Will the river Ohio river get a glaze? Not sure, but you really need like a couple of weeks of cold air to really get it to freeze over solid. Heck of a current going through there. There were some pieces floating in it last week. Noticed it going over one of the bridges when I was trying to figure...

Ryan Hall says he'll be live on YouTube from now until 2am, if someone is looking for something to watch

snowbo wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 3:35 pm Anybody hearing any power outage reports behind the front?

1800 without power in Missouri. a couple hundred in other states.

ILN just tweeted this:

The ILN Briefing has upped the windchill threat to extreme -30 to -35 at the worst. Frostbite in 10 minutes on exposed skin. Sounds like they are going to up the accumulations with the 3:00pm package. I like the sound of that! :) Don't get too excited, it sounded like 0.5-1.0" is how much they...

The ILN Briefing has upped the windchill threat to extreme -30 to -35 at the worst. Frostbite in 10 minutes on exposed skin.

Sounds like they are going to up the accumulations with the 3:00pm package.

Apparently a surface low has popped in NW Arkansas.

I have noticed that Paducah decided to go with a winter storm warning compared to the winter weather advisory. My gut tells me this could also happen to folks south of us in Kentucky. Not all the factors meet criteria but other factors imo warrants the winter storm warning. Technically the same is ...

Those GFS totals equate to 2"per hr for 4 hrs. A true Christmas miracle?? I know that seems far fetched, but I’ve seen a few public safety videos already, where it was snowing so hard and the wind caused them not be be able to see past the hood of their cars. Like this one- https://twitter.com...

Hows the low tracking? We might be seeing a weak low forming down in SE Texas (we'll call it near Houston) which is a great spot. Need a few more hours there to verify this. Second, that East Coast low is down to 1012 MB moving northward with a current location along the SC / NC border along the Ea...

QPF continues to increase on the GFS! Why is that happening? It's doing what some of the past Euro runs were doing that had the higher totals. I looked at the 700 MB relative humidity charts on this GFS run and it's awesome! Moisture does get injected and wrapped into this system from that East Coa...

Everyone’s Up!

6z Euro seems like it’s headed towards the GFS? It’s late, but if they are on to something, we all may bust low.

I would be happy if the GFS wins just once.

Both Watches have been upgraded to Warnings- URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 315 AM EST Thu Dec 22 2022 INZ058-059-066-073-074-OHZ045-046-053>056-060>063-070>072-077- 221615- /O.UPG.KILN.WS.A.0005.221223T0000Z-221223T2200Z/ /O.UPG.KILN.WC.A.0001.221223T0600Z-22...

I saw Brian's video earlier and he talked about how the jet is further south and there may be some action that could lead to a low pressure to our south or at least something that would bring more lift into the storm. I was a little surprised he had us already in the 4-6 inch range because he does ...

No NAM'ing today. 18Z run is similar to 12Z to be honest. A general 2-4" with isolated higher amounts possible for the region. It kills those higher runs other models are showing around Indy. Is it trying to transfer the energy off the coast? There's a bit of a surface reflection there, but th...

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 21, 2022 3:18 pm No NAM'ing today. 18Z run is similar to 12Z to be honest. A general 2-4" with isolated higher amounts possible for the region.

It kills those higher runs other models are showing around Indy. Is it trying to transfer the energy off the coast?

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Wed Dec 21, 2022 3:04 pm ILN just extended watch and added Advisory. They are not buying higher totals.

They won’t until tomorrow, if it continues with the higher amounts. Always ultra conservative.

Killer run!

Winter storm watch and Wind Chill Watches just issued Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Union OH-Delaware- Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene- Fayette OH-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Hamilton- Including the cities of Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookvil...

6z Euro has the low tracking over us. Doesn’t seem like there is much snow shower activity on Friday, everything happens overnight.
It still gives us 4” of snow.

Yea Goodluck measuring the difference of a 3 or 4 inch snowfall in those conditions. Not sure how exactly cvg and the other airports of noaa are going to measure Snow collects in a large metal box at the airport, to try to keep wind affect on accumulation to a minimum. The white snowboard at the bo...

Robejoh76 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 20, 2022 6:20 pm Nice analysis from Ryan Hall, slim secondary low over Apps? Slim chance, but a chance….

You're about 5 hours late on that. It's 3-4 pages back.

We definitely seem to be averaging out with 2-3" across the area. Now, how many models can pop the secondary low over the Carolinas between now and the start on Thursday night?

6z Euro low track
Still low on the accumulations for us.