August 2021 Weather Discussion

[tron777]

No new precip at CVG or here overnight. The heaviest will be in our SE today and tonight ending on Wed with Ida. Scattered for the rest of us. I'm actually disappointed so far at the rains I have received, Was honestly expecting an inch for my hood, just don't think we'll get there this far to the west.

Went to bed last night thinking the same disappointment for mby, had nothing for the last 5 days, but overnight had one of those rogue showers and got a much needed inch out of it. Would love to see more today but not expecting much looking at radar and dryer air squeezing Ida's northern extent. Got to give the NAM props for Ida's remnants staying further SE than other models

Yeah... Let me post this good visual from the wv loop. BG posted this on his twitter feed earlier. Illustrates that dry air point perfectly.

[tron777]

BG StormTalk! https://www.wave3.com/2021/08/31/goode- ... -blog-831/

[cloudy72]

Taken from the "if you want to see weather, drive to it" story........I had an appointment up in Dayton. It was raining so hard the roads were ponding and it was rather hard to maneuver the car. Just got home....pavement barely wet. LOL I did mange 0.07" somehow. Maybe birds escaping Ida moved on top of my gauge.

[Bgoney]

Ida precip shield making a move northward , now past I-64

[young pup]

Currently sitting in truck. Tropical downpour rain delay.

[tpweather]

Taken from the "if you want to see weather, drive to it" story........I had an appointment up in Dayton. It was raining so hard the roads were ponding and it was rather hard to maneuver the car. Just got home....pavement barely wet. LOL I did mange 0.07" somehow. Maybe birds escaping Ida moved on top of my gauge.

Mike you need to wash your car. That usually does the trick for me.

[tron777]

I put out the sprinkler for a few hours on the lawn. That usually gets the dome primed for real rain. That method has worked twice this summer so far actually.

[tron777]

Watch it play out just like with winter snow storms. The steadier rains from Ida will make it up to about S Boone, Kenton, and Campbell co's and that's it leaving myself high and dry. Mid 70s here currently with a mix of clouds and some patches of blue sky to my north as well.

[cloudy72]

Taken from the "if you want to see weather, drive to it" story........I had an appointment up in Dayton. It was raining so hard the roads were ponding and it was rather hard to maneuver the car. Just got home....pavement barely wet. LOL I did mange 0.07" somehow. Maybe birds escaping Ida moved on top of my gauge.

Mike you need to wash your car. That usually does the trick for me.

Thought about that or maybe getting the roof on the house replaced. That always sounds the siren for a downpour!

[tron777]

Still watching Ida's moisture trying to get in here but an East wind off the Apps is going to make it tough. Frontal boundary is still stalled just a hair N of I-70. We continue to be in no man's land in between the two areas of precip. We watch and wait...

[cloudy72]

Radar estimating 3-4" of rain from this mornings deluge in the Drexel area (few miles west of downtown Dayton). Currently looks like some flooding ongoing on the north side of Columbus (JPs area?).

[cloudy72]

Seeing some hazy sunshine here - almost looks like the front may be slightly drifting north again. Once Ida remnants pass, obviously it will pull back south but how much can form in between if anything?

[tron777]

Seeing some hazy sunshine here - almost looks like the front may be slightly drifting north again. Once Ida remnants pass, obviously it will pull back south but how much can form in between if anything?

Exactly Mike. I am going to continue to remain on the pessimistic side. So far that has been the way to go with this set up.

[tpweather]

Good Afternoon and rain moving into the local area. So far a nice light rain that should give most folks some rain during the late afternoon and evening. This is a good rain for folks who are on the dry side as so far light to sometimes moderate rain should let things soak in plus plenty of clouds to help as well.

[Bgoney]

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[tron777]

Nothing yet imby... it's trying but having a hard time getting up to the river. Def expecting light amounts if I see anything at all. Best action has been and should continue to be Central and Eastern KY. Our SE Crew was supposed to do well and they may still have a chance but around Cincy and points north and west, good luck! I think like Mike mentioned a lot of folks, esp N of the River will have to reply on the cold front once Ida moves by as it passes thru by later on tonight or early Wed morning. that's bad timing for frontal boundary activity too. Loss of peak heating. If I am wrong so be it, but as time goes on, I am becoming less and less impressed with this set up for heavy rains for our area. Not widespread anyways.

[dce]

Nothing yet imby... it's trying but having a hard time getting up to the river. Def expecting light amounts if I see anything at all. Best action has been and should continue to be Central and Eastern KY. Our SE Crew was supposed to do well and they may still have a chance but around Cincy and points north and west, good luck! I think like Mike mentioned a lot of folks, esp N of the River will have to reply on the cold front once Ida moves by as it passes thru by later on tonight or early Wed morning. that's bad timing for frontal boundary activity too. Loss of peak heating. If I am wrong so be it, but as time goes on, I am becoming less and less impressed with this set up for heavy rains for our area. Not widespread anyways.

Reminds me of one of those Kentucky special southern Ohio snowstorms.

[cloudy72]

Nice downpour just popped overhead - Doug may be heading your way in West Carrollton.

[tron777]

Nothing yet imby... it's trying but having a hard time getting up to the river. Def expecting light amounts if I see anything at all. Best action has been and should continue to be Central and Eastern KY. Our SE Crew was supposed to do well and they may still have a chance but around Cincy and points north and west, good luck! I think like Mike mentioned a lot of folks, esp N of the River will have to reply on the cold front once Ida moves by as it passes thru by later on tonight or early Wed morning. that's bad timing for frontal boundary activity too. Loss of peak heating. If I am wrong so be it, but as time goes on, I am becoming less and less impressed with this set up for heavy rains for our area. Not widespread anyways.

Reminds me of one of those Kentucky special southern Ohio snowstorms.

Exactly! That was my point, Doug.

[tron777]

I am finally seeing some sprinkles here... not even enough to wet all of the pavement. I guess I'll record a trace for the event thus far.

[Bgoney]

Radar says its raining IMBY but notta, still have dry air at mid levels

[Bgoney]

Ida is just south of Nashville with the dry slot starting to fill in . Fascinating to watch and interested in seeing how her moisture interacts or not with the stalled front

[cloudy72]

So the little shower that could is still sitting and spinning over my hood - up to 0.33" now! Temp down to 71.

[tron777]

Finally... some actual light rain is occurring here in a more steadier fashion. This is going to remain very light IMO and I don't believe we're going to see much out of it. SE Crew could be a different story the further you go from the river but for us locally, I am sticking with this notion. 74 currently in my hood.

[tron777]

Ida is just south of Nashville with the dry slot starting to fill in . Fascinating to watch and interested in seeing how her moisture interacts or not with the stalled front

There should be an area of convergence to support a narrow band of enhanced rainfall but we are probably going to have to wait until Ida moves a little more to the East. We'll see if the front can catch up to the deformation zone. That's going to be the key right there. That should happen in our SE Counties unless the forecast models are wrong. Like that never happens.