Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
- Bgoney
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 4351
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
- Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
Cvg at .20” . Here .10” . Wasn’t expecting a lot with ho fast everything was moving. Another well below normal month in precipitation
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
Over 2" below normal at CVG. If we don't turn it around in March, The "D" word could make a reappearance this year.
- Bgoney
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 4351
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
- Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
The lack of snowfall across the country is not a good start for many parts of the country which depend on that for soil moisture
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
Good thing is we are still around 18p/c above normal for the year. I don't worry about this until May or so to see if the heat decides to make an early showing but the south had a very good winter season of rainfall so hopefully if we get the normal amounts of rain the next 3-4 months we should be in good shape.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
I agree. I'm just afraid that a hot summer could be inbound for the country due to the lack of soil moisture and an impending La Nina to boot. We've had a lot of hot summers when a La Nina is developing. The lack of winter rain and snow isn't helping either to your point.Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 6:44 amThe lack of snowfall across the country is not a good start for many parts of the country which depend on that for soil moisture
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
Quick update from the boys:
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Cold front is reaching the eastern portion of the ILN area.
Strong convection will continue to threaten southeast counties
for the next couple of hours. The rest of the area can expect
scattered showers in the rapidly diminishing forcing behind the
front.
Synoptic scale winds are likely to gust over 30 knots. Holding
off on a wind advisory for now since it appears strongest gusts
will stay north of the area. Temperatures are forecast to
plummet from the 50s and 60s into the 30s this afternoon as the
colder air rushes in.
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Cold front is reaching the eastern portion of the ILN area.
Strong convection will continue to threaten southeast counties
for the next couple of hours. The rest of the area can expect
scattered showers in the rapidly diminishing forcing behind the
front.
Synoptic scale winds are likely to gust over 30 knots. Holding
off on a wind advisory for now since it appears strongest gusts
will stay north of the area. Temperatures are forecast to
plummet from the 50s and 60s into the 30s this afternoon as the
colder air rushes in.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
TOR watch has expired for our CWA and there are currently no warnings in effect as of this post.
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
No doubt Les the central and especially the northern plains need some rainfall. The south recovered quite nicely this winter with El Nino. Big question is will the La Nina start this summer and I have no idea if this will happen. We are do for a hot summer and though we have had hot periods during certain summers not full blown heat from start to finish.tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 7:03 amI agree. I'm just afraid that a hot summer could be inbound for the country due to the lack of soil moisture and an impending La Nina to boot. We've had a lot of hot summers when a La Nina is developing. The lack of winter rain and snow isn't helping either to your point.Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 6:44 amThe lack of snowfall across the country is not a good start for many parts of the country which depend on that for soil moisture
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
Most of our big droughts, such as 1988 or 2007, started with a dry spring. We are starting with a dry winter which is why I am concerned. This is regardless of the ENSO state. 2007-2008 winter and the 1988-1989 winter were both strong La Nina winters. Hopefully, the ENSO state doesn't get that strong. A Weak La Nina could give us a different result. I hope!tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 7:10 amNo doubt Les the central and especially the northern plains need some rainfall. The south recovered quite nicely this winter with El Nino. Big question is will the La Nina start this summer and I have no idea if this will happen. We are do for a hot summer and though we have had hot periods during certain summers not full blown heat from start to finish.tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 7:03 amI agree. I'm just afraid that a hot summer could be inbound for the country due to the lack of soil moisture and an impending La Nina to boot. We've had a lot of hot summers when a La Nina is developing. The lack of winter rain and snow isn't helping either to your point.Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 6:44 amThe lack of snowfall across the country is not a good start for many parts of the country which depend on that for soil moisture
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
I agree Les except the winter has been close to normal in terms of rainfall and less than 1/2 below normal for the 3 month period Dec-Feb. It has been milder than normal so that most likely soil temps are higher than normal this time of year. 2007 was wild as we were quite wet until mid-June and then boom no rain for much of the summer. 1983,1987 and 2007 I had either a child or grandchild born those years. Please I do not want a hot summer for those reasons alone loltron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 7:21 amMost of our big droughts, such as 1988 or 2007, started with a dry spring. We are starting with a dry winter which is why I am concerned. This is regardless of the ENSO state. 2007-2008 winter and the 1988-1989 winter were both strong La Nina winters. Hopefully, the ENSO state doesn't get that strong. A Weak La Nina could give us a different result. I hope!tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 7:10 amNo doubt Les the central and especially the northern plains need some rainfall. The south recovered quite nicely this winter with El Nino. Big question is will the La Nina start this summer and I have no idea if this will happen. We are do for a hot summer and though we have had hot periods during certain summers not full blown heat from start to finish.tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 7:03 amI agree. I'm just afraid that a hot summer could be inbound for the country due to the lack of soil moisture and an impending La Nina to boot. We've had a lot of hot summers when a La Nina is developing. The lack of winter rain and snow isn't helping either to your point.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
1988 was a bad one. I was a kid and Mom and Dad were in the heat pouring concrete that summer putting in a patio and making the driveway more wide also. I remember them having to dampen down the concrete to keep it from setting up so fast. We had high 90s and low 100s even in June. It was a sweltering drought and summer for most of the Nation. We have not had a Nationwide summer time heat wave and drought of that magnitude for quite sometime so we're due.tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 7:30 amI agree Les except the winter has been close to normal in terms of rainfall and less than 1/2 below normal for the 3 month period Dec-Feb. It has been milder than normal so that most likely soil temps are higher than normal this time of year. 2007 was wild as we were quite wet until mid-June and then boom no rain for much of the summer. 1983,1987 and 2007 I had either a child or grandchild born those years. Please I do not want a hot summer for those reasons alone loltron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 7:21 amMost of our big droughts, such as 1988 or 2007, started with a dry spring. We are starting with a dry winter which is why I am concerned. This is regardless of the ENSO state. 2007-2008 winter and the 1988-1989 winter were both strong La Nina winters. Hopefully, the ENSO state doesn't get that strong. A Weak La Nina could give us a different result. I hope!tpweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 7:10 amNo doubt Les the central and especially the northern plains need some rainfall. The south recovered quite nicely this winter with El Nino. Big question is will the La Nina start this summer and I have no idea if this will happen. We are do for a hot summer and though we have had hot periods during certain summers not full blown heat from start to finish.tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 7:03 amI agree. I'm just afraid that a hot summer could be inbound for the country due to the lack of soil moisture and an impending La Nina to boot. We've had a lot of hot summers when a La Nina is developing. The lack of winter rain and snow isn't helping either to your point.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
52 now at CVG with a stiff NW wind. 0.21" total precip at this time.
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
Looks like several tornadoes may have occurred this morning...esp near Springfield and Columbus.
Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
730 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
...PRELIMINARY DAMAGE SURVEYS PLANNED FOLLOWING SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT...
The National Weather Service office in Wilmington OH will conduct
damage surveys following severe thunderstorm activity that
resulted in multiple areas of damage from Dayton OH to Columbus OH
metro areas along the I-70 corridor.
A final assessment including results of the surveys are expected
to be completed and transmitted via a Public Information Statement
over the coming days.
The storm survey information will also be available on our
website at http://www.weather.gov/iln
Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
730 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
...PRELIMINARY DAMAGE SURVEYS PLANNED FOLLOWING SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT...
The National Weather Service office in Wilmington OH will conduct
damage surveys following severe thunderstorm activity that
resulted in multiple areas of damage from Dayton OH to Columbus OH
metro areas along the I-70 corridor.
A final assessment including results of the surveys are expected
to be completed and transmitted via a Public Information Statement
over the coming days.
The storm survey information will also be available on our
website at http://www.weather.gov/iln
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH
The KING of the domes!
Miamisburg, OH
The KING of the domes!
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
No doubt severe weather was around last night but scattered in nature like we thought and almost impossible to forecast location until the storms pop. Locally it seems we got off easy but around Columbus not so much and sure some other places in the Ohio Valley as well. The cap was strong and really helped in keeping this from being a major outbreak. Hopefully no one was hurt but tornado's in the dark never good.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
Agreed Tim.... Our forecast on this forum was good. I don't think the Enhanced risk verified that the SPC had out. Slight risk was just fine.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
44 now at CVG with a bit more shower activity getting tacked on to our 0.21" total.
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
.6 here
Brookville, Ohio
Northwest Montgomery county
I70 Corridor
Northwest Montgomery county
I70 Corridor
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
A lot of LSR's along the I-70 Corridor so I will post a few of the more intense damage reports. Many of these are the reasons for the storm damage surveys that will be conducted today that Mike mentioned earlier in the PNS from NWS ILN.
Code: Select all
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
904 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0531 AM Tstm Wnd Dmg 3 WSW Upper Arlington 40.01N 83.11W
02/28/2024 Franklin OH Amateur Radio
Possible tornado. Pine tree snapped at its
base.
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
818 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0551 AM Tstm Wnd Dmg 3 NNW Summit Station 40.04N 82.78W
02/28/2024 Franklin OH Broadcast Media
Damage to a home reported. Possible tornado.
Time estimated from radar.
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
647 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0449 AM Tstm Wnd Gst 3 N Springboro 39.59N 84.23W
02/28/2024 M46 MPH Montgomery OH ASOS
0420 AM Tstm Wnd Gst 3 WNW Bellefontaine 40.37N 83.82W
02/28/2024 M47 MPH Logan OH AWOS
0503 AM Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 2 W Turpin Hills 39.11N 84.42W
02/28/2024 M51 MPH Hamilton OH ASOS
0439 AM Tstm Wnd Gst 2 W Fairborn 39.82N 84.06W
02/28/2024 M53 MPH Greene OH ASOS
0546 AM Tstm Wnd Gst 2 NNE Whitehall 39.99N 82.88W
02/28/2024 M53 MPH Franklin OH ASOS
0548 AM Tstm Wnd Gst 2 ENE Lockbourne 39.82N 82.93W
02/28/2024 M58 MPH Franklin OH AWOS
0544 AM Tstm Wnd Gst 2 NNE Washington Court 39.57N 83.42W
02/28/2024 M46 MPH Fayette OH AWOS
0554 AM Tstm Wnd Gst 1 ESE Lewisburg 38.54N 83.74W
02/28/2024 M54 MPH Mason KY AWOS
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
645 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0437 AM Tornado 1 SSW Riverside 39.77N 84.13W
02/28/2024 Montgomery OH Amateur Radio
3 trees reported down. A pine reported
snapped near the top. Tornado likely. TDS
observed on KILN radar. Time estimated from
radar.
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
640 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0437 AM Tornado 1 S Riverside 39.77N 84.12W
02/28/2024 Montgomery OH Amateur Radio
Glass blown out at Airway Shopping Center.
Tornado likely. TDS observed on KILN radar.
Time estimated from radar.
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
621 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0520 AM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 S Hilliard 40.01N 83.15W
02/28/2024 Franklin OH Law Enforcement
Possible tornado. Trees and wires reported
down, damage to homes on Hilliard-Rome Rd.
Time estimated from radar.
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
551 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0456 AM Tornado 5 ESE Springfield 39.89N 83.73W
02/28/2024 Clark OH Amateur Radio
Multiple houses damaged. Tornado likely. TDS
observed on KILN radar. Time estimated from
radar.
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
542 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0435 AM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 NW Huber Heights 39.87N 84.13W
02/28/2024 Montgomery OH Trained Spotter
Large tree fell on a house. Also, another
tree reported on a car nearby. Time
estimated from radar.
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
534 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0454 AM Tornado 4 SE Springfield 39.88N 83.75W
02/28/2024 Clark OH Amateur Radio
Corrects previous tornado report from 4 SE
Springfield. Moderate damage, heavy debris
reported on Mitchell Rd. Tornado likely. TDS
was observed on KILN radar. Time estimated
from radar.
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
516 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0455 AM Hail 1 WNW Springfield 39.93N 83.83W
02/28/2024 M2.00 inch Clark OH Public
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
515 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0511 AM Tstm Wnd Gst 2 SSE Choctaw Lake 39.93N 83.46W
02/28/2024 M69 MPH Madison OH AWOS
KUFY AWOS.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
39 now at CVG. 28 at IND lol
EDIT: The dashed purple line is the 32 degree line as of about 10am.
EDIT: The dashed purple line is the 32 degree line as of about 10am.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
- Closet Meteorologist
- Rain Shower
- Posts: 40
- Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 4:48 am
- Location: Maineville, OH
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
My Sister in law works in Fairborn Schools…their secretary’s house in Springfield is gone. Had to lay on top of her 3 yr old. Some minor injuries.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
Ouch! Prayers go out for sure to those who sustained damage and / or injuries. I love tracking and witnessing severe wx but the end results sometimes aren't good.Closet Meteorologist wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 10:28 am My Sister in law works in Fairborn Schools…their secretary’s house in Springfield is gone. Had to lay on top of her 3 yr old. Some minor injuries.
- Bgoney
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 4351
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
- Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
Seeing plenty of wind damage reports and pics from the I70 corridor as mentioned earlier. Ohio state agricultural center badly damaged and both Wright-Patterson and KCMH airports had hangar damage. Hope the W-P damage wasn’t the one where they keep the Aliens
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed Feb 28, 2024 10:58 am Seeing plenty of wind damage reports and pics from the I70 corridor as mentioned earlier. Ohio state agricultural center badly damaged and both Wright-Patterson and KCMH airports had hangar damage. Hope the W-P damage wasn’t the one where they keep the Aliens
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
Some survey prelim results coming back now.
Code: Select all
Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1053 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024
...TORNADO CONFIRMED IN JERSEY...LICKING COUNTY OHIO...
The National Weather Service in Wilmington, Ohio has confirmed
a tornado occurred in Jersey in Licking County, Ohio earlier this
morning. The survey continues this morning and may include
reported damage in Franklin County, Ohio near the Blacklick area.
Additional information, including tornado estimated maximum wind
speeds and track data, will be made available later this evening.
A final assessment, including results of the survey, are expected
to be completed and transmitted via a Public Information
Statement later this evening or tomorrow.
The storm survey information will also be available on our website
at http://weather.gov/iln.
- tron777
- Major Hurricane
- Posts: 22870
- Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
- Location: Burlington, KY
- Contact:
Re: Tuesday Night Severe Weather Event 2/27-2/28
70 degrees at 4am.... fast forward 9 hours later and we're at 32 degrees now. (Using CVG)