July 2021 Weather Discussion

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

cloudy72 wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 3:41 pm 1” diameter hail in downtown Columbus
We should get an interesting post from JP later. :)
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6423
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

Don't hog it all, JP lol! ;)
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4352
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

Back to back deluge for Cbus
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
Sargent51
Rain Shower
Posts: 42
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 9:33 pm

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by Sargent51 »

Can we pause the storm talk please. Boarding ATL-CVG now. Let us land first. 6pm ETA
Morrow/Maineville
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

I think you'll be fine. Closest cells are back off across East Central Indiana.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

T-Storm Warnings out s side of CMH Land
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Looks like CVG got 89'ed per the 5pm climate report. :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Looks like you guys will get the storms east of Indy. Good ole Dayton split as it looks now.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6423
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

1909 100 2 N DOWNTOWN COLUMBUS FRANKLIN OH 3999 8301 MULTIPLE REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL NEAR SHORT NORTH AND DOWNTOWN COLUMBUS. (ILN)

1913 UNK DOWNTOWN COLUMBUS FRANKLIN OH 3996 8300 WIRES REPORTED DOWN AND LARGE TREE BRANCHES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE CITY. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (ILN)

1949 UNK 2 NW DUBLIN FRANKLIN OH 4014 8316 LARGE TREE LIMB DOWN (ILN)

2055 NEW ATHENS HARRISON OH 4018 8100 TORNADO SPOTTED HEADING FROM NEW ATHENS TOWARD HARRISVILLE. REPORT OF A HOUSE OUT IN THE ROAD IN NEW ATHENS. (PBZ) :o

2108 150 1 NNW SOUTH OLIVE NOBLE OH 3968 8149 (PBZ)

2117 UNK 2 ENE BLOOMINGBURG FAYETTE OH 3962 8336 MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON US-62N. TIME EST FROM RADAR. (ILN)

2159 NEW ALEXANDRIA JEFFERSON OH 4029 8068 TORNADO REPORTED SEEN ON THE GROUND IN NEW ALEXANDRIA PARTIALLY WRAPPED IN RAIN BANDS. (PBZ)
Last edited by MVWxObserver on Thu Jul 29, 2021 6:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Eric

Greenville, OH
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6423
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

----
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Eric

Greenville, OH
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6423
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

At this rate I won't be surprised if Darke Co i.e. starts getting into an abnormally dry D0 status going into early August.
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Same with my hood unless that Indy cell somehow gets in here. I am afraid it'll miss me at the present track.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Western Franklin County in southeastern Indiana...
Northeastern Ripley County in southeastern Indiana...
Southwestern Fayette County in east central Indiana...

* Until 700 PM EDT.

* At 620 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Glenwood,
moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Batesville, Brookville, Oldenburg, Glenwood, Lake Santee, Metamora,
Laurel, Cedar Grove, Andersonville, Huntersville, Hamburg,
Ballstown, Penntown, Interstate 74 at State Route 101, Peppertown,
Saint Peter and Buena Vista.

This includes I-74 in Indiana between mile markers 145 and 157.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Western Fayette County in central Ohio...
Northeastern Clinton County in southwestern Ohio...
Southeastern Greene County in west central Ohio...

* Until 700 PM EDT.

* At 613 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Jamestown,
moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Washington Court House, Wilmington, Sabina, Jamestown, New Jasper,
Staunton, Bowersville, Port William, Milledgeville, Octa,
Paintersville, Melvin, Rosemoor, Bloomington, Jasper Mills, Lees
Creek, Reesville, Bell Center, Interstate 71 at US Route 35 and New
Antioch.

This includes I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 53 and 67.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Well whatcha know! Storm popped up right over my hood! Heavy rain and thunder with 0.33”!
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6423
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

IMO the SPC crew could trim away the SVR T-storm Watch for areas north of I-70 given the looks of the radar.
Last edited by MVWxObserver on Thu Jul 29, 2021 6:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Eric

Greenville, OH
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6423
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by MVWxObserver »

----
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4352
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by Bgoney »

Hmm, I disagree with that , I think severe threat has lessened in and around cincy. Storms to my NE have ruined instability imby and many other on east side, same for the storms in South Central Indiana and the west side. Dayton and cincy split on display
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Yep, I am part of that split. Looks like it'll be 2 weeks plus before I see rain now. :(
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Eric - sorry your hood missed out today. Hoping for some rain soon but it’s not looking very promising.

Les - rooting for that Indy cell to get into your hood.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Nothing here as expected. CVG blanked as well. We have a small shower chance Sat night with another front dropping in. Otherwise, that's it. Dry weather and more pleasant temps / lower humidity can be expected.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

I would also like to wish a Happy Birthday to one of our members and fellow pyro's Mfitz730! Hope you have a great day today! :birthday: :cake:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

One thing I am watching is the possibility that the trough for next week gets cut off. GFS keeps showing this solution so we would get some shower chances towards the end of next week / weekend as a result. Euro waits until the front comes in next weekend for POPS and keeps us dry for most of next week. All models have the shower chance Sat night coming up but amounts look low and coverage is spotty. At least we're not baking in the temp dept! :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by cloudy72 »

Here is the past 24 hour QPF analysis......definitely a stark difference between the haves and have nots.

RainfallYesterday.PNG
Legend.GIF
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22873
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: July 2021 Weather Discussion

Post by tron777 »

Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
Post Reply