January 5-6th, 2025 The Double Digit Storm

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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tron777 »

alexdever73 wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 8:46 pm Are no worried bout that Dry slot cutting down on deform band. Hate to see that get eaten up
I am expecting 6-10" before the dry slot for a good chunk of the Tri-state. Then we get the DS overnight Sun with sleet and frz drzl. Monday from around 10am on is the deform snow and I think another 4" is very doable. 8-12" is a nice call IMO as long as the sleet doesn't taint us too much.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by mikeyp »

I am excited to see 00z nam. I can’t believe those hrrr snowntotals but man it would be fantastic!
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tron777 »

It coming in a bit S of 18Z by like a couple rows of counties thru Hour 21
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tron777 »

CVG is all snow, razor margin thin error for sleet thru 12 am Sunday night. Low is further south on KY / TN border so no dry slot! Still get the good back end snows too. Finally by 11 or 12am we turn to that light sleet but we get crushed prior to that occurring. Very nice run!
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tpweather »

Great run by the nam with the low on the border of Kentucky and TN. Less amount of time in the dry slot if this is the correct path of the low
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

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Back end snow comes in faster too by like 7 or 8am Monday for Cincinnati. This is a wonderful wonderful run!!!
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

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tron777 wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:06 pm CVG is all snow, razor margin thin error for sleet thru 12 am Sunday night. Low is further south on KY / TN border so no dry slot! Still get the good back end snows too. Finally by 11 or 12am we turn to that light sleet but we get crushed prior to that occurring. Very nice run!
Les we are on the same page and that is usually a good sign
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

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Les you know my problem with the dreaded dry slot all day is that the storm does not get that strong and that is usually when you see a more defined dry slot.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

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tpweather wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:10 pm
tron777 wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:06 pm CVG is all snow, razor margin thin error for sleet thru 12 am Sunday night. Low is further south on KY / TN border so no dry slot! Still get the good back end snows too. Finally by 11 or 12am we turn to that light sleet but we get crushed prior to that occurring. Very nice run!
Les we are on the same page and that is usually a good sign
Indeed Tim! So excited for this storm! Its been a long wait for a region wide system.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by House of Cards »

:lol: Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

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tpweather wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:11 pm Les you know my problem with the dreaded dry slot all day is that the storm does not get that strong and that is usually when you see a more defined dry slot.
IMO the precip probably won't completely shut off. Sleet and / or freezing drizzle is what I think. Up to a tenth of an inch then we're back to snow.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

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House of Cards wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm :lol: Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.
Who Dey Dave! :lol:
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by Phr0z3n »

Dry air is really taking a toll on the north side of precip shield on the Nam
Last edited by Phr0z3n on Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

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House of Cards wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm :lol: Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.
Dave my guess that is true and I am sitting at home with the laptop and the game on which is not quite as bad lol
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tron777 »

That's a nice wide band too of back end snows. From here to Central MO as it starts to move in Mon morning. My 4" call looking good I do believe for the last part of the storm. Higher ratio and wind driven too. Drifting snow will be an issue on Monday folks esp in rural areas.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tron777 »

I like 8-12" for the Tri-state. If you can remain all snow and not get dry slotted then a foot plus is doable. That's my new updated and final call! Sleet accum are in there too and probably some freezing drizzle with a light glaze as well.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

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House of Cards wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm :lol: Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.

What.m bar?
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

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tpweather wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:14 pm
House of Cards wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm :lol: Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.
Dave my guess that is true and I am sitting at home with the laptop and the game on which is not quite as bad lol
:lol:
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

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MattyD wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:18 pm
House of Cards wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:12 pm :lol: Wooooohooooo! I am probably the only person sitting in this bar watching my phone as much as I am the Bengals game.

What.m bar?
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by fyrfyter »

0z NAM
IMG_0932.jpeg
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tron777 »

0Z NAM text data

Code: Select all


CVG

SUN  1P 05-JAN  -5.3    -3.1    1023      91      94    0.14     558     540    
SUN  7P 05-JAN  -4.9    -2.4    1017      92      98    0.44     557     544    
MON  1A 06-JAN  -4.6    -0.9    1010      89      75    0.71     550     543    
MON  7A 06-JAN  -4.7    -2.6    1008      89      71    0.07     542     536    
MON  1P 06-JAN  -3.8   -10.0    1010      93      90    0.18     536     528    
MON  7P 06-JAN  -3.5   -10.8    1017      86      71    0.14     538     525   

HAO

SUN  1P 05-JAN  -5.3    -4.3    1023      89      92    0.04     557     539    
SUN  7P 05-JAN  -4.7    -3.1    1018      92      96    0.21     556     543    
MON  1A 06-JAN  -5.4    -2.7    1011      89      84    0.72     550     541    
MON  7A 06-JAN  -5.0    -4.2    1008      88      63    0.06     541     535    
MON  1P 06-JAN  -3.5    -9.6    1010      93      91    0.09     536     528    
MON  7P 06-JAN  -3.6   -11.2    1017      86      61    0.12     538     525    

MGY

SUN  1P 05-JAN  -5.1    -6.7    1024      73      93    0.01     556     538    
SUN  7P 05-JAN  -5.2    -4.5    1018      91      96    0.09     556     542    
MON  1A 06-JAN  -6.0    -3.0    1012      90      96    0.61     549     540    
MON  7A 06-JAN  -5.3    -5.3    1009      88      67    0.06     541     534    
MON  1P 06-JAN  -3.5    -9.2    1009      89      95    0.04     536     529    
MON  7P 06-JAN  -3.8   -11.4    1017      88      54    0.08     537     524    

DAY

SUN  7P 05-JAN  -4.9    -5.9    1018      79      96    0.03     555     540    
MON  1A 06-JAN  -6.0    -4.2    1013      91      95    0.42     549     539    
MON  7A 06-JAN  -5.4    -6.2    1010      87      56    0.06     541     533    
MON  1P 06-JAN  -3.3    -9.5    1009      88      97    0.02     536     529    
MON  7P 06-JAN  -4.0   -11.7    1017      87      52    0.03     537     524    

CMH

SUN  7P 05-JAN  -4.5    -6.1    1019      69      93    0.00     554     539    
MON  1A 06-JAN  -6.0    -4.9    1014      90      98    0.32     550     539    
MON  7A 06-JAN  -5.6    -5.5    1010      86      79    0.08     542     535    
MON  1P 06-JAN  -2.9    -7.7    1008      82      84    0.02     537     530    
MON  7P 06-JAN  -3.2   -11.7    1014      87      48    0.03     535     524   

FGX

SUN  1P 05-JAN  -5.0    -2.6    1024      91      95    0.19     559     541    
SUN  7P 05-JAN  -4.2    -2.4    1017      91      98    0.86     559     545    
MON  1A 06-JAN  -2.8     2.7    1009      92      98    0.88     553     546    
MON  7A 06-JAN  -4.6     1.0    1006      92      45    0.11     544     539    
MON  1P 06-JAN  -3.9    -8.2    1007      91      97    0.09     536     530    
MON  7P 06-JAN  -2.7   -10.4    1015      90      85    0.15     538     527   

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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by shlybluz »

Have been checking the tv station websites, the closings for tomorrow are rolling in quickly. Mostly churches cancelling services for tomorrow, but I noticed a few businesses and NKU is shutting down things at noon tomorrow.
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by tron777 »

Okay all... my game plan for tomorrow is church (mine won't close, masses are early). then breakfast, grab a few things at Kroger and be on in time for the pre game show LOL around 10am ish. See you all then! Happy tracking!
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by House of Cards »

G’night Les!
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Re: January 5-6th, 2025 First Legit Winter Storm of the Season

Post by MJSun »

tron777 wrote: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:32 pm Okay all... my game plan for tomorrow is church (mine won't close, masses are early). then breakfast, grab a few things at Kroger and be on in time for the pre game show LOL around 10am ish. See you all then! Happy tracking!
I read at 9:30 Mass tomorrow then home to get cozy.
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