May 2024 Weather Discussion

[MVWxObserver]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
OHC021-023-037-057-109-113-135-262000-
/O.NEW.KILN.SV.W.0095.240526T1922Z-240526T2000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
322 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
East central Preble County in west central Ohio...
Southwestern Champaign County in west central Ohio...
Southeastern Darke County in west central Ohio...
Northwestern Clark County in west central Ohio...
Northwestern Greene County in west central Ohio...
Montgomery County in west central Ohio...
Miami County in west central Ohio...

* Until 400 PM EDT.

* At 322 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Moraine, moving north at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Huber Heights, Fairborn, Troy,
Trotwood, Piqua, Miamisburg, Vandalia, Englewood, Tipp City,
Bellbrook, Moraine, New Carlisle, West Milton, Oakwood,
Wright-Patterson Afb, West Carrollton, and Covington.

This includes the following Interstates...
I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 18 and 44.
I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 45 and 85.

&&

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

AR

[MVWxObserver]

Track drying has gotten underway at Indy.

75 now at G'ville.

[dce]

Seeing the effects of the warned storm here. Raining very hard.

[Trevor]

Latest update.

[MVWxObserver]

Congrats to the Reds as they SWEPT the NL West-leading Dodgers in 3!!

Tim and other water-logged fans very happy!

[MVWxObserver]

Latest update.

Thank you Trev and you all take care down that way, bro!

[tron777]

The LLJ is already kicking in with storms erupting in MO just West of St. Louis. This is the beginnings of the potential late evening / overnight action.

[kywthrluvr]

Y’all’s game was cancelled although in my opinion they could have played. Fortunately we were allowed to stay in our party space and had a nice birthday celebration anyway. Awaiting round 2 later…stay safe everyone!

[Bgoney]

SPC latest update lowers probability for severe CVG and northward

IMG_1778.jpeg

[tron777]

The SPC also issued a moderate risk to our SW over SE MO, S ILL, Western KY, NE AR and Western TN. Per the visible, sunshine will be coming back our way here pretty soon.

[Gtchris10]

Not very impressive so far. Just outside Mason we had 2 short lived rounds, a total of .05" so far. We have been missed on a lot of the rains the past few weeks, as the rain seems to split right as it comes this way. Hope we get a good soaker tonight to help with the plants.

[cincy bud]

That was the least impressive severe line of storms. .4" of rain, no wind, little bit of thunder and no hail. Right now,I am at 68 and heavy cloud deck here in N. Butler Co.

[tron777]

Just my opinion here folks, but we didn't have a lot of bulk shear which is needed to promote storm organization. Note as the storms moved in they weakened quickly and thus the disappointment and lack of heavy rainfall. However, I think this evening into the overnight, will be a different story. There is still plenty of daylight left and sunshine is knocking on our door step off to the West per visible satellite. SB CAPE and DCAPE are also recovering nicely to our West where the sunshine has already been occurring for the last hour or two. Mid level lapse rates are also rebounding over Indiana. We've got the bulk shear now too. 45-55 knots depending on your location and even a few pockets of 60 knots to our West / SW. The LLJ continues to kick in ahead of the surface low over MO and ILL. Severe t-storms continue to develop over MO now spreading into ILL. I understand that round 1 was disappointing but I would not let your guard down later on this evening and into the overnight hours. I think people are disappointed over Round 1 that they may think round 2 will also be a bust. Looks like a 10pm to 12am window for the worst weather. Hires guidance is looking good for strong to severe storms.

[dce]

I picked up .85 as the warned storm moved through up here.

[tron777]

I picked up .85 as the warned storm moved through up here.

Awesome Doug! One of the higher totals I've seen. I made a posting error on CVG's rainfall total. The correct total from round 1 is 0.18"

[tron777]

BG is live right now:

[BookNerdCarp]

Oh my gosh, the wind was crazy strong on my street! My neighbor has nine trees that got knocked down or severely damaged. It was like a hurricane, but it only lasted for a minute. That was all it took to cause so much damage.

[tron777]

Oh my gosh, the wind was crazy strong on my street! My neighbor has nine trees that got knocked down or severely damaged. It was like a hurricane, but it only lasted for a minute. That was all it took to cause so much damage.

Wow Matt! Hopefully no major damage to structures.

[BookNerdCarp]

Oh my gosh, the wind was crazy strong on my street! My neighbor has nine trees that got knocked down or severely damaged. It was like a hurricane, but it only lasted for a minute. That was all it took to cause so much damage.

Wow Matt! Hopefully no major damage to structures.

Nothing structural. A lot of cosmetic work needs done. By radar looked like brunt of the bow came right across river to my location.

[tron777]

Oh my gosh, the wind was crazy strong on my street! My neighbor has nine trees that got knocked down or severely damaged. It was like a hurricane, but it only lasted for a minute. That was all it took to cause so much damage.

Wow Matt! Hopefully no major damage to structures.

Nothing structural. A lot of cosmetic work needs done. By radar looked like brunt of the bow came right across river to my location.

That's good! Tree clean up can easily be done with some chain saws. Let it dry then a nice bon fire can be had by all.

[Bgoney]

Local rainfall totals for round one with one streak of soaking rains and the rest as many have mentioned not much to speak of

IMG_1780.jpeg

IMG_1779.jpeg

[tron777]

We have some weak SB CAPE now and DCAPE is up to 1100 for NKY. Watching radar as the LLJ continues to ramp up. Storms continue developing and expanding over MO now getting into South Central ILL. Latest thinking from the boys:

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
Severe weather threat has ended for now, with showers and storms
that developed near a warm front weakening and moving northeast.
Have canceled the remainder of Severe Thunderstorms Watch 316.

An unstable airmass will remain in place, followed by a cold
front extending from the low over Michigan. A broad area should
experience additional showers and thunderstorms this evening and
into the overnight hours, mainly over southern locations. Some
strong to severe storms will still be possible, though surface
based instability will be at a diurnal minimum. Heavy downpours
leading to localized flooding will also be possible.

All locations will see mild low temperatures in the 60s.

[tron777]

T-storm Watch until 12am off to the West over IN.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0323.html

[tron777]

MD also issued for a new TOR watch to likely be issued shortly to the south of the T-storm watch box esp for Western KY.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0992.html

[tron777]

New TOR watch issued for Southern IN, Western and Central KY as well as Southern ILL until 1am CDT. This does include LOU Metro.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0324.html