At the warp speed Elsa is moving , I would think its more difficult for recon to get accurate measurements in some categories

.ELSA STRENGTHENS TO A HURRICANE...

Location: 13.1°N 60.1°W
Moving: WNW at 28 mph
Min pressure: 995 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph

Elsa is a hurricane now. Recon just finished up

In Indian Hill final total was a whopping 4.50" and IMBY 2.50"

EU is even having trouble now with tropical systems. Looking like a solution closer to the GFS as far as a stronger system

Thats the same disease my mom passed from, RIP

Tomorrow and Sat are awesome with temps warming up by Sunday. The humidity is back in full force next week along with 90 degree temps once again. We'll have to see how rain chances look next week once we see how TS Elsa impacts the overall pattern. First half of July still looking like a fairly nor...

In incognito weather,,, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, Bolivia, and BRAZIL, a much larger area than the NW , have seen record breaking cold , freezes and snow recently. Major crop losses in these countries to coffee, sugarcane and corn

https://noaanhc.wordpress.com/2021/06/30/was-2020-a-record-breaking-hurricane-season-yes-but/ Wow, hurry up and read this article before it is ripped to shreds and never seen again. These two guys really need to watch their backs from now on. Finally someone with the courage to use real science and ...

Tomorrow and Sat are awesome with temps warming up by Sunday. The humidity is back in full force next week along with 90 degree temps once again. We'll have to see how rain chances look next week once we see how TS Elsa impacts the overall pattern. First half of July still looking like a fairly nor...

2.0" at home and 3.25" in Indian Hill

Wow , some of the localized amounts are impressive .

Hope this isn't one of those times where a weakening cluster to our north leaves boundaries but the later development is to far SE and much of the area is gapped

Slightly better chances for scattered storms today and tomorrow. Biggest change from earlier thoughts is the widespread soaking rains region wide don't look to materialize. I'll go with 40-50% chance today and 60-70% chance tomorrow. So we wull see the haves and have-nots. Qpf will have a large rang...

Outflow boundaries headed into west clermont from that cell in north Hamilton. See if that can spark something before dusk

Balancing act that must be avoided

That small tropical wave hitting Tim'sville is interesting, as there are some indications it adds a little moisture into areas just SE of our hoods , for now. Would love to see upcoming model runs to bring that moisture more NW tues night into Wednesday

4th of July weekend as has been talked about is in the hands of an upper level low over the OV. How quickly it moves out of our region is in question and also precip. However, temps are not ,mid to upper 70's to low 80's for the region

Another stellar summer day. Hopefully everyone can cash in at some point this week in the rain department and the on-going forecast. I think Tuesday will be our warmest day of our current stretch.

Awesome day yesterday with the strong breeze. Another one today but not as gusty as yesterday and a bit warmer. Rest of week no changes , 30% chance of pop-up showers mon/tues, and starting Wednesday late , better chances of widespread rains to finish the week off .

Didn't see much change overnight with forecast. Weekend still looks mainly dry for the region . Monday /tues 30 % chance of isolated showers. Late Wednesday into Thursday and beyond gives a much better chance for t-storms. I say beyond because the front could hang-up in our region for a time, just t...

12z GFS coming out of its high and substantially lowering amounts for the I70 crew over the next 24hrs

Not so sure about the marginal risk being that far to the east. We'd better lose some of this cloud cover so at least some weak CAPE can develop. The better wind energy or shear is far away from us closer to the frontal boundary. We'll see... SPC are the experts here but I'm not sold. Agree, just d...

So the HRRR is either smoking something, or on to something. Has a line of storms moving across I-70 land (maybe even northern Cincy burbs) later this afternoon even getting into Columbus (I hope this is true as they are quite dry there). Yea i think its smoking something. We'll see . GFS at the sa...

12Z Euro only has spotty action for CVG Land until Thurs and Fri of next week when likely POPS are needed. The model actually clears some of the area with the front for a dry Holiday Weekend. On Sat 7/3 with the Euro's solution our NE Forecast area would have the best shot for showers. That would s...