markalot wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 1:54 pm
Almost stopped here in Oakbrook. A small hole in the action, then it looks like some really juicy returns headed this way.
This is the TCVG radar, accurate very close, further out not so much.
I take that back, this radar now seems to be having issues picking up echos on the NW side. lol. Bigger flakes here now as well.
Those returns S of Bloomington IN is the good stuff! Cannot wait until those get here. Probably seeing 1/2 to 1" per hour rates until then. The good stuff IMO is going to be 1-2" per hour and yes I predict that for CVG / Cincy. Been saying it since yesterday in fact. It's already happened to our SW with 8" reports occurring.
Those monster returns are from Central IN all the way back into Central MO, a short pause then the backside in KS with light to mod action there. Storm evolution thus far is darn near perfect for our area!
About a half inch near Kings Island. Started about 11am, been steadily lightly falling since. Was a snow /sleet mix for the first 2 hours. Changed to bigger flakes now. Very pretty looking out the window though.
Even Owensboro still reporting snow and they were forecast to be mainly frz/rain all afternoon. They have had some frz/rain but this back and forth tells me system is developing further south and that is great news for us in terms of precip type may stay mainly snow until after midnight when you lose the moisture for a period of time
Intensity of returns locally have for the most part been in the 15-25 Dbz range . Those heavier bands moving closer to our west are 30-40 Dbz
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
Low over Central AR is down to 1004 MB. The track to me is perfect for a major Cincinnati region snow storm. Little Rock to Nashville to Middleboro, KY and into S WV. Let's see how that stacks up in the coming hours to what happens in reality. If we can get that track, double digits are guaranteed in my honest opinion by Monday evening.
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 2:08 pm
Intensity here has picked up a notch. Borderline mod almost hvy snow. Oh man this is getting good!
Hey Les! Does this concern you at all?
Not for my hood no. But for yours, it'll let up for a bit but look to the west / SW from there. It'll come! You'll get enough for a snow day and to shovel too. It'll take longer for it to get good though.
tron777 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 2:08 pm
Intensity here has picked up a notch. Borderline mod almost hvy snow. Oh man this is getting good!
Love it Les and did you see the returns from St.Louis. Very heavy snow going around that area
Yep! My Aunt in St Charles reported thundersnow in the last hour. They are getting 2"+ per hour rates.
Les you can see that flow straight off the GOM coming right into St Louis. Hopefully we see this later today
Right up the MS River Valley Tim! A textbook, classic snow storm for our part of the country! It doesn't get much better to be honest set up wise and storm evolution. Not quite as amped as some models but not weak as others. Middle of the road approach worked nicely when trying to figure out this system.
Indy radar gives a better picture of the heavier batch to the west that will hit parts of CVGland
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Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!