small bit of which is frozen at the very end.
I really hope we don't get the Cincy special- cold rain while north gets snow.

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:04 pm
by MVWxObserver
For the weekend of the 12th I'll be keeping tabs on i.e. as my dad rescheduled his trip for that Sat to go to Anderson, IN to take care of some business with his sister. Prayerfully / hopefully it'll be a dry day. ;)

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:07 pm
by tron777
I keep seeing a signal around mid month for another overrunning event.

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:23 pm
by theextremeone
hoping for more snow than ice

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:36 pm
by tron777
theextremeone wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:23 pm hoping for more snow than ice
Join us in the Kitchen Sink Storm thread, Bro! :)

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:36 pm
by MVWxObserver
tron777 wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:07 pm I keep seeing a signal around mid month for another overrunning event.
Mom and I keep telling him it is something that can wait until Spring (April i.e.), but to no avail. ;) His sister, down deep, would probably prefer it that way, too. :)

Currently 46 here in G'ville and progged for around 37 on Wed morning.

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:43 pm
by tron777
60 here today, currently 50. Progged for the upper 30s tomorrow morning.

Re: February 2022 Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Feb 02, 2022 12:13 pm
by tron777
Major winter storm signal continues to show up on OP and Ensemble guidance 2/13-15th or so time frame.