March 2021 Weather Discussion

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
young pup
EF4 Tornado
Posts: 733
Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2021 7:13 pm
Location: Grandview ( Westside of downtown CMH)

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by young pup »

There are five guys that drove out from Central Ohio to plow snow in Denver. :) One video they posted showing them plowing slop at the beginning last night. You could see the water running away when the reached the end of their push. Have not seen any other updates from them today.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Cheyenne was reporting 19.5" as of 8am local time. A Met posted these stats online:

Cheyenne’s March Snowfall Records:

Daily: 15.9”, March 18, 2003; 2-Day: 17.2”, March 17-18, 2003; 3-Day: 18.9”, March 5-7, 1990

Cheyenne’s All-Time Snowfall Records:

Daily: 19.8”, November 20, 1979; 2-Day: 25.2”, November 20-21, 1979; 3-Day: 25.6”, November 19-21, 1979

From the Laramie Range in Wyoming! WOW!

Code: Select all

Time: 2021-03-14T12:00:00Z UTC
Event: 52.5 HEAVY SNOW
Source: PARK/FOREST SRVC
Remark: WINDY PEAK SNOTEL IN THE LARAMIE RANGE. ELEVATION 7900 FEET. 
SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 3.5 INCHES AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1. 
ACCUMULATION WAS OVER PAST 24 HOURS.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

12Z Euro drops about a quarter inch of rain at CVG tomorrow then a long duration event for Wed night thru the first half of Friday. 1.83" on this run.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Denver, CO totals and rankings:

DenverSnow.jpg

26" now event total in Cheyenne, WY. LIVE WebCam:

You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6180
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tpweather »

Bgoney wrote: Sun Mar 14, 2021 12:40 pm Hey Tim , how's your back? Better I hope.

A fairly typical March southern rockies Snowstorm (1'-3')in my book, but of course the MSM has to throw historic into every impactful weather system these days. There(Southern Rockies) best storms have always been either in the Fall or late winter/spring.
Hey Bgoney, thanks for asking about the back. Doing well as my chiropractor does a great job and heard tons of cracking. Been doing better on my food intake and walking every day.
young pup
EF4 Tornado
Posts: 733
Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2021 7:13 pm
Location: Grandview ( Westside of downtown CMH)

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by young pup »

If you are fb, you can watch this video from the guys that traveled out there. I can't save it to my phone from fb so I hope some of you can view this. https://www.facebook.com/watch/epicsnowstorms/
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

52 as of 8pm at CVG, down to 50 here. We will drop into the lower 30s by morning with a brief sleet / frz rain mix changing to rain by the afternoon. Tomorrow morning will only featured scattered precip. The bulk of the precip tomorrow will be in the afternoon. ?Again, folks N of the river have the best chance at frozen precip and no issues are expected due to warm ground temps.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
snowbo
EF0 Tornado
Posts: 359
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 9:45 am
Location: Brookville, Ohio

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by snowbo »

I've spent the last hour watching the live stream from Cheyenne that Les posted above. Reliving my experience from the Blizzard of 78. Amazing footage!

Edit: What does this say about my life? Sunday night and I've immersed myself in a blizzard 1200 miles away.
Brookville, Ohio
Northwest Montgomery county
I70 Corridor
snowbo
EF0 Tornado
Posts: 359
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 9:45 am
Location: Brookville, Ohio

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by snowbo »

Still watching. I can't stop. Still amazing!
Brookville, Ohio
Northwest Montgomery county
I70 Corridor
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

VERY dry out there this morning....low so far at 32 but my dewpoint is only 10. May take some time for the atmosphere to moisten up today which may cut down on model projection QPF.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Good morning folks! Great post Mike! 35 with a dew of 9 here. E wind gusting to 25. Evap. cooling should help with the brief period of sleet call before changing to rain. Most of it looks to be delayed until late morning into the early afternoon hours. Models have slowly come down due to the low weakening as it heads our way, plus, add in the dry air as you said Mike and I was going with 0.25" but that maybe too high now as well. Either way, the call of staying in the 30s looks good.

Wed night thru Fri morning still on tap to be a fairly decent rainfall. I still like up to an inch there.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Thanks, Les! Down a degree to 31 now and dewpoint has inched up to 14. Still dry NE wind blowing. I agree with your forecast Les on higher QPF around the Wed night-Fri AM timeframe.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

cloudy72 wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 8:00 am Thanks, Les! Down a degree to 31 now and dewpoint has inched up to 14. Still dry NE wind blowing. I agree with your forecast Les on higher QPF around the Wed night-Fri AM timeframe.
Thanks Mike and I agree with your forecast for today lol E to NE wind is going to eat away at the approaching precip shield. Instead of 0.25", it's probably going to end up as a 0.10" or less kind of deal for today. 35 /11 at CVG as of 8am.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Looking like a pretty significant severe weather outbreak down in Dixie Alley on St. Patty's Day.

day3otlk_0730.gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

34 / 15 now with light rain just beginning.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Hearing some sleet pellets here - temp is 34.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

36 / 15 at CVG... 37 / 14 here. Cloudy skies as we await the next band to come in. Just a trace here so far, QPF wise.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Light rain has started back up now. 12Z GFS shows 1.2" of rain from late Wed thru Fri morning with our next system. Track of the low is key with regards to how much rain and how long of a duration we get. Most models look good for a nice soaking. The good weather days still look to be Tues and Wed of this week and also this weekend.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4353
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

Enso neutral for spring and summer incoming



JPN36W9.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Light rain started here - currently 35/21. Good to see the first 0.01" in the new gauge. Guess that means I installed it correctly LOL
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Euro is coming in much wetter for our next system... 2"+ at CVG. With the current one, CVG has 0.04" in the books.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Bgoney wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 2:01 pm Enso neutral for spring and summer incoming
It sure collapsed quickly! Probably a factor in our fabulous Feb. :)
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22880
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

cloudy72 wrote: Mon Mar 15, 2021 2:13 pm Light rain started here - currently 35/21. Good to see the first 0.01" in the new gauge. Guess that means I installed it correctly LOL
Awesome Mike! It should get a workout with our next system. When I first got mine, I compared it to CVG to see if it was working correctly. I assume you'll do that with MGY. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4353
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

33 here
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: March 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Living on the edge here - down to 33/25 with rain. 0.08" so far.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
Post Reply