Tim , take a cooler with you and bring back a sampling of snow in case we get the shaft down here

GEFs held in the .10-.20” qpf range for AVland

GFS getting closer to the NAM with the dreaded shrinkage of qpf

I don't recall ever having a winter where 90% of our storm threads turn into utter failure. For the 2023-2024 season, we've had 1 or 2 successful threads and that's been it. What have we done to piss off the snow gods? :lol: Anybody have an extra goat they don’t want , to sacrifice for the good of ...

No brakes for the Nam , sticking to its guns of a moisture starved open wave nothing-burger for the tri-cities triangle

This was NOAAs winter outlook released back in October, I think. Looks like a pretty good forecast for temps for the lower 48

Mornings Sat/IR with not much change, plenty of activity in 6/7

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 14, 2024 5:52 am 6Z GFS continues the ticks south. Only 0.17" now at CVG for QPF. Heaviest snows are now over Central KY.

Yea , a little concerned for the I70 crew with these south shifts. A blend of models for now looks more like a 1-2” agreement, with no more shifts

Those are pretty large shifts with the south trend the last 3 runs of the GFS . Better put the brakes on

Russia still winning

Latest sat/precip in the tropics near equator and dateline with majority still in 6/7

Past 48 hrs precip IMG_1431.jpeg How many times must we continue to see that sharp NW cut off to the precip shield? This seems to be a theme anymore esp. in winter. :cussing: The STJ just won’t come north and there hasn’t been a polar jet for phasing . And it looks to continue for week 3 . I know w...

Past 48 hrs precip

Current radar and temps

Kid you not , our tax dollars at work, They have pre treated the main roads here in Clermont county. WTH Bgoney that is our lovely government at work. Maybe they are treating the roads for that phantom storm on Feb 30th. I wonder if I should get my shovel out and have it ready. I thought maybe we g...

Kid you not , our tax dollars at work, They have pre treated the main roads here in Clermont county. WTH

I missed the MJO stalling in Phase 7. Well okay, I didn't miss it, I just choose not to believe what the data was showing. The data turned out to be right so there you go. The colder look that was once showed to occur will not. Or we'll get a glancing blow of it. Definitely getting concerned about ...

The 500mb pattern shown over the past week + by some ensembles for mid month , imo, didn’t have a legit cross polar flow into the OV or much of the lower 48 . A nice colder period, but A modified pacific flow over the northern Rockies was consistently shown in ensembles while a polar shot went mostl...

A perpetual “Screw Zone Watch “ has been issued for the rest of the winter season for the entire tri-cities triangle of CVGland , Cbus and Dayton .

As of 2/10, we are still in Phase 7 of the MJO per the Aussies. Looks like we have done a complete circle through Phase 7, so we'll have to wait and see if it can get into Phase 8 or not going forward. For snow lovers, I am still watching the period around the 16-17th. Yep , latest sat/precip shot ...

Purdy and calllahan couldn’t handle the blitz the second half . KC defense saved the day. Mahomes was Mahomes when it mattered most

Purdy should have changed his last name after all. I thought chiefs would win but it certainly wasn’t because Mahomes played well .. Both teams looked out of sorts, a strange one for sure.

18z Eu about the same as 12z