Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22878
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

BookNerdCarp wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:02 pm Anyone have a time frame for the SE counties. I’d appreciate it.
You changeover 8 to 10am per the NAM to frz rain. Change to sleet after 7-8pm. Snow after midnight.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6180
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

Another aspect to this storm is winds will pick up Thursday and this is going to cause problems as well. I love this run because how times do we see the nam get in this range and the 850's become more of a problem. This time less of a problem and still not sure it is totally correct. For the folks who get stuck with the frz/rain this is going to be a problem as you could see .50 or maybe greater with increasing winds and temps that will drop.
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cloudy72 »

tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 8:59 pm Dayton gets hammered Thurs afternoon on the NAM lol
Yeah baby! :)
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
dce
EF5 Tornado
Posts: 918
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 7:45 pm
Location: Huber Heights

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by dce »

tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:04 pm NAM has a nice snow event IND to DAY Sleet south of there then ice storm for S counties and SE Crew.
The NAM has been really far north this entire time. For the NAM to be this far south is very encouraging.
Doug

Huber Heights
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22878
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

9pm Bloomington frz rain and 30
Muncie - 30 - light snow
Lima -32 -light snow
Paducah - 30 -cloudy
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
vbowler
Rain Shower
Posts: 5
Joined: Sat Nov 13, 2021 8:52 pm

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by vbowler »

Les you ought to borrow my AquaVu for the trip
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6180
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

I have seen enough of the models to make a local forecast. Really liked Bgoney's map from last night and it was well thought out as usual. First of all locally expecting maybe .10-.15 inches of frz/rain in the morning. Going to go with about 1 inch of sleet and before all is said and done at CVG 6.3 inches of snow. Higher amounts northwest of the local area and would not be surprised to see some 12 inch totals not to far from the Butler country line. For folks like Matt I worry about the frz/rain aspect that could get to nearly .50 which is horrible. Hoping the sleet helps later in the day.
mainevilleweather
Thunder Storm
Posts: 205
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2022 11:11 am

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by mainevilleweather »

dce wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:08 pm
tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:04 pm NAM has a nice snow event IND to DAY Sleet south of there then ice storm for S counties and SE Crew.
The NAM has been really far north this entire time. For the NAM to be this far south is very encouraging.
I was thinking the same thing. This is the furthest south it has come. And it has blown the totals to the north. They were really inflated. I said it last night and I will stick to it. I'm sticking with the GFS. Has been consistent for days. I think we will get 7 to 10 inches of sleet and snow.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22878
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

vbowler wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:11 pm Les you ought to borrow my AquaVu for the trip
I have an old black and white one. Those things are nice!
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
BookNerdCarp
EF0 Tornado
Posts: 350
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:57 pm

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by BookNerdCarp »

tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:06 pm
BookNerdCarp wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:02 pm Anyone have a time frame for the SE counties. I’d appreciate it.
You changeover 8 to 10am per the NAM to frz rain. Change to sleet after 7-8pm. Snow after midnight.
That is ugly my friend.
extremeweather
Rain Shower
Posts: 10
Joined: Tue Mar 02, 2021 10:26 am
Location: 45208

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by extremeweather »

Indy airport reporting snow/sleet as of 8:52p.

45208
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6180
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

I will be watching closely when I wake up on Thursday to see what kind of precip is falling Paducah.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22878
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

Thru 8am Fri morning. 6"+ Butler Co on north

NAM.png

Ice


NAMICE.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
diane3230
Rain Shower
Posts: 3
Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2021 7:35 pm
Location: Loveland,OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by diane3230 »

I have to drive from Loveland to Christ Hosp Liberty campus in the morning,,any thoughts about when I could leave to beat the freezing rain? I am willing to leave verrrrryyy early. Thanks
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22878
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

diane3230 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:18 pm I have to drive from Loveland to Christ Hosp Liberty campus in the morning,,any thoughts about when I could leave to beat the freezing rain? I am willing to leave verrrrryyy early. Thanks
I think we will changeover here in Cincy around 4am to frz rain so the earlier the better for sure.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6180
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

Okay that is it for me tonight. Probably when I get up around 5 or 6am on Thursday I will have a better sense if the forecast is going to bust with more sleet or does the colder air move in a little more pronounced especially upstairs to give us a good dose of snow.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22878
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

I'll be on in the morning at my usual time too. Keep it going guys and fill us in on overnight obs and data! :)
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
dce
EF5 Tornado
Posts: 918
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 7:45 pm
Location: Huber Heights

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by dce »

tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:16 pm Thru 8am Fri morning. 6"+ Butler Co on north


NAM.png


Ice



NAMICE.png
Kentucky looks to have a really rough time with power outages and downed trees. Wherever the freezing rain sets up it has the potential to be pretty bad.
Doug

Huber Heights
cincy bud
Heavy Rain
Posts: 104
Joined: Mon Apr 19, 2021 3:52 pm
Location: Somerville

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cincy bud »

tpweather wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:11 pm I have seen enough of the models to make a local forecast. Really liked Bgoney's map from last night and it was well thought out as usual. First of all locally expecting maybe .10-.15 inches of frz/rain in the morning. Going to go with about 1 inch of sleet and before all is said and done at CVG 6.3 inches of snow. Higher amounts northwest of the local area and would not be surprised to see some 12 inch totals not to far from the Butler country line. For folks like Matt I worry about the frz/rain aspect that could get to nearly .50 which is horrible. Hoping the sleet helps later in the day.
I am right on the Preble Co line in Butler. I am hoping for a double digit storm
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6427
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by MVWxObserver »

dce wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:20 pm
tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 9:16 pm Thru 8am Fri morning. 6"+ Butler Co on north


NAM.png


Ice



NAMICE.png
Kentucky looks to have a really rough time with power outages and downed trees. Wherever the freezing rain sets up it has the potential to be pretty bad.
And for areas like Bowling Green and Mayfield i.e. ICE set up like lemon juice / salt in the wound after the Dec tornadoes.
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
Ryan
Rain Shower
Posts: 29
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 10:45 pm
Location: Logan, IN (~3mi NE of Bright)

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by Ryan »

Temp here just bumped up a degree, currently 43.
- Ryan
Logan, IN (~3mi NE of Bright, IN)
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cloudy72 »

DAY down to 36 with that NW wind - and 39 here with 1.32” rain so far.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
cincy bud
Heavy Rain
Posts: 104
Joined: Mon Apr 19, 2021 3:52 pm
Location: Somerville

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cincy bud »

Wind has switched to a North wind and temp down to 38.
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cloudy72 »

Yeah front has definitely passed through my hood - NNW winds now and temp down to 37.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2168
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cloudy72 »

All snow in Indy now
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
Post Reply