We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

Trevor wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:29 am
Bgoney wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:28 am The later start is huge
Agreed.
I'll third that...
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by MVWxObserver »

Saw a few minutes ago a maintenance guy in his truck pre-treating our street and others in the 'hood.

Currently 27 here in G'ville and progged for around 33 today.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by fyrfyter »

tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:29 am
Trevor wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:29 am
Bgoney wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:28 am The later start is huge
Agreed.
I'll third that...
I’ll 4th it… :lol:

It shows rain at 5pm and then snow at 6pm. The later we can push it, the stronger likelihood that more of it comes in as snow. Either way, this evening looks messy.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by winterstormjoe »

Trevor wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 7:19 am Info to go along with map...
Trev, music to my ears if there is thundersnow! Than can be a quick thump of snow! :)
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

SPC Meso page shows the surface low along the Red River now (TX / OK border). Seeing some nice EPV showing up across MO and some very impressive frontogenic forcing over Central ILL.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by Trentonwx06 »

12Z NAM looks good to me for everyone in the forum. See the next couple frames.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by winterstormjoe »

tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 8:47 am SPC Meso page shows the surface low along the Red River now (TX / OK border). Seeing some nice EPV showing up across MO and some very impressive frontogenic forcing over Central ILL.
This is my favorite part of a snow event...The "Nowcast". :drinkingcheers:
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by cloudy72 »

Just had some virga snow lol Good enough to moisten up the atmosphere for when the real action comes in later. Although with all the frontogenesis, it shouldn't be an issue. lol
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by wrmwxfreak »

Okay, couple of questions:

1. Will this snow stick to roads?
2. Is this storm headed on a path to DC? And if so, will it stick to roads on the way there?
3. Airline concerns from here to there?

One of my closest friends lost her 19 year old son in a car accident on Wednesday morning, and there may be a memorial service there this weekend.

Thanks in advance.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

Anybody got a snow map from the 12Z NAM? Thanks!
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by Trevor »

tron777 wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:06 am Anybody got a snow map from the 12Z NAM? Thanks!
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by Trevor »

09z SREF looking good...
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by MVWxObserver »

wrmwxfreak wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:05 am Okay, couple of questions:

1. Will this snow stick to roads?
2. Is this storm headed on a path to DC? And if so, will it stick to roads on the way there?
3. Airline concerns from here to there?

One of my closest friends lost her 19 year old son in a car accident on Wednesday morning, and there may be a memorial service there this weekend.

Thanks in advance.
So sorry to hear about your close friend's loss of her son, Casie. :grouphug:

Prayers and thoughts for her and her family.

Now up to 28 degrees here.
Last edited by MVWxObserver on Sat Feb 17, 2024 4:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by Mjr »

wrmwxfreak wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:05 am Okay, couple of questions:

1. Will this snow stick to roads?
2. Is this storm headed on a path to DC? And if so, will it stick to roads on the way there?
3. Airline concerns from here to there?

One of my closest friends lost her 19 year old son in a car accident on Wednesday morning, and there may be a memorial service there this weekend.

Thanks in advance.
🙏
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

Hey Casie.... got busy working so just getting around to responding to your questions. If you get under a heavier band of snow then after 6pm, I would expect it to start sticking to some of the roads. This storm is headed towards the mid-Atlantic and DC regions and it will impact them overnight tonight into early tomorrow morning.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

Checked some obs out of Central ILL in the past hour and a lot of stations are reporting snow, some of it heavy, with visibilities between 1/4 to 1 mile.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by fyrfyter »

Some of these returns West of St Louis are awesome! Hope they exist when it gets here!
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

12Z NAM showed 0.35" QPF for CVG. Finally getting a chance to look into things a little deeper here at work. 12Z RGEM is in and a general 1-3" for most. Again just depends on where those heavy bands set up. 12Z ICON has 2-3" for most folks.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

rhodesman88 wrote: Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:12 am This is a cam from Decatur, Ill.
https://www.travelmidwest.com/lmiga/sho ... irection=W
:wub:
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

3" measured being reported out of Springfield, ILL. Still snowing with a few more hours yet to go out that way.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

Radar also showing a few t-showers getting into the mix over SW MO.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

The closest reporting station to us reporting light snow attm is Muncie, IN. IND Metro should be next on the list.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

Highest report I could find and it's a recent one:

Code: Select all

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
925 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 AM     Snow             2 S Grandview           39.79N 89.62W
02/16/2024  M4.0 inch        Sangamon           IL   Broadcast Media

            Snowfall since 6 am at WICS TV station in
            Springfield.
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Re: We Haven't Had Enough...Let's Get Screwed Again! Feb 16-17, 2024

Post by tron777 »

12Z GFS should be a nice run... it's coming in slower and stronger with the surface low vs 6Z.
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