We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

[Browneyedgirl]

Roads and sidewalks are covering over.

[tron777]

Surface low has stalled a bit along the SE KY / TN border starting to tighten up some more. It is getting banked up against the mountains. Air cannot go thru the Mountains it has to rise and fall. Find the path of least resistance. So the low is going to go thru the KY / TN / WV border region. That is the spine. So tough to do.

30 at CVG with 3/4 mile vis.

Gonna be one heck of a deformation band and you can see why the winter storm warnings were issued. The 700 MB frontogenic forcing is TREMENDOUS with this system.

7fnt_sf.gif

[tpweather]

Okay that is enough I am really getting jealous lol

[tron777]

Okay that is enough I am really getting jealous lol

I wish you were here having a beer with me Tim. Your drinking view:

CH05184521.jpg

Grass got covered up real quick! Awesome!

[dce]

I really don't buy the 7-8 inch amounts the NWS is talking about, but I hope I'm wrong. If the deformation band goes bonkers in the next couple of hours then maybe.

[tron777]

As of 6pm from the boys....a wonderful explanation of the frontogenic forcing pic I posted.

As of 6:00PM, moderate to heavy snow is being observed across the
Ohio Valley. Areas along and north of I-70 have already received at
least a few inches of snow from earlier snow bands (per reports),
while areas south of I-70 are now having snow saturate the
originally dry column. Snow has started to accumulate on area
roadways fairly efficiently and should continue to stick as
temperatures drop further below freezing while snow rates remain
heavy especially considering local climatology. An upgrade to a
Winter Storm Warning has been made for areas along and around I-70
to account for the anomalously heavy snow rates being observed, high
forecast totals, and growing travel impacts. Locations that remain
under a Winter Weather Advisory will still see a period of moderate
to heavy snow and travel impacts, but are expected to see lower snow
totals than where the warning is now in place. Winter weather
headlines will be fairly short-lived this evening as all the snow
moves east by midnight. Please use caution if traveling this evening
and be prepared for snow covered roads and low visibility.

The moderate to heavy snow rates this evening are being driven by
strong frontogenetic forcing through the DGZ that also overlaps with
deep saturation through the troposphere. All this is occurring on
the north side of a low that is quickly passing to the south. These
conditions are quiet anomalous for the region especially considering
the perfect overlap of strong frontogenetic forcing and the DGZ. Snow
will quickly taper off later this evening as the low moves further
east ending snow for locations by 10pm-12am. Please note, travel
impacts will likely linger into the late overnight since cold
temperatures will not allow for melting without road treatment.

[tron777]

I really don't buy the 7-8 inch amounts the NWS is talking about, but I hope I'm wrong. If the deformation band goes bonkers in the next couple of hours then maybe.

Wow!

Code: Select all

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
637 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     Snow             2 N Marysville          40.26N 83.37W
02/16/2024  M6.0 inch        Union              OH   Public

            first few hours of storm.
            
            
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
634 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0533 PM     Snow             3 E Ostrander           40.27N 83.15W
02/16/2024  M6.0 inch        Delaware           OH   Public

            First few hours; not storm total.
            
            
                   

[tron777]

Nice little storm.gif

[Trevor]

I really don't buy the 7-8 inch amounts the NWS is talking about, but I hope I'm wrong. If the deformation band goes bonkers in the next couple of hours then maybe.

They have 3-6" for your location. There are two Winter Storm Warnings.

[tron777]

I think 4" will be a stretch for me. Expecting 3" for my hood. Above pic is 1".

[dce]

I really don't buy the 7-8 inch amounts the NWS is talking about, but I hope I'm wrong. If the deformation band goes bonkers in the next couple of hours then maybe.

Wow!

Code: Select all

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
637 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     Snow             2 N Marysville          40.26N 83.37W
02/16/2024  M6.0 inch        Union              OH   Public

            first few hours of storm.
            
            
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
634 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0533 PM     Snow             3 E Ostrander           40.27N 83.15W
02/16/2024  M6.0 inch        Delaware           OH   Public

            First few hours; not storm total.
            
            
                   

Well, I guess I can buy it now! That earlier banding North of 70 did more damage than I thought. Like you said. Wow!

[MJSun]

Radar looks like it is skirting to the north of us again other than the northern suburbs - am I looking at it wrong?

Just momentarily, but if you look to the southwest at what's coming you won't be disappointed.

Awesome thanks! I admitive been burned too many times I'm always skeptical lol

[tron777]

Perfect set up to produce this storm to go along with the storm track. The overrunning moisture is overlapping the best frontogenic forcing. See the arrows? Winds blowing at 850 - 925 MB. Cool huh? This is one way to get a snow storm around here! A good way. There aren't many!

tran_925-850_sf.gif

[dce]

I really don't buy the 7-8 inch amounts the NWS is talking about, but I hope I'm wrong. If the deformation band goes bonkers in the next couple of hours then maybe.

They have 3-6" for your location. There are two Winter Storm Warnings.

That band that set up north of 70 earlier really put down some snow! None of the models picked up on that. These types of compact, but potent, systems are hard to predict for these models!

[tron777]

A lot of the hi-res models picked up on the I-70 Snow band from late last night and this morning. I saw 5-6" totals but they weren't high enough lol That 18Z NAM'ing wasn't too far off though.

[Trevor]

A lot of the hi-res models picked up on the I-70 Snow band from late last night and this morning. I saw 5-6" totals but they weren't high enough lol That 18Z NAM'ing wasn't too far off though.

Correct.

[tron777]

0.10" in the last hour at CVG QPF wise. 0.13" total as of 7pm. 30 degrees 1.75 mile vis reported.

[tron777]

You can see where the low has not passed yet. That is hard for the low to do. It's going to go thru the Cumberland Gap. It has to. No where else to go but mountains now lol

Code: Select all

7pm Obs:

SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
JACKSON        LGT RAIN  36  34  92 MISG      29.75F
LONDON         LGT RAIN  45  38  76 N6        29.72F
SOMERSET       NOT AVBL
MIDDLESBORO    PTCLDY    54  40  58 S13G22    29.76F
MONTICELLO     LGT RAIN  48  42  80 N23G33    29.76R

[tpweather]

0.10" in the last hour at CVG QPF wise. 0.13" total as of 7pm. 30 degrees 1.75 mile vis reported.

Les looks like another heavier round especially for northern ky in the next couple of hours. Hopefully that will increase the totals over 3 inches

[dce]

That deform band is moving out of here quickly. Looks like a period of some light steady snow after the deform band moves out.

[Bgoney]

A hair over an inch here , nothing on pavement, trees look beautiful

[tron777]

Code: Select all

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
713 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     Snow             2 SSE Wilmington        39.42N 83.82W
02/16/2024  M1.4 inch        Clinton            OH   Official NWS Obs

            Total snowfall at NWS Wilmington Ohio
            through 7PM.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
713 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     Snow             2 WNW Vandalia          39.90N 84.22W
02/16/2024  M2.6 inch        Montgomery         OH   ASOS

            Total snowfall at KDAY through 7PM.

0700 PM     Snow             2 SSW Gahanna           40.00N 82.89W
02/16/2024  M1.3 inch        Franklin           OH   ASOS

            Total snowfall at KCMH through 7PM.

0700 PM     Snow             3 SE Hebron             39.04N 84.66W
02/16/2024  M1.3 inch        Boone              KY   ASOS

            Total snowfall at KCVG through 7PM.


Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
715 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0713 PM     Snow             Delaware                40.30N 83.07W
02/16/2024  M6.0 inch        Delaware           OH   Emergency Mngr

            first few hours of event.

[tron777]

0.10" in the last hour at CVG QPF wise. 0.13" total as of 7pm. 30 degrees 1.75 mile vis reported.

Les looks like another heavier round especially for northern ky in the next couple of hours. Hopefully that will increase the totals over 3 inches

It's here! 1.5" and climbing! Salt truck just went by. I am surprised it came thru already. With the rates I thought it would be much later., KY / and specifically in my case, Boone Co, is on top of it these days. Much improved over the days of my youth.

[MJSun]

Very little coming down in Batavia Twsp but hopefully that band I see on radar gets here soon.

[tron777]

Temp still holding at 30, dew of 28:

MD Updated from the SPC as of an hour ago:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0148.html

Updated live Pic from my command center right now lol:

CH01194748.jpg