I have to agree with your update Trev as much as it pains me to do so. :lol: We've talked about this for days that the faster the low gets going, the less snowy of an outcome it would be. That is exactly what we are seeing play out on guidance last night and again today. Is this just for the Metro,...

We are definitely on the edge here. I think this is why Hamilton County is in the warning- good chance of a sharp gradient across the county from SE to NW.

15z HRRR barely gives a dusting, then a break and then we go to mix. Not good for any snow potential, definitely starting to see the ice potential.

I’m a bit surprised they ran the warning all the way down to Hamilton County.

All of Tri-State added to Winter Storm Watch. 2-4" across the area.

I can’t bring myself to post the 10:1, so we’ll roll with Kuchera… 18z GFS

18z HRRR has 5.7 at 10:1 and 3.2 via Kuchera, so about 4” or so looks reasonable.

That’s my issue with all of this. The last storm was a fluke and every meteorology person who erred in forecast got slammed for it. If we are hoping for a round 2, I don’t think it’s going to happen. Different system with different setup. More of a wait and see than anything else. Need to see how th...

18z HRRR and WRF should be interesting. HRRR was closest for our last event, 12 hours before it began.

At this point, I would rather watch the short term models than the long term ones. The big models are just having issues with this pattern.

It's the same noise we always see with things cutting through the Ohio Valley. Locks many days out are an unknown. It will be the usual 12-24 hours before the event start when we get some agreement with the track.

CVG ASOS just updated with 5", so at least that much.

Winter storm warning has been extended into NKY and Central OH.

NWS says numerous 4" measured amounts across Hamilton County, hence the upgrade to warning status. Looking at the radar, back edge is near Evansville, IN. So it's probably another 3 hours of snow, if the 68kt movement that radar is showing is correct.

MD0085 is out for us: 102B79DD-ADA4-45CB-8167-80F5F254FECC.gif ACUS11 KWNS 221430 SWOMCD SPC MCD 221429 OHZ000-221730- Mesoscale Discussion 0085 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0829 AM CST Sun Jan 22 2023 Areas affected...portions of southwest into central Ohio Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 22...

And Louisville just recorded a 50kt gust from a shower. This should be interesting.

NWS says our low dew points and too much moisture mixing due to winds has killed the severe threat for us and NKY. This may be a non-event in the Tri-State area. Up towards I-70, completely different story.

D2B79A80-AB92-4D64-BBCA-74CDB53B6E22.gif MD is incoming, meaning a watch is incoming as well… ACUS11 KWNS 191813 SWOMCD SPC MCD 191813 OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-192015- Mesoscale Discussion 0078 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1213 PM CST Thu Jan 19 2023 Areas affected...Portions of the middle Ohi...

Trevor wrote: ↑Thu Jan 19, 2023 12:17 pm No MCD out yet but I’d bet we are under a watch (probably tornado) within the next couple of hours.

I’m guessing it won’t happen before 3pm. After they get data from the extra balloon.

Trevor wrote: ↑Thu Jan 19, 2023 11:59 amDaddy likey.

We all know he just can’t wait for the cold front to move in…

ILN is sending up an extra balloon at 2PM. Concerned about the risk, since we’ve never had an enhanced risk in January before.

If the radar is correct, we’re going to see 4 different lines of storms. That doesn’t happen here in summer.

Kinda crazy considering it’s January.

Davis is always expensive. I can already guess what they will want for this, which will be ridiculous for what it is, based upon what the WeatherLink live module cost when it was on sale. Update: $395 on preorder. That’s more than what the vantage Vue sensor costs by itself and this is just a display.

Davis announces new Touchscreen controller for their weather stations, that also integrates into smart home. 9B3F3087-1B74-4FAE-AAF1-12C17620CD7E.jpeg https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20230105005117/en/AEM’s-Davis-Instruments-Unveils-New-Console-Revolutionizing-How-People-Interact-with-Weather...

Watching the game and when he fell down my wife said heart attach. She mentioned it has happened to basketball players before and the way he went limp was a key indicator. Putting him to sleep was the way to help him heal but how long did he go without oxygen is key to any long term problems. Footb...

There are a few articles discussing this morning what happens with the game. Apparently, the rules do not allow a unilateral decision by the commissioner. They even reference the death of Chris Henry in 2009, where the Bengals played a game 2 days after he died. Somehow, the game is supposed to be c...