Seen a bunch of motorcycle and boat people on the roads today

MJO still a broad wave of activity in phases 6-7-8 , with the most explosive in 7 . Basically still doggie paddling in 7 , towards 8 for a while longer IMG_1407.jpeg We've looped back into phase 6 as of 2/7 per the Aussies. I am not so sure about that and I believe its more in phase 7 heading for p...

MJO still a broad wave of activity in phases 6-7-8 , with the most explosive in 7 . Basically still doggie paddling in 7 , towards 8 for a while longer

Early morning temps

Looking at EPS , the polar jet is so weak in the mid/ long range , reminds me of the nowhere to be found SEridge

Soil/surface temps will be at the very least low to mid 40s at start of event

Late afternoon temps

Great , a LaNina Watch already in the queue . Elnino hangover effects into spring. Don’t like either one.



https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... disc.shtml

Mid day temps

Another one of those situations that renders Kutchera amounts maps useless

Sunrise is a doozy

Feel bad for the Midwest/plains . Upcoming pattern is dryer than normal for them . So a big chunk of that area won’t be adding a whole lot of snow. Pouring rain atm in Minnesota. Northern half of the OV will also average below normal in precip

Westerlies forecast to hold near the dateline for a while longer

Sad. I think I have a cooler in my barn that might hold the Great Lakes ice totals

Looks like the trend for Monday and snow is the low needs to get into the 990s along with that perfect track(GFS) .

Makes you wonder why it did slow down . You would think with the above normal water temps in the central and east pac it would keep its momentum moving eastward. The last few years we’ve seen it do this but the water temps were much cooler so you’d expect it to lose momentum during those conditions...

Makes you wonder why it did slow down . You would think with the above normal water temps in the central and east pac it would keep its momentum moving eastward. The last few years we’ve seen it do this but the water temps were much cooler so you’d expect it to lose momentum during those conditions

Tropics are fired up in the west pac. Good amount of activity in phases 6 and 8 , with the largest flairs-up of course in 7 . Mods have been consistently showing the slow down/stall in 7 for 8-10 days. Anybody’s guess to where it goes once it gets going again

Alaska’s (Fairbanks) recent two week cold snap comparison with other years

Peaks of sun finally showing up eastern Hamilton

For our week 3 (14-20th) colder period , going with a range of 4-8 degrees below normal average mean. Going to feel plenty cold from where we’re coming from. Ensembles have been consistent for quite some time . Modified pacific air for the OV , with deeper arctic air staying north during this period...