Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22858
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

Whose ready to get NAM'ed in the next 30-45mins? I feel one coming on! :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
Pete1
Heavy Rain
Posts: 164
Joined: Thu Nov 04, 2021 1:49 am
Location: Burlington

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by Pete1 »

tron777 wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:37 pm Whose ready to get NAM'ed in the next 30-45mins? I feel one coming on! :lol:
NAM should be interesting that’s for sure.

Les, check out the video I posted in the bengals Super Bowl thread. I think you will like it
Burlington, KY
winterstormjoe
EF1 Tornado
Posts: 403
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 9:13 am
Location: Westwood/Cheviot

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by winterstormjoe »

fyrfyter wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 1:48 pm Euro shows, 7 hours of freezing rain, starting at 4am, then ~2-3 hours of sleet and then snow.

.25-.5” of ice, 1-2” sleet, 4-6” of snow. That’s a call for now!
I like that call especially the 4-6 inches of snow.
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2166
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cloudy72 »

So my Paint skills are poor - but here is my first take in words LOL

** Foot Plus from Springfield IL - Champaign/Urbana IL - Lafayette IN - Ft Wayne IN - Toledo OH
** 6 to 12 inches north of line from St Louis MO - Terre Haute IN - Indy - Sidney OH - Mansfield OH
** 4 to 8 inches snow and perhaps 1/4 to 1/2" ice north of Cape Girardeau MO - Evansville IN - Cincy metro - Cambridge OH - including Dayton and Columbus -- (NOTE: sleet may lower totals in these areas!!)
** South of here is less certain - prob a few inches of snow with a thick layer of ice beneath it.

Whatcha think? :)
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22858
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

Pete1 wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:40 pm
tron777 wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:37 pm Whose ready to get NAM'ed in the next 30-45mins? I feel one coming on! :lol:
NAM should be interesting that’s for sure.

Les, check out the video I posted in the bengals Super Bowl thread. I think you will like it
I'll check it out on my home PC later. ;)
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22858
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

cloudy72 wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:42 pm So my Paint skills are poor - but here is my first take in words LOL

** Foot Plus from Springfield IL - Champaign/Urbana IL - Lafayette IN - Ft Wayne IN - Toledo OH
** 6 to 12 inches north of line from St Louis MO - Terre Haute IN - Indy - Sidney OH - Mansfield OH
** 4 to 8 inches snow and perhaps 1/4 to 1/2" ice north of Cape Girardeau MO - Evansville IN - Cincy metro - Cambridge OH - including Dayton and Columbus -- (NOTE: sleet may lower totals in these areas!!)
** South of here is less certain - prob a few inches of snow with a thick layer of ice beneath it.

Whatcha think? :)
That's a fine call Mike taking into account a blending of the warmer and colder guidance. It's really all you can do. Solid call! :thumbsup:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
winterstormjoe
EF1 Tornado
Posts: 403
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 9:13 am
Location: Westwood/Cheviot

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by winterstormjoe »

tron777 wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:37 pm Whose ready to get NAM'ed in the next 30-45mins? I feel one coming on! :lol:
I'll make my call after being NAM'ed :lol:
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

Lol Les. With the data today my guess is the NWS offices are trying to decide on whether to change some of the watches to a warning. So far I believe with what the models showed everything shifted about 20 miles southeast. So if the system can stay at a decent strength and not get out of hand we look good for a mess on Thursday. Still believe frz/rain and snow are the two main types on Thursday and I know models like to throw out the sleet but it is more rare than models show and most of the time its with very dynamic systems where the pressure is lower. May be dead wrong on the sleet but that is how I see it playing out. Sleet is like the happy uncle because he is fun but sometimes you wish he would stay away.
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

BTW I am making my call on Friday Morning at 4am
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22858
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

tpweather wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:46 pm BTW I am making my call on Friday Morning at 4am
:lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

Early in the game but so far the Nam is a little stronger and further east at this point.
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2166
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cloudy72 »

Lunken hit 60 - it's 57 here in my hood.
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22858
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

61 at CVG currently.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
MJSun
Thunder Storm
Posts: 209
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:42 pm
Location: Batavia Tshp (h)/Norwood (w)

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by MJSun »

tpweather wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:46 pm BTW I am making my call on Friday Morning at 4am
I'll make my call (as to what already happened) Saturday morning at 8am. ;)
Mollie
Cincinnati: Batavia/Amelia (H), Norwood (W)


The extent of my weather knowledge is pointing at the sky and saying what color it is.

:bouncymulti:
Blogsdon
Rain Shower
Posts: 10
Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2022 2:54 pm

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by Blogsdon »

So 8-12” in Sandusky, yes? They have people thinking the next blizzard of ‘78 up here! Lol
Calling 18”
Blogsdon
Rain Shower
Posts: 10
Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2022 2:54 pm

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by Blogsdon »

tron777 wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:55 pm 61 at CVG currently.
It’s 49 up in Sandusky!
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

Blogsdon wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 3:02 pm So 8-12” in Sandusky, yes? They have people thinking the next blizzard of ‘78 up here! Lol
Calling 18”
Nothing like that storm at all. That was such a deep low pressure and almost hard to describe unless you lived at the time.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22858
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

18Z NAM coming in a bump NW of 12Z. CVG changes over around 4am Thurs morning.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by Bgoney »

850s are toastier than 12z
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

Indy extending their winter storm warning further south
tpweather
Hurricane
Posts: 6169
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 6:04 pm
Location: Edgewood

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tpweather »

Nam is a tad stronger but we are talking minor but you never want to have a trend start and go the wrong way.
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 4347
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by Bgoney »

WOW 850s are really warm so far
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22858
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

Some ice but a big ole sleet storm S of I-70 to about CVG then ice storm Southern counties / SE Crew. Manly rain S of I-64 in KY.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
cloudy72
Tropical Depression
Posts: 2166
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 8:22 am
Location: Miamisburg, OH

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by cloudy72 »

18z NAM big ole sleet fest south of 70
Mike B.
Miamisburg, OH

The KING of the domes! :king:

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 22858
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: Kitchen Sink Storm Feb 2-4, 2022

Post by tron777 »

850s rise on Thurs up to 6 degrees Cel at CVG. Wow! Surface temps in the upper 20s.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
Post Reply