Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

I'm snowing after 5pm, nice! :)
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

Metro getting hammered between 6-8pm. Wow! Light snow still at 1am.. nice run folks!
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

Gfs is a little further south on this run
User avatar
fyrfyter
Thunder Storm
Posts: 297
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:35 pm
Location: Mack/Green Township, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by fyrfyter »

tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:44 pm
Trevor wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:19 pm
tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:16 pm I think Fox 19 is over done (would love them to be right) and Local 12 would have me at about 4" based on their map. Sounds about right, and would be thrilled!
@Les…let’s not forget the in house model showing 13” for Loveland! :lmao:

I know @Brice remembers that :lol:
It was a bunch of Horse as in Horsemeyer-Shit :lol:
The RPM is the best model there is! Just ask him… :o :lol:
~Aaron
Mack/Green Township, OH


My Current Conditions
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

Nice deform zone to impact more people on this run. Light snow for everyone at 8am Fri morning. Plenty more to come.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
sbpstudios
Rain Shower
Posts: 43
Joined: Sun Feb 28, 2021 6:16 pm
Location: Batavia, Ohio

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by sbpstudios »

:lol:
tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:44 pm
Trevor wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:19 pm
tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:16 pm I think Fox 19 is over done (would love them to be right) and Local 12 would have me at about 4" based on their map. Sounds about right, and would be thrilled!
@Les…let’s not forget the in house model showing 13” for Loveland! :lmao:

I know @Brice remembers that :lol:
It was a bunch of Horse as in Horsemeyer-Shit :lol:
Last edited by sbpstudios on Wed Feb 02, 2022 4:51 pm, edited 2 times in total.
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by Bgoney »

WOW , GFS bullrushes the cold through the region
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

Wow... huge run! Wow...
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

Fri morning 10am light snow.. wraps up midday Friday.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
dce
EF5 Tornado
Posts: 915
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 7:45 pm
Location: Huber Heights

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by dce »

The GFS is a wild run!
Doug

Huber Heights
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

6-12" for the Tri-state From North to South, Wow!
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

Hammer Time.JPG
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

GooFuS.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
mainevilleweather
Thunder Storm
Posts: 205
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2022 11:11 am

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by mainevilleweather »

GFS has been consistent for days now. Anywhere from 8 - 12 inches for my hood kuchera or 10:1 (both about the same). Hope it pans out!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

A way better ice look for our area.

Iceicebaby.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
sbpstudios
Rain Shower
Posts: 43
Joined: Sun Feb 28, 2021 6:16 pm
Location: Batavia, Ohio

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by sbpstudios »

Les how often do the ensembles come out? Just wondering what the consensus looks like between those.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

sbpstudios wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:00 pm Les how often do the ensembles come out? Just wondering what the consensus looks like between those.
Running now out to 12 Z Friday will post shortly.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
BookNerdCarp
EF0 Tornado
Posts: 350
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:57 pm

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by BookNerdCarp »

You say SE crew hammered with ice. Like 1/2 totals?
sbpstudios
Rain Shower
Posts: 43
Joined: Sun Feb 28, 2021 6:16 pm
Location: Batavia, Ohio

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by sbpstudios »

tron777 wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:04 pm
sbpstudios wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:00 pm Les how often do the ensembles come out? Just wondering what the consensus looks like between those.
Running now out to 12 Z Friday will post shortly.
Ok ty.
User avatar
Ryan
Rain Shower
Posts: 29
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 10:45 pm
Location: Logan, IN (~3mi NE of Bright)

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by Ryan »

Visibility is going down out there, quite foggy right now.
- Ryan
Logan, IN (~3mi NE of Bright, IN)
snowbo
EF0 Tornado
Posts: 358
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 9:45 am
Location: Brookville, Ohio

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by snowbo »

Local television reporting that there are already 100 closures and delays for tomorrow.
Brookville, Ohio
Northwest Montgomery county
I70 Corridor
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

18Z GEFS Snowfall mean:

GEFS.png

The number of big dog members look good esp NW of I-71. 6" of snow for folks NW of I-71 is increasing in my honest opinion.

Members.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

BookNerdCarp wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:11 pm You say SE crew hammered with ice. Like 1/2 totals?
I think 1/2" totals are very possible.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
fyrfyter
Thunder Storm
Posts: 297
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:35 pm
Location: Mack/Green Township, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by fyrfyter »

snowbo wrote: Wed Feb 02, 2022 5:20 pm Local television reporting that there are already 100 closures and delays for tomorrow.
WCPO has 156, including some companies canceling 3rd shift employees.
~Aaron
Mack/Green Township, OH


My Current Conditions
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22862
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

18Z GFS Text Data

Code: Select all

CVG

THU 12Z 03-FEB  -1.8     3.2    1023      95      96    0.24     562     544    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -4.7     1.9    1021      94      98    0.35     563     546    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -6.4    -1.1    1022      95      98    0.75     562     544    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -8.2    -3.6    1024      95      97    0.17     559     541    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -9.0    -5.8    1027      95      96    0.07     555     534    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -5.5    -7.8    1029      90      98    0.04     552     529

HAO

THU 06Z 03-FEB   0.0     2.7    1021      92      95    0.29     561     544    
THU 12Z 03-FEB  -2.6     1.4    1023      94      95    0.21     561     543    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -5.3     0.3    1022      94      98    0.27     562     545    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -7.1    -2.4    1023      94      97    0.64     561     543    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -8.6    -4.6    1025      95      97    0.15     558     539    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -9.3    -6.4    1027      95      96    0.07     554     533    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -6.6    -8.1    1029      87      97    0.04     550     528   

MGY

THU 06Z 03-FEB  -0.5     2.4    1021      93      97    0.28     561     544    
THU 12Z 03-FEB  -3.3     0.8    1024      94      97    0.22     561     542    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -5.6    -0.5    1023      94      98    0.25     562     544    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -7.6    -2.9    1024      94      97    0.59     560     542    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -9.1    -5.0    1026      94      97    0.14     558     538    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -9.8    -6.7    1027      95      96    0.08     553     532    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -7.1    -8.3    1029      86      97    0.04     550     527  

DAY

THU 06Z 03-FEB  -1.9     1.5    1022      92      98    0.28     560     543    
THU 12Z 03-FEB  -4.2    -0.4    1024      94      99    0.19     560     541    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -5.9    -2.1    1024      94      98    0.23     561     542    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -8.2    -3.7    1025      93      97    0.50     559     541    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -9.5    -5.5    1026      94      96    0.13     557     537    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB -10.3    -7.1    1028      94      96    0.08     553     532    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -7.9    -8.5    1029      85      96    0.03     549     527   

CMH

THU 12Z 03-FEB  -2.8     0.8    1024      93      98    0.23     561     542    
THU 18Z 03-FEB  -4.5     0.3    1023      94      99    0.19     562     544    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -6.9    -1.8    1023      94      97    0.68     561     543    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -8.6    -4.7    1025      95      97    0.19     558     539    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -9.6    -6.5    1026      95      96    0.10     554     534    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -6.7    -8.2    1027      89      96    0.06     549     528   

FGX

THU 18Z 03-FEB  -1.0     4.7    1019      97      99    0.51     565     551    
FRI 00Z 04-FEB  -4.3     2.3    1020      95      99    0.94     565     549    
FRI 06Z 04-FEB  -7.0    -0.2    1022      95      98    0.28     563     545    
FRI 12Z 04-FEB  -8.2    -3.7    1025      96      98    0.13     559     539    
FRI 18Z 04-FEB  -4.6    -7.0    1028      90      99    0.06     554     533    
SAT 00Z 05-FEB  -8.4    -8.1    1031      97      65    0.01     552     528 

Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
Post Reply