Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

Wave 2 - OKC 20 and heavy snow - Nice! Little Rock, AR at 32 now
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
stormchaser40
Rain Shower
Posts: 2
Joined: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:44 pm

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by stormchaser40 »

I think forcest is a pretty solid models have a good handle on it right now. I dont see many changes with 1-3" most likely south of I70
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

Tim... There's the gap between the two waves that you have mentioned before.


Wave Gap.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

43 / 42 here and 0.93" of rain
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by Bgoney »

I think the advancemetn of the freezing line is going to meet more resistance the closer it gets to OHIO,
cutem.PNG
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
jjfight
Rain Shower
Posts: 44
Joined: Tue Mar 09, 2021 11:24 am
Location: Green Township/Dent, OH
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by jjfight »

My TWC app forecast now says "8-12 inches of snow and ice" overnight and into tomorrow and then "Snow accumulating 1-3 inches" tomorrow night. Yikes, no wonder Jim C is on his way.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

8pm

Paducah 31 and frz rain
Henderson -32 mixed precip
Lima, OH 33 - light snow
IND - 28 - frz rain
Muncie 30 - Light snow
Shelbyville 34 - frz rain (Probably rain I guess lol anyway...)
Bloomington - 31 frz rain
Evansville 32 - mixed precip
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
mikeyp
Heavy Rain
Posts: 149
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 11:04 am
Location: White Oak

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by mikeyp »

42.8 and .94” of rain
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 8:11 pm Tim... There's the gap between the two waves that you have mentioned before.



Wave Gap.png
Thanks Les and still believe that is a key to the forecast. I hope this time between the waves is longer.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

jjfight wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 8:17 pm My TWC app forecast now says "8-12 inches of snow and ice" overnight and into tomorrow and then "Snow accumulating 1-3 inches" tomorrow night. Yikes, no wonder Jim C is on his way.
5-8" for me and 1/4" of ice. Agree w/ice part. Snow I dunno man lol Like I said before, I am happy with 4" here. We'll see though. There can be surprises.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
Spacejunk
Rain Shower
Posts: 57
Joined: Sun Feb 28, 2021 2:13 pm

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by Spacejunk »

8:19pm, 41.2 degrees 1.10 “waiting on temps to begin to drop.
Oxford, Ohio
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

MD issued for frz rain in TEX now

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0113.html
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
cincy bud
Heavy Rain
Posts: 104
Joined: Mon Apr 19, 2021 3:52 pm
Location: Somerville

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cincy bud »

39 degrees here and almost an inch of rain.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

21Z SREF bumps up the mean from previous run...
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

There will be busts and hopefully we are to keep up on the changes during the storm Thursday. The front comes through and that is the easy part of the forecast. Where it stalls before the second wave starts to make its trek northeast is all about timing. I know the models continue with the sleet fest and yes I gave into that as well but probably not to the full extent the models showed. I understand with this second wave that once it heads northeast you can get into the old whatever is falling at the time may be your precip type for several hours. So is that several hours 4 hours of sleet or 8 hours locally. Still believe just northwest of where the sleet is someone is getting on some great snow totals. The height of the storm is not until later in the afternoon and early evening and how will the atmosphere look at that time.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

21Z SREF snowfall mean

CVG - 3.8"
HAO - 6"
MGY - 6.8"
DAY - 8"
CMH - 5.9"
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

9" mean for Sidney
10" Findley
9.3" IND
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 8:28 pm 21Z SREF snowfall mean

CVG - 3.8"
HAO - 6"
MGY - 6.8"
DAY - 8"
CMH - 5.9"
Les these keep going up with every run and its really not because a member that is out of whack. This is a trend you must pay attention too. Matter of fact 3-5 inches is very common among the members and yes a few near 10 inches but also a few near 0
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

NAM's gonna be fun! Want to see that before bed. Gonna be along day tomorrow working and tracking this lol
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 8:33 pm NAM's gonna be fun! Want to see that before bed. Gonna be along day tomorrow working and tracking this lol
Les we live for these kind of storms and we get so few that it makes it even more exciting.
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2167
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cloudy72 »

North west wind at KDAY now so temp there should be dropping shortly
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
MVWxObserver
Hurricane
Posts: 6419
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:48 pm
Location: Greenville, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by MVWxObserver »

Currently narrow area of frz rain here in G'ville and at 32.

All other schools here in Darke now closed tomorrow.
Eric

Greenville, OH
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

tpweather wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 8:34 pm
tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 8:33 pm NAM's gonna be fun! Want to see that before bed. Gonna be along day tomorrow working and tracking this lol
Les we live for these kind of storms and we get so few that it makes it even more exciting.
I love it Tim. I love this time of year! I love this forum and everything about it. I love snow! We have this system. Feb 10th arctic front snow blast. Big dog signal Superbowl weekend. I have an ice fishing trip planned to Mich Pres Day weekend. So excited! :)
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2167
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cloudy72 »

Our schools here in Miamisburg closed tomorrow as pretty much every school district in Dayton area are closed as well
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 8:37 pm
tpweather wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 8:34 pm
tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 8:33 pm NAM's gonna be fun! Want to see that before bed. Gonna be along day tomorrow working and tracking this lol
Les we live for these kind of storms and we get so few that it makes it even more exciting.
I love it Tim. I love this time of year! I love this forum and everything about it. I love snow! We have this system. Feb 10th arctic front snow blast. Big dog signal Superbowl weekend. I have an ice fishing trip planned to Mich Pres Day weekend. So excited! :)
Sounds great Les and hope we do have another true 6 weeks of winter. My wife and I will be heading to Orlando the last full week of March. Staying at a nice Marriott resort area and traveling first class which will be a first for my wife and I.
Post Reply