Hrrr with each new run keeps ramping up the chances

Past 24 hours record/near record temps

So much for the Hype-profile National big boys predictions of relentless winter cold engulfing the whole lower 48 for Feb15 to March 15th . The usual suspects, for which I’m forever befuddled why people still lean on their every word.

Looks like between 3am (SW) to 8am (eastern counties) for chances. Key willl be if cells can form ahead of the pencil thin line of the cold front

About a 25+- degree drop in temps Wednesday morning in a 2 to 3 hour span

As it stands, one of our worst 3 year stretch's since records began from what I can tell. Our current 3 year average would be 11.8, a virtual tie with , 2000-2003, and we have 87-89 coming in with an average of 11”

Where we stand,CVG

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0234 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z For this event, low-level moisture return is forecast to be weak, with surface dewpoints only increasing into the upper 50s and lower 60s F across parts of the mid Mississippi. For this...

A few flurries here but down to 27

Another Cincy split in progress

40 here. Some other local 6am temps

This guy better watch his back . The powers that be , don’t take kindly to this type of enlightening.

Trevor wrote: ↑Fri Feb 23, 2024 9:25 am Zero difference for us but totally different for the Northern Midwest and Northern Plains.

Without that wintertime moisture for the upper plains/midwest , a good chance the drought continues or develops in those areas this spring/summer

Last year compared to this year at this date

Feb. 22???

Barely a tenth

Cincy split in progress

Showers with descent T&L moving into the tri-state

Been a while since we've seen one of these. 15% severe risk for Day 7 from the SPC. day7prob.gif Going to be a dynamic system, polar and STJ phasing in the middle of the country. Warm front will make it well north of the OV. Just the surface winds will be ripping pretty good, and shear looks ominou...

Comparing last year and this year so far. Probably move up a rank or two for this year by the end of Feb